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Fri Jun 20 3:30 am

MLB - Week 14 of 28

Rays What If?

The Rays What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Rays play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Rays What If?

Next Game - Tigers (48‑28)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 42 34 4% 8% 6% 15% 13% 11% 43%
Current Standings 41 34 3% 7% 6% 14% 13% 11% 46%
Lose Next Game 41 35 3% 6% 6% 13% 13% 11% 48%


Current Series - Tigers (48‑28) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Rays Sweeps 44 34 5% 9% 6% 16% 13% 11% 38%
Current Standings 41 34 3% 7% 6% 14% 13% 11% 46%
Tigers Sweeps 41 37 1% 5% 6% 11% 12% 11% 53%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
87 of 87 100% 128 34 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
80 of 87 92% 121 41 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
70 of 87 80% 111 51 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 87 76% 107 55 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 87 75% 106 56 91% 8% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 87 74% 105 57 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
63 of 87 72% 104 58 82% 16% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
62 of 87 71% 103 59 76% 20% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
61 of 87 70% 102 60 69% 25% 1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
60 of 87 69% 101 61 61% 30% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
59 of 87 68% 100 62 52% 36% 3% 9% <1% <1% <1%
58 of 87 67% 99 63 44% 38% 4% 13% <1% <1% <1%
57 of 87 66% 98 64 35% 41% 6% 18% <1% <1% <1%
56 of 87 64% 97 65 27% 41% 9% 23% 1% <1% <1%
55 of 87 63% 96 66 18% 40% 11% 29% 2% <1% <1%
54 of 87 62% 95 67 13% 35% 13% 35% 3% <1% <1%
53 of 87 61% 94 68 8% 31% 16% 39% 6% <1% <1%
52 of 87 60% 93 69 4% 24% 17% 44% 10% 1% <1%
51 of 87 59% 92 70 2% 19% 17% 43% 16% 2% <1%
50 of 87 57% 91 71 1% 12% 17% 42% 24% 4% <1%
49 of 87 56% 90 72 <1% 7% 15% 36% 32% 9% 1%
48 of 87 55% 89 73 <1% 4% 12% 28% 36% 16% 3%
47 of 87 54% 88 74 <1% 2% 9% 20% 37% 25% 8%
46 of 87 53% 87 75 <1% 1% 6% 12% 33% 31% 17%
45 of 87 52% 86 76 <1% <1% 4% 7% 25% 35% 29%
44 of 87 51% 85 77 <1% <1% 2% 3% 17% 33% 45%
43 of 87 49% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% 1% 9% 26% 62%
42 of 87 48% 83 79 <1% <1% 1% <1% 5% 17% 77%
41 of 87 47% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 88%
40 of 87 46% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 95%
30 of 87 34% 71 91 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 87 23% 61 101 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 87 11% 51 111 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 87 0% 41 121 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs