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Wed Jun 3 1:15 am

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (25‑34)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 32 1% 1% <1% 6% 11% 10% 71%
Current Standings 29 32 1% 1% <1% 5% 10% 10% 73%
Lose Next Game 29 33 <1% 1% <1% 5% 9% 10% 75%


Current Series - Red Sox (25‑34) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 31 32 1% 1% 1% 6% 11% 11% 69%
Current Standings 29 32 1% 1% <1% 5% 10% 10% 73%
Red Sox Sweeps 29 34 <1% 1% <1% 4% 9% 9% 76%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
101 of 101 100% 130 32 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 101 99% 129 33 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 101 89% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 101 79% 109 53 97% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 101 77% 107 55 93% 1% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 101 76% 106 56 91% 1% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 101 75% 105 57 87% 2% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 101 74% 104 58 82% 3% <1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 101 73% 103 59 77% 4% <1% 19% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 101 72% 102 60 70% 6% <1% 23% 1% <1% <1%
72 of 101 71% 101 61 62% 7% <1% 29% 2% <1% <1%
71 of 101 70% 100 62 55% 8% <1% 33% 3% <1% <1%
70 of 101 69% 99 63 47% 9% <1% 39% 5% <1% <1%
69 of 101 68% 98 64 39% 12% <1% 43% 6% <1% <1%
68 of 101 67% 97 65 31% 13% 1% 46% 9% <1% <1%
67 of 101 66% 96 66 24% 14% 1% 50% 12% <1% <1%
66 of 101 65% 95 67 17% 13% 2% 52% 16% <1% <1%
65 of 101 64% 94 68 12% 12% 2% 52% 21% <1% <1%
64 of 101 63% 93 69 8% 11% 3% 52% 26% 1% <1%
63 of 101 62% 92 70 5% 9% 3% 49% 32% 2% <1%
62 of 101 61% 91 71 3% 7% 4% 44% 38% 4% <1%
61 of 101 60% 90 72 1% 5% 3% 38% 44% 8% 1%
60 of 101 59% 89 73 1% 3% 3% 31% 48% 13% 1%
59 of 101 58% 88 74 <1% 2% 2% 24% 50% 19% 3%
58 of 101 57% 87 75 <1% 1% 2% 18% 47% 26% 7%
57 of 101 56% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 11% 42% 34% 12%
56 of 101 55% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 7% 34% 38% 21%
55 of 101 54% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 3% 24% 40% 32%
54 of 101 53% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 1% 16% 36% 46%
53 of 101 52% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 61%
52 of 101 51% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 73%
51 of 101 50% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 13% 85%
50 of 101 50% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 92%
40 of 101 40% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 101 30% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 101 20% 49 113 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 101 10% 39 123 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 101 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs