The Most Important Games for the Orioles are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Orioles final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Orioles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (44‑51) vs Royals (38‑57) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Mets (40‑55) vs Red Sox (44‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Phillies (52‑43) vs Tigers (44‑50) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Nationals (48‑47) vs Yankees (52‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Rangers (48‑46) vs Astros (46‑50) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Padres (46‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Angels (38‑57) vs Twins (46‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Marlins (52‑43) vs Guardians (49‑46) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Rays (55‑37) vs Mariners (47‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Athletics (41‑53) vs White Sox (48‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Orioles Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Orioles (44‑51) vs Royals (38‑57) |
4 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 90% | ||
| Padres (46‑48) vs Blue Jays (45‑49) |
1 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Rays (55‑37) vs Mariners (47‑48) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Mets (40‑55) vs Red Sox (44‑48) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Phillies (52‑43) vs Tigers (44‑50) |
0 | Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Guardians (49‑46) vs Marlins (52‑43) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Angels (38‑57) vs Twins (46‑49) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Athletics (41‑53) vs White Sox (48‑45) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Yankees (52‑42) vs Nationals (48‑47) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Astros (46‑50) vs Rangers (48‑46) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||