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Sat Jul 5 3:30 am

MLB - Week 16 of 28

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Braves (39‑48)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 39 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Standings 38 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
Lose Next Game 38 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%


Current Series - Braves (39‑48) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 40 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Current Standings 38 49 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
Braves Sweeps 38 51 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
75 of 75 100% 113 49 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
70 of 75 93% 108 54 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 75 92% 107 55 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 75 91% 106 56 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 75 89% 105 57 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 75 88% 104 58 82% 18% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 75 87% 103 59 75% 24% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 75 85% 102 60 70% 29% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 75 84% 101 61 62% 36% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 75 83% 100 62 54% 41% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 75 81% 99 63 46% 47% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 75 80% 98 64 36% 52% 9% 4% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 75 79% 97 65 27% 54% 13% 6% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 75 77% 96 66 20% 52% 19% 9% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 75 76% 95 67 14% 48% 23% 15% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 75 75% 94 68 8% 40% 29% 22% 1% <1% <1%
55 of 75 73% 93 69 5% 32% 32% 28% 3% <1% <1%
54 of 75 72% 92 70 2% 22% 34% 36% 6% <1% <1%
53 of 75 71% 91 71 1% 14% 32% 40% 12% 1% <1%
52 of 75 69% 90 72 <1% 8% 28% 42% 19% 3% <1%
51 of 75 68% 89 73 <1% 4% 23% 38% 27% 7% 1%
50 of 75 67% 88 74 <1% 1% 16% 30% 36% 14% 3%
49 of 75 65% 87 75 <1% <1% 10% 21% 36% 24% 8%
48 of 75 64% 86 76 <1% <1% 6% 13% 34% 31% 16%
47 of 75 63% 85 77 <1% <1% 3% 6% 24% 35% 32%
46 of 75 61% 84 78 <1% <1% 2% 2% 15% 31% 51%
45 of 75 60% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% 1% 7% 22% 69%
44 of 75 59% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 85%
43 of 75 57% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 94%
40 of 75 53% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 75 40% 68 94 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 75 27% 58 104 X X X X X <1% >99%
10 of 75 13% 48 114 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 75 0% 38 124 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs