The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (33‑19) vs Rangers (33‑18) 1 Game Remaining |
9 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 18% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 14% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 12% | 24% | ||
| Marlins (27‑26) vs Angels (28‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Marlins Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑23) vs Red Sox (28‑24) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 7% | 1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 23% | ||
| Pirates (26‑25) vs Mariners (27‑25) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 23% | ||
| Nationals (23‑29) vs Royals (15‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 6% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Tigers (24‑26) vs White Sox (22‑32) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Cardinals (24‑30) vs Guardians (22‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Twins (27‑25) vs Blue Jays (27‑26) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Yankees (31‑23) vs Padres (24‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Astros (30‑21) vs Athletics (10‑44) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 1 Game | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 16% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (33‑19) vs Rangers (33‑18) |
9 | Orioles Wins | 18% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 14% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 12% | 24% | ||
| Marlins (27‑26) vs Angels (28‑25) |
2 | Marlins Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Angels Wins | 16% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (29‑23) vs Red Sox (28‑24) |
2 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 16% | 7% | 1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 23% | ||
| Pirates (26‑25) vs Mariners (27‑25) |
2 | Pirates Wins | 16% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 16% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 23% | ||
| Nationals (23‑29) vs Royals (15‑38) |
1 | Nationals Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Royals Wins | 16% | 6% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Tigers (24‑26) vs White Sox (22‑32) |
1 | Tigers Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 16% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Cardinals (24‑30) vs Guardians (22‑29) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 16% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Twins (27‑25) vs Blue Jays (27‑26) |
1 | Twins Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 17% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Yankees (31‑23) vs Padres (24‑28) |
0 | Yankees Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Padres Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Astros (30‑21) vs Athletics (10‑44) |
0 | Astros Wins | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 7% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 22% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 16% | 7% | <1% | 27% | 17% | 11% | 22% | ||