PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Apr 23 9:45 am

MLB - Week 6 of 28

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Nationals (10‑13)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 10 13 2% 4% 6% 5% 6% 8% 70%
Current Standings 9 13 2% 4% 6% 5% 7% 7% 70%
Lose Next Game 9 14 1% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 72%


Current Series - Nationals (10‑13) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 11 13 2% 4% 6% 5% 7% 7% 69%
Current Standings 9 13 2% 4% 6% 5% 7% 7% 70%
Nationals Sweeps 9 15 1% 3% 5% 4% 6% 7% 73%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
140 of 140 100% 149 13 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 140 93% 139 23 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
120 of 140 86% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 140 79% 119 43 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
107 of 140 76% 116 46 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 140 76% 115 47 92% 7% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 140 75% 114 48 90% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 140 74% 113 49 86% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 140 74% 112 50 82% 15% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 140 73% 111 51 77% 19% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 140 72% 110 52 73% 21% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 140 71% 109 53 67% 25% 2% 5% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 140 71% 108 54 60% 29% 3% 8% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 140 70% 107 55 53% 32% 4% 11% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 140 69% 106 56 46% 36% 6% 12% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 140 69% 105 57 39% 38% 7% 15% 1% <1% <1%
95 of 140 68% 104 58 32% 39% 9% 18% 1% <1% <1%
94 of 140 67% 103 59 26% 38% 12% 21% 3% <1% <1%
93 of 140 66% 102 60 20% 38% 14% 24% 4% <1% <1%
92 of 140 66% 101 61 16% 35% 16% 26% 6% <1% <1%
91 of 140 65% 100 62 11% 33% 18% 29% 8% 1% <1%
90 of 140 64% 99 63 9% 30% 20% 29% 11% 1% <1%
89 of 140 64% 98 64 6% 26% 21% 30% 14% 2% <1%
88 of 140 63% 97 65 4% 22% 22% 31% 17% 3% <1%
87 of 140 62% 96 66 3% 19% 22% 28% 21% 5% 1%
86 of 140 61% 95 67 2% 15% 24% 27% 25% 8% 1%
85 of 140 61% 94 68 1% 12% 22% 24% 28% 11% 2%
84 of 140 60% 93 69 <1% 10% 21% 21% 29% 15% 4%
83 of 140 59% 92 70 <1% 7% 20% 18% 30% 18% 6%
82 of 140 59% 91 71 <1% 5% 18% 14% 30% 23% 9%
81 of 140 58% 90 72 <1% 4% 16% 12% 30% 26% 13%
80 of 140 57% 89 73 <1% 2% 16% 8% 26% 29% 19%
79 of 140 56% 88 74 <1% 1% 13% 6% 23% 30% 26%
78 of 140 56% 87 75 <1% 1% 11% 4% 19% 32% 33%
77 of 140 55% 86 76 <1% 1% 9% 3% 16% 30% 42%
76 of 140 54% 85 77 <1% <1% 8% 2% 12% 26% 52%
75 of 140 54% 84 78 <1% <1% 7% 1% 8% 23% 61%
74 of 140 53% 83 79 <1% <1% 5% <1% 5% 19% 69%
73 of 140 52% 82 80 <1% <1% 4% <1% 4% 16% 76%
72 of 140 51% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 11% 83%
71 of 140 51% 80 82 <1% <1% 3% <1% 1% 8% 88%
70 of 140 50% 79 83 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 5% 92%
69 of 140 49% 78 84 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 3% 95%
60 of 140 43% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 140 36% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 140 29% 49 113 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
30 of 140 21% 39 123 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 140 14% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 140 7% 19 143 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 140 0% 9 153 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs