PlayoffStatus.com

Thu May 1 3:30 am

MLB - Week 7 of 28

Orioles What If?

The Orioles What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Orioles play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Orioles What If?

Next Game - Royals (16‑15)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 13 18 1% 2% 5% 3% 5% 6% 77%
Current Standings 12 18 1% 2% 5% 3% 5% 6% 79%
Lose Next Game 12 19 1% 2% 5% 3% 5% 6% 80%


Current Series - Royals (16‑15) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Orioles Sweeps 15 18 1% 3% 5% 4% 6% 6% 75%
Current Standings 12 18 1% 2% 5% 3% 5% 6% 79%
Royals Sweeps 12 21 <1% 2% 4% 2% 4% 6% 82%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
132 of 132 100% 144 18 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 132 98% 142 20 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 132 91% 132 30 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
110 of 132 83% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 132 77% 114 48 94% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 132 77% 113 49 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 132 76% 112 50 91% 9% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 132 75% 111 51 87% 11% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
98 of 132 74% 110 52 84% 14% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
97 of 132 73% 109 53 78% 19% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 132 73% 108 54 74% 22% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 132 72% 107 55 68% 26% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 132 71% 106 56 62% 30% 3% 6% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 132 70% 105 57 55% 33% 5% 8% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 132 70% 104 58 47% 37% 6% 9% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 132 69% 103 59 41% 40% 7% 12% 1% <1% <1%
90 of 132 68% 102 60 34% 41% 10% 15% 1% <1% <1%
89 of 132 67% 101 61 27% 42% 13% 17% 2% <1% <1%
88 of 132 67% 100 62 21% 40% 16% 20% 3% <1% <1%
87 of 132 66% 99 63 15% 38% 19% 23% 4% <1% <1%
86 of 132 65% 98 64 11% 35% 21% 25% 7% 1% <1%
85 of 132 64% 97 65 8% 31% 24% 26% 10% 1% <1%
84 of 132 64% 96 66 5% 27% 25% 27% 13% 2% <1%
83 of 132 63% 95 67 3% 21% 27% 27% 18% 4% <1%
82 of 132 62% 94 68 2% 17% 26% 26% 21% 6% 1%
81 of 132 61% 93 69 1% 13% 26% 23% 25% 10% 2%
80 of 132 61% 92 70 <1% 10% 25% 20% 28% 14% 3%
79 of 132 60% 91 71 <1% 6% 24% 17% 29% 19% 6%
78 of 132 59% 90 72 <1% 4% 21% 14% 29% 22% 9%
77 of 132 58% 89 73 <1% 3% 19% 10% 27% 26% 15%
76 of 132 58% 88 74 <1% 2% 16% 8% 23% 28% 22%
75 of 132 57% 87 75 <1% 1% 14% 5% 19% 30% 31%
74 of 132 56% 86 76 <1% 1% 11% 3% 15% 29% 41%
73 of 132 55% 85 77 <1% <1% 9% 2% 11% 27% 50%
72 of 132 55% 84 78 <1% <1% 7% 1% 8% 22% 62%
71 of 132 54% 83 79 <1% <1% 6% <1% 5% 17% 72%
70 of 132 53% 82 80 <1% <1% 4% <1% 3% 12% 81%
69 of 132 52% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% 2% 8% 87%
68 of 132 52% 80 82 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 5% 92%
67 of 132 51% 79 83 <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 3% 95%
60 of 132 45% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 132 38% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 132 30% 52 110 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 132 23% 42 120 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 132 15% 32 130 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 132 8% 22 140 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 132 0% 12 150 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs