The Most Important Games for the Rays are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rays final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Rays fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Guardians (35‑27) vs Yankees (36‑24) 2 Games Remaining |
7 | Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 45% | 13% | 4% | 20% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 2 Games | 44% | 10% | 3% | 25% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Rays (36‑22) vs Tigers (24‑38) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 46% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | 42% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Mets (26‑35) vs Mariners (33‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 1 Game | 45% | 11% | 3% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 43% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Astros (27‑35) vs Pirates (33‑28) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 45% | 11% | 3% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 44% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Orioles (29‑32) vs Red Sox (25‑34) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Cubs (32‑29) vs Athletics (29‑31) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 45% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Rockies (24‑38) vs Angels (23‑39) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 1 Game | 45% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Braves (41‑20) vs Blue Jays (29‑32) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Royals (23‑38) vs Reds (31‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 1 Game | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Rangers (30‑31) vs Cardinals (31‑28) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Cardinals Sweeps 1 Game | 45% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Twins (29‑33) vs White Sox (32‑29) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Rays Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Rays (36‑22) vs Tigers (24‑38) |
6 | Rays Wins | 46% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 42% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Guardians (35‑27) vs Yankees (36‑24) |
4 | Guardians Wins | 45% | 12% | 4% | 22% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 44% | 11% | 3% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 5% | ||
| Pirates (33‑28) vs Astros (27‑35) |
1 | Pirates Wins | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Astros Wins | 44% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Mets (26‑35) vs Mariners (33‑29) |
1 | Mets Wins | 45% | 11% | 3% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 43% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Orioles (29‑32) vs Red Sox (25‑34) |
1 | Orioles Wins | 46% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 44% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Athletics (29‑31) vs Cubs (32‑29) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Braves (41‑20) vs Blue Jays (29‑32) |
0 | Braves Wins | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Rockies (24‑38) vs Angels (23‑39) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 45% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Angels Wins | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Royals (23‑38) vs Reds (31‑29) |
0 | Royals Wins | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Reds Wins | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Rangers (30‑31) vs Cardinals (31‑28) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 45% | 11% | 4% | 24% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| Twins (29‑33) vs White Sox (32‑29) |
0 | Twins Wins | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 45% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 44% | 11% | 4% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 5% | ||