The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (41‑34) vs Tigers (48‑28) 3 Games Remaining |
28 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 9% | 6% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 53% | ||
| White Sox (23‑52) vs Blue Jays (40‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 7% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 47% | ||
| Orioles (32‑42) vs Yankees (43‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 8% | 7% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 6% | 5% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Giants (42‑33) vs Red Sox (39‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
3 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 8% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 47% | ||
| Padres (40‑34) vs Royals (37‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 47% | ||
| Cubs (45‑29) vs Mariners (37‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 47% | ||
| Pirates (30‑46) vs Rangers (36‑39) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 47% | ||
| Athletics (31‑46) vs Guardians (37‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 47% | ||
| Brewers (40‑35) vs Twins (37‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 6% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Astros (43‑32) vs Angels (36‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (41‑34) vs Tigers (48‑28) |
10 | Rays Wins | 4% | 8% | 6% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 3% | 6% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 48% | ||
| Orioles (32‑42) vs Yankees (43‑31) |
2 | Orioles Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 3% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Cubs (45‑29) vs Mariners (37‑36) |
2 | Cubs Wins | 3% | 8% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Giants (42‑33) vs Red Sox (39‑37) |
2 | Giants Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 46% | ||
| White Sox (23‑52) vs Blue Jays (40‑34) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Brewers (40‑35) vs Twins (37‑37) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Twins Wins | 4% | 7% | 5% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Pirates (30‑46) vs Rangers (36‑39) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 4% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Padres (40‑34) vs Royals (37‑38) |
1 | Padres Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Royals Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Angels (36‑38) vs Astros (43‑32) |
1 | Angels Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Astros Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 46% | ||
| Guardians (37‑36) vs Athletics (31‑46) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 3% | 7% | 6% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 46% | ||