The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* | 2* | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (40‑32) vs Brewers (42‑33) 2 Games Remaining |
10 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 14% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 51% | ||
| Royals (26‑45) vs Rangers (34‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Athletics (25‑49) vs Yankees (53‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Mariners (34‑40) vs Orioles (34‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Angels (35‑40) vs White Sox (34‑37) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Mets (47‑27) vs Astros (45‑27) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Blue Jays (40‑32) vs Red Sox (42‑31) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Giants (39‑33) vs Tigers (28‑44) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Guardians (36‑32) vs Twins (41‑33) 5 Games Remaining |
0 | Guardians Sweeps 5 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 5 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* | 2* | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (40‑32) vs Brewers (42‑33) |
5 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 49% | ||
| Angels (35‑40) vs White Sox (34‑37) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Mariners (34‑40) vs Orioles (34‑40) |
1 | Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 46% | ||
| Giants (39‑33) vs Tigers (28‑44) |
0 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Twins (41‑33) vs Guardians (36‑32) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Royals (26‑45) vs Rangers (34‑37) |
0 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Astros (45‑27) vs Mets (47‑27) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 47% | ||
| Yankees (53‑20) vs Athletics (25‑49) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 47% | ||
| Red Sox (42‑31) vs Blue Jays (40‑32) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 14% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 46% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 14% | 46% | ||