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MLB - Week 24 of 27

Rangers What If?

The Rangers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rangers play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Rangers What If?

Next Game - Blue Jays (71-66)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L 1* 2* 3 4 5
Win Next Game 76 62 < 1% 3% 95% < 1% 2%
Current Standings 75 62 < 1% 3% 95% < 1% 2%
Lose Next Game 75 63 < 1% 2% 96% < 1% 3%




Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  1* 2* 3* 4 5
Best Case Scenario < 1% 3% 95% < 1% 2%
Current Standings < 1% 3% 95% < 1% 2%
Worst Case Scenario < 1% 2% 95% < 1% 3%
Best Case Scenario
   Rangers beats Blue Jays
Worst Case Scenario
   Blue Jays beats Rangers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L 1* 2* 3 4 5
25 of 25 100% 100 62 54% 44% 2% ^ ^
24 of 25 96% 99 63 32% 61% 7% ^ ^
23 of 25 92% 98 64 13% 71% 16% ^ ^
22 of 25 88% 97 65 4% 66% 30% ^ ^
21 of 25 84% 96 66 1% 52% 47% ^ ^
20 of 25 80% 95 67 < 1% 36% 64% ^ ^
19 of 25 76% 94 68 < 1% 22% 78% ^ ^
18 of 25 72% 93 69 < 1% 11% 89% ^ ^
17 of 25 68% 92 70 < 1% 4% 96% ^ ^
16 of 25 64% 91 71 < 1% 2% 98% ^ ^
15 of 25 60% 90 72 X < 1% > 99% < 1% < 1%
14 of 25 56% 89 73 X < 1% > 99% < 1% < 1%
13 of 25 52% 88 74 X < 1% > 99% < 1% < 1%
12 of 25 48% 87 75 X < 1% 99% < 1% 1%
11 of 25 44% 86 76 X < 1% 97% < 1% 3%
10 of 25 40% 85 77 X < 1% 93% < 1% 7%
9 of 25 36% 84 78 X < 1% 84% < 1% 16%
8 of 25 32% 83 79 X < 1% 68% < 1% 32%
7 of 25 28% 82 80 X < 1% 47% < 1% 53%
6 of 25 24% 81 81 X X 25% < 1% 75%
5 of 25 20% 80 82 X X 10% < 1% 90%
0 of 25 0% 75 87 X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes home field advantage in the first round of the playoffs

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