The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (7‑18) vs Cubs (15‑9) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Guardians (17‑7) vs Red Sox (14‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 20% | 10% | 4% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Twins (10‑13) vs White Sox (3‑21) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 20% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 34% | ||
| Royals (15‑10) vs Blue Jays (13‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 20% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 10% | 4% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Athletics (9‑16) vs Yankees (17‑8) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Rangers (13‑12) vs Mariners (12‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 11% | 4% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 21% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (7‑18) vs Cubs (15‑9) |
2 | Astros Wins | 21% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Guardians (17‑7) vs Red Sox (14‑11) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 20% | 10% | 4% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Twins (10‑13) vs White Sox (3‑21) |
1 | Twins Wins | 20% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 21% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 34% | ||
| Royals (15‑10) vs Blue Jays (13‑12) |
1 | Royals Wins | 20% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 21% | 10% | 4% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Athletics (9‑16) vs Yankees (17‑8) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 21% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 21% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% | ||
| Rangers (13‑12) vs Mariners (12‑12) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 21% | 11% | 4% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 10% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 34% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 21% | 11% | 4% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 33% | ||