The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (28‑29) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (31‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
22 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 11% | 25% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 21% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 57% | ||
| Rays (34‑19) vs Angels (22‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 10% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 9% | 22% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 54% | ||
| Yankees (34‑22) vs Athletics (27‑29) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 10% | 24% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 9% | 22% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 53% | ||
| Brewers (33‑20) vs Astros (26‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
5 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 10% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Royals (22‑34) vs Rangers (25‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
4 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 9% | 26% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Orioles (26‑31) vs Blue Jays (28‑29) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 10% | 25% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Tigers (22‑35) vs White Sox (29‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Twins (27‑30) vs Pirates (29‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 52% | ||
| Red Sox (23‑32) vs Guardians (33‑25) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 10% | 22% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (28‑29) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (31‑24) |
7 | Mariners Wins | 2% | 10% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Royals (22‑34) vs Rangers (25‑31) |
4 | Royals Wins | 1% | 10% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 2% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| White Sox (29‑27) vs Tigers (22‑35) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 2% | 10% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 2% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Yankees (34‑22) vs Athletics (27‑29) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 2% | 10% | 23% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Red Sox (23‑32) vs Guardians (33‑25) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 2% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Rays (34‑19) vs Angels (22‑35) |
1 | Rays Wins | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Angels Wins | 2% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% | ||
| Orioles (26‑31) vs Blue Jays (28‑29) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 2% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 2% | 9% | 23% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 53% | ||
| Brewers (33‑20) vs Astros (26‑32) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 52% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Astros Wins | 2% | 10% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 52% | ||
| Pirates (29‑28) vs Twins (27‑30) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 2% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 9% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 51% | ||
| Twins Wins | 1% | 9% | 23% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 53% | ||