The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (63‑68) vs Cardinals (66‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
14 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 83% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 96% | ||
| Royals (58‑74) vs Blue Jays (64‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Angels (52‑80) vs Guardians (66‑66) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Athletics (51‑81) vs Twins (64‑68) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Yankees (74‑56) vs Astros (65‑66) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 92% | ||
| Rangers (66‑66) vs White Sox (68‑63) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 92% | ||
| Phillies (73‑59) vs Mariners (63‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Rays (78‑53) vs Tigers (61‑70) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 92% | ||
| Red Sox (72‑59) vs Marlins (67‑65) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (63‑68) vs Cardinals (66‑66) |
4 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 10% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% | ||
| Athletics (51‑81) vs Twins (64‑68) |
1 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Angels (52‑80) vs Guardians (66‑66) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 92% | ||
| Royals (58‑74) vs Blue Jays (64‑68) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 92% | ||
| Marlins (67‑65) vs Red Sox (72‑59) |
0 | Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Rangers (66‑66) vs White Sox (68‑63) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Rays (78‑53) vs Tigers (61‑70) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Yankees (74‑56) vs Astros (65‑66) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Phillies (73‑59) vs Mariners (63‑69) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 91% | ||