The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (61‑41) vs Padres (55‑50) 3 Games Remaining |
30 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 48% | 18% | 1% | 23% | 6% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 30% | 19% | 1% | 27% | 12% | 6% | 5% | ||
| Red Sox (54‑47) vs Yankees (60‑44) 3 Games Remaining |
16 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 44% | 21% | 1% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 39% | 15% | 1% | 31% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Phillies (64‑38) vs Guardians (61‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 45% | 15% | 1% | 25% | 9% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 36% | 23% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Tigers (51‑53) vs Twins (56‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 18% | 1% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 40% | 19% | 1% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Cubs (49‑55) vs Royals (56‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 18% | 1% | 25% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 3% | ||
| White Sox (27‑78) vs Mariners (53‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 18% | 1% | 25% | 9% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Dodgers (62‑42) vs Astros (53‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 20% | <1% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Reds (49‑53) vs Rays (52‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 19% | 1% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Rangers (51‑52) vs Blue Jays (46‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 18% | 1% | 25% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Angels (45‑58) vs Athletics (42‑63) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 42% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (61‑41) vs Padres (55‑50) |
9 | Orioles Wins | 44% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Padres Wins | 38% | 19% | 1% | 25% | 10% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Red Sox (54‑47) vs Yankees (60‑44) |
5 | Red Sox Wins | 43% | 19% | 1% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 40% | 18% | 1% | 26% | 8% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Phillies (64‑38) vs Guardians (61‑41) |
1 | Phillies Wins | 43% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 40% | 20% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| White Sox (27‑78) vs Mariners (53‑51) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 41% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Angels (45‑58) vs Athletics (42‑63) |
1 | Angels Wins | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 41% | 18% | 1% | 25% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Rays (52‑51) vs Reds (49‑53) |
0 | Rays Wins | 41% | 18% | 1% | 25% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Reds Wins | 41% | 19% | 1% | 25% | 9% | 4% | 3% | ||
| Tigers (51‑53) vs Twins (56‑45) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 42% | 18% | 1% | 25% | 8% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Twins Wins | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Royals (56‑47) vs Cubs (49‑55) |
0 | Royals Wins | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 41% | 19% | 1% | 25% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers (62‑42) vs Astros (53‑49) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 42% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Astros Wins | 42% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Rangers (51‑52) vs Blue Jays (46‑56) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 42% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 41% | 19% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 42% | 18% | 1% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 3% | ||