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Tue Jul 1 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Mariners Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Mariners are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mariners final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mariners fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Mariners Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners
(44‑40)
vs
Royals
(39‑46)
3 Games Remaining		 28 Mariners Sweeps 3 Games 2% 5% 7% 19% 15% 14% 39%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Royals Sweeps 3 Games 1% 2% 5% 10% 12% 13% 57%
Rockies
(19‑65)
vs
Astros
(50‑34)
3 Games Remaining		 8 Rockies Sweeps 3 Games 1% 5% 9% 13% 13% 13% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Astros Sweeps 3 Games 1% 3% 5% 16% 15% 14% 46%
Marlins
(37‑45)
vs
Twins
(40‑44)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Marlins Sweeps 3 Games 2% 4% 6% 16% 14% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Twins Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 47%
Braves
(38‑45)
vs
Angels
(41‑42)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Braves Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Angels Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 13% 13% 47%
Cubs
(49‑35)
vs
Guardians
(40‑42)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Guardians Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 14% 14% 13% 48%
Athletics
(35‑52)
vs
Rays
(47‑38)
2 Games Remaining		 2 Athletics Sweeps 2 Games 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 13% 45%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Rays Sweeps 2 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Reds
(43‑41)
vs
Red Sox
(42‑44)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Reds Sweeps 2 Games 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 13% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Tigers
(53‑32)
vs
Nationals
(35‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Tigers Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 7% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Nationals Sweeps 3 Games 2% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 46%
Orioles
(37‑47)
vs
Rangers
(41‑44)
2 Games Remaining		 1 Orioles Sweeps 2 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Rangers Sweeps 2 Games 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 13% 46%
Dodgers
(53‑32)
vs
White Sox
(28‑56)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
White Sox Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Yankees
(48‑36)
vs
Blue Jays
(46‑38)
3 Games Remaining		 0 Yankees Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 46%


Mariners Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Mariners Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners
(44‑40)
vs
Royals
(39‑46)		 9 Mariners Wins 2% 4% 6% 16% 14% 14% 44%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Royals Wins 1% 3% 6% 14% 13% 13% 50%
Rockies
(19‑65)
vs
Astros
(50‑34)		 3 Rockies Wins 1% 4% 7% 15% 14% 13% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Astros Wins 1% 4% 5% 16% 14% 14% 46%
Braves
(38‑45)
vs
Angels
(41‑42)		 2 Braves Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Angels Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 46%
Athletics
(35‑52)
vs
Rays
(47‑38)		 1 Athletics Wins 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 13% 45%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Rays Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 13% 14% 46%
Reds
(43‑41)
vs
Red Sox
(42‑44)		 1 Reds Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 45%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Red Sox Wins 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 13% 46%
Marlins
(37‑45)
vs
Twins
(40‑44)		 1 Marlins Wins 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Twins Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 46%
Dodgers
(53‑32)
vs
White Sox
(28‑56)		 0 Dodgers Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
White Sox Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 46%
Cubs
(49‑35)
vs
Guardians
(40‑42)		 0 Cubs Wins 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 13% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Guardians Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 47%
Rangers
(41‑44)
vs
Orioles
(37‑47)		 0 Rangers Wins 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 13% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Orioles Wins 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 14% 46%
Nationals
(35‑49)
vs
Tigers
(53‑32)		 0 Nationals Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Tigers Wins 1% 4% 6% 16% 14% 14% 46%
Blue Jays
(46‑38)
vs
Yankees
(48‑36)		 0 Blue Jays Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 14% 46%
Yankees Wins 1% 4% 6% 15% 14% 13% 46%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs