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Fri Jul 17 4:45 pm

MLB - Week 17 of 27

Guardians What If?

The Guardians What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Guardians play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Guardians What If?

Next Game - Pirates (50‑47)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 52 46 9% 34% 11% 6% 14% 10% 17%
Current Standings 51 46 8% 32% 12% 5% 14% 10% 19%
Lose Next Game 51 47 6% 30% 12% 5% 14% 11% 21%


Current Series - Pirates (50‑47) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Guardians Sweeps 54 46 11% 38% 11% 6% 13% 9% 13%
Current Standings 51 46 8% 32% 12% 5% 14% 10% 19%
Pirates Sweeps 51 49 5% 25% 12% 5% 15% 12% 26%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
65 of 65 100% 116 46 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 65 92% 111 51 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
51 of 65 78% 102 60 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 65 77% 101 61 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 65 75% 100 62 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 65 74% 99 63 82% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 65 72% 98 64 73% 27% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 65 71% 97 65 66% 34% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 65 69% 96 66 56% 43% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 65 68% 95 67 45% 53% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 65 66% 94 68 36% 61% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 65 65% 93 69 26% 67% 3% 4% 1% <1% <1%
41 of 65 63% 92 70 18% 71% 4% 5% 1% <1% <1%
40 of 65 62% 91 71 11% 71% 7% 7% 3% <1% <1%
39 of 65 60% 90 72 6% 67% 11% 10% 6% <1% <1%
38 of 65 58% 89 73 3% 58% 16% 11% 11% 1% <1%
37 of 65 57% 88 74 1% 49% 19% 11% 18% 2% <1%
36 of 65 55% 87 75 <1% 36% 24% 10% 24% 5% <1%
35 of 65 54% 86 76 <1% 24% 24% 8% 31% 11% 1%
34 of 65 52% 85 77 <1% 16% 23% 6% 31% 19% 5%
33 of 65 51% 84 78 <1% 8% 20% 3% 31% 28% 11%
32 of 65 49% 83 79 <1% 3% 15% 1% 22% 35% 23%
31 of 65 48% 82 80 <1% 1% 11% 1% 13% 32% 41%
30 of 65 46% 81 81 <1% 1% 7% <1% 6% 24% 62%
29 of 65 45% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 14% 80%
28 of 65 43% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 7% 91%
20 of 65 31% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 65 15% 61 101 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
0 of 65 0% 51 111 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs