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Sun Jun 22 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Mariners What If?

The Mariners What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Mariners play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mariners What If?

Next Game - Cubs (46‑30)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 37 1% 4% 9% 6% 8% 9% 64%
Current Standings 38 37 1% 3% 9% 5% 7% 8% 66%
Lose Next Game 38 38 1% 3% 8% 5% 7% 8% 68%


Current Series - Cubs (46‑30) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Mariners Sweeps 39 37 1% 4% 9% 6% 8% 9% 64%
Current Standings 38 37 1% 3% 9% 5% 7% 8% 66%
Cubs Sweeps 38 38 1% 3% 8% 5% 7% 8% 68%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
87 of 87 100% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 87 92% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 87 80% 108 54 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 87 78% 106 56 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 87 77% 105 57 90% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 87 76% 104 58 88% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 87 75% 103 59 82% 16% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 87 74% 102 60 76% 21% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 87 72% 101 61 69% 26% 2% 3% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 87 71% 100 62 60% 33% 3% 5% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 87 70% 99 63 51% 37% 5% 7% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 87 69% 98 64 41% 41% 8% 10% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 87 68% 97 65 31% 43% 11% 14% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 87 67% 96 66 23% 42% 16% 18% 1% <1% <1%
57 of 87 66% 95 67 16% 40% 21% 22% 2% <1% <1%
56 of 87 64% 94 68 9% 36% 26% 26% 3% <1% <1%
55 of 87 63% 93 69 5% 29% 31% 28% 6% <1% <1%
54 of 87 62% 92 70 3% 22% 34% 30% 10% 1% <1%
53 of 87 61% 91 71 1% 15% 35% 29% 17% 3% <1%
52 of 87 60% 90 72 <1% 10% 33% 26% 23% 7% 1%
51 of 87 59% 89 73 <1% 5% 31% 21% 27% 13% 3%
50 of 87 57% 88 74 <1% 2% 25% 15% 29% 20% 8%
49 of 87 56% 87 75 <1% 1% 21% 9% 27% 27% 15%
48 of 87 55% 86 76 <1% <1% 15% 5% 20% 31% 28%
47 of 87 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 11% 2% 13% 29% 44%
46 of 87 53% 84 78 <1% <1% 7% 1% 7% 23% 62%
45 of 87 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 4% <1% 3% 15% 78%
44 of 87 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 8% 88%
43 of 87 49% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
40 of 87 46% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 87 34% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 87 23% 58 104 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 87 11% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 87 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs