The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Astros (65‑66) vs Yankees (74‑56) 3 Games Remaining |
21 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 84% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 68% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rays (78‑53) vs Tigers (61‑70) 2 Games Remaining |
21 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 81% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 65% | <1% | <1% | 28% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marlins (67‑65) vs Red Sox (72‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 75% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 73% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Royals (58‑74) vs Blue Jays (64‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 75% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners (63‑69) vs Phillies (73‑59) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (66‑66) vs Angels (52‑80) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 75% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 74% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics (51‑81) vs Twins (64‑68) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 75% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers (66‑66) vs White Sox (68‑63) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 75% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 74% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals (66‑66) vs Orioles (63‑68) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (78‑53) vs Tigers (61‑70) |
10 | Rays Wins | 77% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 70% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Astros (65‑66) vs Yankees (74‑56) |
8 | Astros Wins | 78% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 73% | <1% | <1% | 23% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marlins (67‑65) vs Red Sox (72‑59) |
3 | Marlins Wins | 75% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 5% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Blue Jays (64‑68) vs Royals (58‑74) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | 75% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Royals Wins | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| White Sox (68‑63) vs Rangers (66‑66) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 75% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Twins (64‑68) vs Athletics (51‑81) |
0 | Twins Wins | 75% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Orioles (63‑68) vs Cardinals (66‑66) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 75% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Guardians (66‑66) vs Angels (52‑80) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 74% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Angels Wins | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Phillies (73‑59) vs Mariners (63‑69) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 75% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 74% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ||