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Sun Jun 4 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 11 of 27

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Brewers (32‑27)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 38 22 15% 8% <1% 26% 18% 13% 20%
Current Standings 37 22 14% 7% <1% 26% 18% 13% 22%
Lose Next Game 37 23 12% 8% <1% 25% 18% 13% 24%


Current Series - Brewers (32‑27) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 40 22 17% 8% <1% 27% 18% 12% 17%
Current Standings 37 22 14% 7% <1% 26% 18% 13% 22%
Brewers Sweeps 37 25 10% 7% <1% 24% 19% 14% 26%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
103 of 103 100% 140 22 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 103 97% 137 25 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 103 87% 127 35 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 103 78% 117 45 99% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 103 75% 114 48 95% 3% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 103 74% 113 49 92% 4% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 103 73% 112 50 89% 5% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 103 72% 111 51 84% 7% <1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 103 71% 110 52 80% 8% <1% 12% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 103 70% 109 53 74% 11% <1% 15% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 103 69% 108 54 67% 13% <1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 103 68% 107 55 61% 15% <1% 24% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 103 67% 106 56 54% 18% <1% 28% 1% <1% <1%
68 of 103 66% 105 57 46% 19% <1% 34% 1% <1% <1%
67 of 103 65% 104 58 38% 21% <1% 40% 2% <1% <1%
66 of 103 64% 103 59 31% 21% <1% 44% 3% <1% <1%
65 of 103 63% 102 60 24% 22% <1% 48% 6% <1% <1%
64 of 103 62% 101 61 19% 21% <1% 51% 8% <1% <1%
63 of 103 61% 100 62 13% 20% <1% 53% 13% 1% <1%
62 of 103 60% 99 63 9% 17% <1% 54% 18% 1% <1%
61 of 103 59% 98 64 6% 15% 1% 52% 24% 3% <1%
60 of 103 58% 97 65 4% 11% 1% 49% 30% 5% <1%
59 of 103 57% 96 66 2% 8% 1% 42% 38% 8% <1%
58 of 103 56% 95 67 1% 5% 1% 37% 42% 13% 1%
57 of 103 55% 94 68 <1% 4% 1% 29% 45% 19% 3%
56 of 103 54% 93 69 <1% 2% 1% 22% 44% 26% 5%
55 of 103 53% 92 70 <1% 1% <1% 15% 41% 32% 9%
54 of 103 52% 91 71 <1% 1% <1% 10% 36% 37% 16%
53 of 103 51% 90 72 <1% <1% <1% 6% 28% 41% 25%
52 of 103 50% 89 73 <1% <1% <1% 3% 21% 40% 36%
51 of 103 50% 88 74 <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 37% 48%
50 of 103 49% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 30% 61%
49 of 103 48% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 22% 73%
48 of 103 47% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 16% 82%
47 of 103 46% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 90%
46 of 103 45% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
40 of 103 39% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 103 29% 67 95 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 103 19% 57 105 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 103 10% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 103 0% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs