PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►MLB►American Playoff Picture►Guardians Playoff Picture►Guardians What If?
Sun Sep 20 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 27 of 27

Guardians What If?

The Guardians What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Guardians play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Guardians What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (84‑72)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 82 75 X 56% 1% X 2% 41% 1%
Current Standings 81 75 X 42% 1% X 1% 52% 4%
Lose Next Game 81 76 X 32% 1% X <1% 61% 6%


Current Series - Red Sox (84‑72) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Guardians Sweeps 84 75 X 84% <1% X 6% 10% ^
Current Standings 81 75 X 42% 1% X 1% 52% 4%
Red Sox Sweeps 81 78 X 13% 2% X X 72% 13%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario X 68% 1% X 1% 29% <1%
Current Standings X 42% 1% X 1% 52% 4%
Worst Case Scenario X 21% 1% X <1% 69% 9%
Best Case Scenario
   Orioles beats Blue Jays
   Guardians beats Red Sox
   Royals beats White Sox
 Worst Case Scenario
   Blue Jays beats Orioles
   Red Sox beats Guardians
   White Sox beats Royals
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
6 of 6 100% 87 75 X 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 6 83% 86 76 X 95% X X 3% 2% ^
4 of 6 67% 85 77 X 76% X X 4% 20% ^
3 of 6 50% 84 78 X 43% 1% X <1% 56% ^
2 of 6 33% 83 79 X 15% 3% X X 81% 2%
1 of 6 17% 82 80 X 2% 2% X X 79% 17%
0 of 6 0% 81 81 X <1% <1% X X 45% 54%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs