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Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Mariners Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Mariners Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners
(51‑45)
vs
Astros
(56‑40)
3 Games Remaining		 51 Mariners Sweeps 3 Games 4% 10% 16% 16% 15% 12% 28%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Astros Sweeps 3 Games 1% 2% 4% 15% 15% 15% 48%
Cubs
(57‑39)
vs
Red Sox
(53‑45)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 17% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 15% 14% 14% 39%
Rockies
(22‑74)
vs
Twins
(47‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Rockies Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 17% 15% 13% 36%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Twins Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 39%
Orioles
(43‑52)
vs
Rays
(50‑47)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Orioles Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 16% 16% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Rays Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Athletics
(41‑57)
vs
Guardians
(46‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Athletics Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 17% 16% 14% 36%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Guardians Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 14% 38%
Braves
(42‑53)
vs
Yankees
(53‑43)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Braves Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 9% 18% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Yankees Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 11% 14% 16% 14% 38%
Phillies
(55‑41)
vs
Angels
(47‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Phillies Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Angels Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Giants
(52‑45)
vs
Blue Jays
(55‑41)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Giants Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 9% 18% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 11% 15% 15% 14% 38%
Marlins
(44‑51)
vs
Royals
(47‑50)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Marlins Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Royals Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 15% 14% 13% 39%
Pirates
(39‑58)
vs
White Sox
(32‑65)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Pirates Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
White Sox Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 10% 15% 15% 13% 38%
Tigers
(59‑38)
vs
Rangers
(48‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Tigers Sweeps 3 Games 2% 6% 11% 16% 15% 14% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Rangers Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 9% 16% 15% 13% 38%


Mariners Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners
(51‑45)
vs
Astros
(56‑40)		 18 Mariners Wins 3% 7% 12% 16% 15% 13% 34%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Astros Wins 2% 5% 8% 16% 15% 14% 41%
Orioles
(43‑52)
vs
Rays
(50‑47)		 1 Orioles Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Rays Wins 2% 6% 10% 15% 15% 13% 38%
Rangers
(48‑49)
vs
Tigers
(59‑38)		 1 Rangers Wins 3% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Tigers Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Cubs
(57‑39)
vs
Red Sox
(53‑45)		 1 Cubs Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Red Sox Wins 2% 6% 10% 15% 15% 13% 39%
Royals
(47‑50)
vs
Marlins
(44‑51)		 1 Royals Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Marlins Wins 2% 6% 10% 15% 16% 13% 38%
Yankees
(53‑43)
vs
Braves
(42‑53)		 1 Yankees Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Braves Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Phillies
(55‑41)
vs
Angels
(47‑49)		 1 Phillies Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Angels Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 12% 38%
Athletics
(41‑57)
vs
Guardians
(46‑49)		 1 Athletics Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Guardians Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Giants
(52‑45)
vs
Blue Jays
(55‑41)		 1 Giants Wins 3% 6% 10% 17% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Blue Jays Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
White Sox
(32‑65)
vs
Pirates
(39‑58)		 0 White Sox Wins 2% 6% 11% 16% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Pirates Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Rockies
(22‑74)
vs
Twins
(47‑49)		 0 Rockies Wins 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 37%
Current Probabilities 2% 6% 10% 16% 15% 13% 38%
Twins Wins 2% 6% 11% 16% 15% 13% 38%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs