The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (71‑74) vs Phillies (87‑58) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Angels (60‑85) vs Twins (77‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rockies (54‑91) vs Tigers (74‑71) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| White Sox (33‑113) vs Guardians (83‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blue Jays (69‑77) vs Mets (79‑66) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres (82‑64) vs Mariners (73‑72) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Sox (73‑72) vs Orioles (83‑63) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Athletics (63‑82) vs Astros (77‑67) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Royals (80‑66) vs Yankees (83‑62) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (81‑64) vs Rangers (70‑75) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (71‑74) vs Phillies (87‑58) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Angels (60‑85) vs Twins (77‑68) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| White Sox (33‑113) vs Guardians (83‑62) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Blue Jays (69‑77) vs Mets (79‑66) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Padres (82‑64) vs Mariners (73‑72) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Red Sox (73‑72) vs Orioles (83‑63) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Royals (80‑66) vs Yankees (83‑62) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (81‑64) vs Rangers (70‑75) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Athletics (63‑82) vs Astros (77‑67) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% | ||
| Rockies (54‑91) vs Tigers (74‑71) |
0 | Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||