PlayoffStatus.com

Sat May 9 1:45 am

MLB - Week 7 of 27

Rays What If?

The Rays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rays What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (17‑22)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Win Next Game 26 13 42% 8% 3% 23% 8% 5% 10%
Current Standings 25 13 40% 8% 3% 24% 9% 6% 11%
Lose Next Game 25 14 38% 8% 3% 25% 8% 6% 12%


Current Series - Red Sox (17‑22) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
Rays Sweeps 27 13 42% 8% 3% 24% 8% 5% 9%
Current Standings 25 13 40% 8% 3% 24% 9% 6% 11%
Red Sox Sweeps 25 15 37% 8% 3% 24% 9% 6% 13%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7
124 of 124 100% 149 13 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 124 97% 145 17 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 124 89% 135 27 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
100 of 124 81% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 124 73% 115 47 98% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 124 69% 111 51 94% 1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 124 69% 110 52 92% 1% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 124 68% 109 53 90% 2% <1% 8% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 124 67% 108 54 87% 2% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 124 66% 107 55 83% 4% <1% 14% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 124 65% 106 56 78% 5% <1% 17% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 124 65% 105 57 75% 6% <1% 19% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 124 64% 104 58 70% 8% <1% 22% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 124 63% 103 59 64% 10% <1% 25% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 124 62% 102 60 59% 13% 1% 28% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 124 61% 101 61 52% 14% 1% 32% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 124 60% 100 62 45% 17% 2% 36% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 124 60% 99 63 39% 20% 2% 38% 1% <1% <1%
73 of 124 59% 98 64 33% 21% 3% 42% 1% <1% <1%
72 of 124 58% 97 65 27% 21% 4% 45% 2% <1% <1%
71 of 124 57% 96 66 21% 22% 5% 48% 4% <1% <1%
70 of 124 56% 95 67 15% 22% 6% 51% 6% <1% <1%
69 of 124 56% 94 68 11% 21% 8% 51% 9% 1% <1%
68 of 124 55% 93 69 8% 18% 9% 51% 13% 1% <1%
67 of 124 54% 92 70 5% 15% 10% 49% 18% 2% <1%
66 of 124 53% 91 71 3% 12% 11% 46% 24% 4% <1%
65 of 124 52% 90 72 1% 9% 11% 40% 30% 8% 1%
64 of 124 52% 89 73 1% 6% 10% 34% 34% 13% 2%
63 of 124 51% 88 74 <1% 4% 9% 28% 36% 18% 4%
62 of 124 50% 87 75 <1% 2% 8% 19% 37% 25% 9%
61 of 124 49% 86 76 <1% 1% 6% 14% 33% 30% 15%
60 of 124 48% 85 77 <1% 1% 5% 9% 28% 33% 24%
59 of 124 48% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% 5% 22% 33% 36%
58 of 124 47% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% 3% 15% 31% 48%
57 of 124 46% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% 2% 10% 26% 61%
56 of 124 45% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% 1% 6% 19% 74%
55 of 124 44% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 13% 84%
54 of 124 44% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 90%
53 of 124 43% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
50 of 124 40% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 124 32% 65 97 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 124 24% 55 107 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 124 16% 45 117 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 124 8% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 124 0% 25 137 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs