The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (12‑10) vs Reds (15‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
6 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 17% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 14% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Mets (7‑15) vs Twins (11‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Blue Jays (9‑13) vs Angels (11‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Athletics (12‑11) vs Mariners (10‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Pirates (13‑9) vs Rangers (11‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Orioles (11‑12) vs Royals (7‑16) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (13‑9) vs White Sox (8‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Astros (9‑15) vs Guardians (13‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Red Sox (9‑13) vs Yankees (13‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 15% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Tigers (12‑11) vs Brewers (12‑9) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (12‑10) vs Reds (15‑8) |
4 | Rays Wins | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Reds Wins | 14% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 45% | ||
| White Sox (8‑14) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (13‑9) |
2 | White Sox Wins | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 16% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Red Sox (9‑13) vs Yankees (13‑9) |
2 | Red Sox Wins | 16% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Astros (9‑15) vs Guardians (13‑11) |
1 | Astros Wins | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 15% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 45% | ||
| Orioles (11‑12) vs Royals (7‑16) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Royals Wins | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Athletics (12‑11) vs Mariners (10‑14) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 15% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 15% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Rangers (11‑11) vs Pirates (13‑9) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 16% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Angels (11‑13) vs Blue Jays (9‑13) |
0 | Angels Wins | 16% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Twins (11‑11) vs Mets (7‑15) |
0 | Twins Wins | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Mets Wins | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Tigers (12‑11) vs Brewers (12‑9) |
0 | Tigers Wins | 16% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 44% | ||
| Brewers Wins | 15% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 44% | ||