PlayoffStatus.com↓≡

Home ►MLB►American Playoff Picture►Mariners Playoff Picture►Mariners What If?
Tue Jun 9 7:15 am

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Mariners What If?

The Mariners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mariners play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mariners What If?

Next Game - Orioles (31‑36)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 36 32 6% 16% 23% 4% 8% 9% 35%
Current Standings 35 32 5% 16% 23% 4% 8% 9% 37%
Lose Next Game 35 33 4% 15% 22% 3% 7% 9% 39%


Current Series - Orioles (31‑36) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners Sweeps 38 32 7% 18% 24% 4% 8% 9% 30%
Current Standings 35 32 5% 16% 23% 4% 8% 9% 37%
Orioles Sweeps 35 35 3% 12% 22% 3% 7% 9% 43%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
95 of 95 100% 130 32 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 95 95% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
80 of 95 84% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 95 75% 106 56 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 95 74% 105 57 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 95 73% 104 58 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 95 72% 103 59 83% 17% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 95 71% 102 60 77% 22% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 95 69% 101 61 70% 29% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 95 68% 100 62 63% 35% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 95 67% 99 63 55% 42% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 95 66% 98 64 47% 47% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 95 65% 97 65 39% 51% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 95 64% 96 66 30% 56% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 95 63% 95 67 24% 57% 16% 3% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 95 62% 94 68 17% 57% 21% 4% 1% <1% <1%
58 of 95 61% 93 69 12% 54% 27% 5% 2% <1% <1%
57 of 95 60% 92 70 8% 49% 33% 7% 3% <1% <1%
56 of 95 59% 91 71 5% 43% 39% 8% 5% <1% <1%
55 of 95 58% 90 72 3% 35% 43% 10% 8% 1% <1%
54 of 95 57% 89 73 1% 27% 47% 11% 11% 2% <1%
53 of 95 56% 88 74 <1% 20% 48% 10% 16% 4% 1%
52 of 95 55% 87 75 <1% 15% 46% 9% 21% 8% 1%
51 of 95 54% 86 76 <1% 9% 44% 7% 22% 14% 3%
50 of 95 53% 85 77 <1% 5% 41% 5% 22% 19% 7%
49 of 95 52% 84 78 <1% 3% 35% 3% 19% 24% 15%
48 of 95 51% 83 79 <1% 2% 30% 2% 15% 27% 25%
47 of 95 49% 82 80 <1% 1% 23% 1% 10% 26% 39%
46 of 95 48% 81 81 <1% <1% 17% <1% 6% 22% 55%
45 of 95 47% 80 82 <1% <1% 13% <1% 3% 16% 68%
44 of 95 46% 79 83 <1% <1% 8% <1% 1% 9% 82%
43 of 95 45% 78 84 <1% <1% 6% <1% <1% 4% 90%
42 of 95 44% 77 85 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 2% 95%
40 of 95 42% 75 87 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
30 of 95 32% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 95 21% 55 107 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 95 11% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 95 0% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs