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Sun Jun 15 3:30 am

MLB - Week 13 of 28

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Angels (33‑36)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 30 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 97%
Current Standings 29 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
Lose Next Game 29 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%


Current Series - Angels (33‑36) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 30 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 97%
Current Standings 29 40 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%
Angels Sweeps 29 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 98%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
93 of 93 100% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 93 97% 119 43 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
83 of 93 89% 112 50 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
82 of 93 88% 111 51 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
81 of 93 87% 110 52 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
80 of 93 86% 109 53 88% 12% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
79 of 93 85% 108 54 85% 15% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
78 of 93 84% 107 55 82% 18% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
77 of 93 83% 106 56 77% 22% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
76 of 93 82% 105 57 71% 27% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
75 of 93 81% 104 58 66% 31% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
74 of 93 80% 103 59 60% 36% <1% 4% <1% ^ ^
73 of 93 78% 102 60 55% 39% 1% 5% <1% ^ ^
72 of 93 77% 101 61 46% 44% 1% 8% <1% ^ ^
71 of 93 76% 100 62 39% 47% 2% 12% <1% ^ ^
70 of 93 75% 99 63 33% 48% 4% 16% <1% ^ ^
69 of 93 74% 98 64 26% 49% 5% 20% 1% ^ ^
68 of 93 73% 97 65 19% 48% 7% 25% 1% <1% ^
67 of 93 72% 96 66 13% 45% 9% 31% 2% <1% <1%
66 of 93 71% 95 67 9% 39% 11% 37% 4% <1% ^
65 of 93 70% 94 68 5% 32% 13% 42% 8% <1% <1%
64 of 93 69% 93 69 3% 26% 14% 44% 13% 1% <1%
63 of 93 68% 92 70 1% 18% 15% 43% 20% 3% <1%
62 of 93 67% 91 71 1% 12% 14% 40% 28% 6% 1%
61 of 93 66% 90 72 <1% 7% 12% 34% 34% 12% 2%
60 of 93 65% 89 73 <1% 4% 9% 26% 37% 19% 4%
59 of 93 63% 88 74 <1% 2% 7% 18% 37% 27% 10%
58 of 93 62% 87 75 <1% 1% 4% 11% 31% 33% 19%
57 of 93 61% 86 76 <1% <1% 3% 6% 24% 35% 33%
56 of 93 60% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 3% 15% 33% 48%
55 of 93 59% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 8% 25% 65%
54 of 93 58% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 80%
53 of 93 57% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 89%
52 of 93 56% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
50 of 93 54% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
40 of 93 43% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 93 32% 59 103 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 93 22% 49 113 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 93 11% 39 123 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 93 0% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs