The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (83‑68) vs Royals (75‑76) 2 Games Remaining |
41 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 45% | 30% | 3% | 16% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 15% | 36% | 1% | 24% | 20% | 4% | ||
| Rangers (79‑73) vs Astros (83‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
15 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 32% | 39% | 1% | 16% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 29% | 30% | 2% | 24% | 13% | 1% | ||
| Guardians (79‑71) vs Tigers (85‑66) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 44% | 19% | 2% | 20% | 12% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 20% | 44% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays (89‑62) vs Rays (73‑78) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 30% | 34% | 2% | 20% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Twins (66‑85) vs Yankees (84‑67) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 30% | 34% | 3% | 19% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 30% | 33% | 1% | 21% | 13% | 1% | ||
| Athletics (71‑80) vs Red Sox (82‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 30% | 34% | 2% | 27% | 7% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 30% | 34% | 2% | 17% | 16% | 2% | ||
| White Sox (57‑95) vs Orioles (71‑80) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Brewers (92‑59) vs Angels (69‑82) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (83‑68) vs Royals (75‑76) |
22 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 37% | 32% | 2% | 18% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | 22% | 35% | 1% | 23% | 16% | 3% | ||
| Rangers (79‑73) vs Astros (83‑69) |
15 | Rangers Wins | <1% | 32% | 39% | 1% | 16% | 11% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | 29% | 30% | 2% | 24% | 13% | 1% | ||
| Athletics (71‑80) vs Red Sox (82‑69) |
2 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 30% | 34% | 2% | 23% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 29% | 34% | 2% | 19% | 15% | 2% | ||
| Guardians (79‑71) vs Tigers (85‑66) |
2 | Guardians Wins | <1% | 37% | 27% | 2% | 20% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 25% | 39% | 2% | 20% | 12% | 1% | ||
| Twins (66‑85) vs Yankees (84‑67) |
1 | Twins Wins | <1% | 30% | 34% | 3% | 19% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | 30% | 33% | 1% | 21% | 13% | 1% | ||
| Blue Jays (89‑62) vs Rays (73‑78) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 30% | 34% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| White Sox (57‑95) vs Orioles (71‑80) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Brewers (92‑59) vs Angels (69‑82) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 30% | 33% | 2% | 21% | 12% | 2% | ||