The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (50‑45) vs Red Sox (51‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
23 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 14% | 17% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 62% | ||
| Athletics (39‑57) vs Blue Jays (55‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
4 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 55% | ||
| Cubs (55‑39) vs Yankees (53‑41) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 55% | ||
| Tigers (59‑36) vs Mariners (49‑45) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 57% | ||
| Pirates (38‑57) vs Twins (46‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 56% | ||
| White Sox (32‑63) vs Guardians (44‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 56% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (46‑48) vs Angels (46‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Orioles (43‑50) vs Marlins (42‑51) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 55% | ||
| Mets (54‑41) vs Royals (46‑49) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 56% | ||
| Astros (55‑39) vs Rangers (47‑48) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 1% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 56% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (50‑45) vs Red Sox (51‑45) |
12 | Rays Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 13% | 58% | ||
| Athletics (39‑57) vs Blue Jays (55‑39) |
3 | Athletics Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 54% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Pirates (38‑57) vs Twins (46‑48) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Cubs (55‑39) vs Yankees (53‑41) |
1 | Cubs Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 55% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (46‑48) vs Angels (46‑48) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Angels Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 56% | ||
| Mets (54‑41) vs Royals (46‑49) |
1 | Mets Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Royals Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Marlins (42‑51) vs Orioles (43‑50) |
1 | Marlins Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| White Sox (32‑63) vs Guardians (44‑49) |
0 | White Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 55% | ||
| Rangers (47‑48) vs Astros (55‑39) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Tigers (59‑36) vs Mariners (49‑45) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 55% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 56% | ||