The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Red Sox (37‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
26 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 53% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Athletics (29‑44) vs Astros (41‑30) 4 Games Remaining |
11 | Athletics Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 4% | 14% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 61% | ||
| Royals (34‑38) vs Rangers (36‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Giants (41‑31) vs Guardians (35‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Reds (36‑35) vs Twins (36‑35) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 61% | ||
| Orioles (30‑40) vs Rays (39‑32) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Yankees (42‑28) vs Angels (33‑37) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Cardinals (37‑35) vs White Sox (23‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 59% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) vs Blue Jays (38‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Tigers (46‑27) vs Pirates (29‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 59% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (36‑34) vs Red Sox (37‑36) |
9 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 63% | ||
| Athletics (29‑44) vs Astros (41‑30) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Twins (36‑35) vs Reds (36‑35) |
1 | Twins Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Reds Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Yankees (42‑28) vs Angels (33‑37) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Angels Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Orioles (30‑40) vs Rays (39‑32) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Rays Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 59% | ||
| Tigers (46‑27) vs Pirates (29‑44) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Royals (34‑38) vs Rangers (36‑36) |
1 | Royals Wins | 1% | 4% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑34) vs Blue Jays (38‑33) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 60% | ||
| Guardians (35‑35) vs Giants (41‑31) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 59% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 60% | ||
| White Sox (23‑49) vs Cardinals (37‑35) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 60% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 1% | 4% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 59% | ||