The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (17‑20) vs Marlins (16‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 2% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 73% | ||
| Mariners (18‑20) vs White Sox (17‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Red Sox (16‑21) vs Rays (24‑12) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Red Sox Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 72% | ||
| Rangers (17‑19) vs Yankees (25‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Angels (15‑23) vs Blue Jays (16‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Guardians (19‑19) vs Royals (17‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Athletics (18‑18) vs Phillies (17‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Twins (16‑21) vs Nationals (17‑20) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (17‑20) vs Marlins (16‑21) |
4 | Orioles Wins | 2% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 73% | ||
| Rangers (17‑19) vs Yankees (25‑12) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Angels (15‑23) vs Blue Jays (16‑21) |
1 | Angels Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 71% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Guardians (19‑19) vs Royals (17‑20) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 72% | ||
| White Sox (17‑20) vs Mariners (18‑20) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Athletics (18‑18) vs Phillies (17‑20) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Red Sox (16‑21) vs Rays (24‑12) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Rays Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Twins (16‑21) vs Nationals (17‑20) |
0 | Twins Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 72% | ||