The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (37‑35) vs Nationals (36‑35) 1 Game Remaining |
12 | Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 13% | 22% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 20% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 45% | ||
| Rockies (26‑45) vs Athletics (35‑35) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 13% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Yankees (42‑27) vs Blue Jays (34‑37) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 20% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Red Sox (29‑39) vs Rangers (34‑36) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Rays (40‑27) vs Angels (29‑42) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 13% | 20% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| White Sox (37‑32) vs Dodgers (45‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Royals (28‑43) vs Astros (33‑39) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Cardinals (38‑30) vs Twins (32‑40) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Orioles (34‑38) vs Padres (36‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Tigers (29‑42) vs Guardians (39‑33) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 3% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mariners (37‑35) vs Nationals (36‑35) |
12 | Mariners Wins | 3% | 13% | 22% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 39% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 3% | 12% | 20% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 45% | ||
| Rockies (26‑45) vs Athletics (35‑35) |
4 | Rockies Wins | 3% | 13% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 9% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Yankees (42‑27) vs Blue Jays (34‑37) |
1 | Yankees Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 3% | 12% | 20% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Red Sox (29‑39) vs Rangers (34‑36) |
1 | Red Sox Wins | 3% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 3% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Rays (40‑27) vs Angels (29‑42) |
1 | Rays Wins | 3% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 9% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Angels Wins | 3% | 13% | 20% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| White Sox (37‑32) vs Dodgers (45‑26) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 3% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Royals (28‑43) vs Astros (33‑39) |
1 | Royals Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Astros Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Cardinals (38‑30) vs Twins (32‑40) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Twins Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 43% | ||
| Orioles (34‑38) vs Padres (36‑33) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Padres Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Tigers (29‑42) vs Guardians (39‑33) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 3% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 3% | 12% | 22% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 42% | ||