The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (11‑14) vs Padres (17‑8) 3 Games Remaining |
10 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 70% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Guardians (14‑10) vs Red Sox (14‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Twins (9‑16) vs Angels (12‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Yankees (15‑10) vs Blue Jays (12‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Tigers (15‑10) vs Orioles (10‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Giants (17‑9) vs Rangers (14‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Marlins (11‑13) vs Mariners (14‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Royals (12‑14) vs Astros (13‑11) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| White Sox (6‑19) vs Athletics (12‑13) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (11‑14) vs Padres (17‑8) |
4 | Rays Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Padres Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 75% | ||
| Mariners (14‑11) vs Marlins (11‑13) |
1 | Mariners Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Guardians (14‑10) vs Red Sox (14‑13) |
1 | Guardians Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| White Sox (6‑19) vs Athletics (12‑13) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Orioles (10‑14) vs Tigers (15‑10) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Twins (9‑16) vs Angels (12‑12) |
0 | Twins Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Angels Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Blue Jays (12‑13) vs Yankees (15‑10) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% | ||
| Astros (13‑11) vs Royals (12‑14) |
0 | Astros Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Rangers (14‑11) vs Giants (17‑9) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 74% | ||
| Giants Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% | ||