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Fri Jul 11 3:30 am

MLB - Week 17 of 28

Rays What If?

The Rays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rays What If?

Next Game - Red Sox (50‑45)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 51 44 1% 4% 7% 15% 16% 13% 44%
Current Standings 50 44 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 13% 48%
Lose Next Game 50 45 <1% 3% 5% 12% 15% 13% 51%


Current Series - Red Sox (50‑45) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Rays Sweeps 53 44 1% 5% 8% 18% 18% 14% 35%
Current Standings 50 44 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 13% 48%
Red Sox Sweeps 50 47 <1% 2% 4% 10% 12% 13% 58%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
68 of 68 100% 118 44 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 68 88% 110 52 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 68 85% 108 54 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 68 84% 107 55 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 68 82% 106 56 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
55 of 68 81% 105 57 80% 20% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
54 of 68 79% 104 58 75% 25% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
53 of 68 78% 103 59 66% 32% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
52 of 68 76% 102 60 59% 38% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
51 of 68 75% 101 61 50% 44% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1%
50 of 68 74% 100 62 40% 49% 7% 3% <1% <1% <1%
49 of 68 72% 99 63 32% 53% 10% 5% <1% <1% <1%
48 of 68 71% 98 64 24% 52% 15% 9% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 68 69% 97 65 16% 51% 19% 14% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 68 68% 96 66 10% 45% 24% 20% 1% <1% <1%
45 of 68 66% 95 67 6% 38% 27% 27% 2% <1% <1%
44 of 68 65% 94 68 3% 29% 29% 35% 4% <1% <1%
43 of 68 63% 93 69 2% 21% 28% 42% 7% <1% <1%
42 of 68 62% 92 70 1% 13% 26% 47% 13% 1% <1%
41 of 68 60% 91 71 <1% 7% 23% 47% 21% 2% <1%
40 of 68 59% 90 72 <1% 4% 16% 44% 31% 5% <1%
39 of 68 57% 89 73 <1% 1% 11% 36% 39% 12% 1%
38 of 68 56% 88 74 <1% <1% 7% 26% 41% 21% 4%
37 of 68 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 4% 14% 40% 31% 11%
36 of 68 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 8% 29% 37% 23%
35 of 68 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% 3% 19% 35% 42%
34 of 68 50% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 1% 10% 28% 61%
33 of 68 49% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 79%
32 of 68 47% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
30 of 68 44% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
20 of 68 29% 70 92 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 68 15% 60 102 X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 68 0% 50 112 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs