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Mon Jul 14 3:30 am

MLB - Week 18 of 28

Red Sox Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Red Sox Most Important Series
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Remaining
Games Winner		 Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Red Sox
(53‑45)
vs
Cubs
(57‑39)
3 Games Remaining		 34 Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games 3% 6% 8% 17% 17% 14% 34%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Cubs Sweeps 3 Games 1% 3% 4% 11% 13% 14% 55%
Giants
(52‑45)
vs
Blue Jays
(55‑41)
3 Games Remaining		 8 Giants Sweeps 3 Games 2% 5% 8% 12% 14% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 4% 14% 15% 14% 47%
Braves
(42‑53)
vs
Yankees
(53‑43)
3 Games Remaining		 7 Braves Sweeps 3 Games 2% 5% 7% 14% 15% 13% 45%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Yankees Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 5% 13% 15% 14% 48%
Orioles
(43‑52)
vs
Rays
(50‑47)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Orioles Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 15% 15% 14% 44%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Rays Sweeps 3 Games 2% 4% 5% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Phillies
(55‑41)
vs
Angels
(47‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Phillies Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Angels Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 13% 14% 14% 48%
Rockies
(22‑74)
vs
Twins
(47‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 3 Rockies Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Twins Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 13% 14% 14% 47%
Marlins
(44‑51)
vs
Royals
(47‑50)
3 Games Remaining		 2 Marlins Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Royals Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 13% 14% 14% 47%
Astros
(56‑40)
vs
Mariners
(51‑45)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Astros Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Mariners Sweeps 3 Games 2% 5% 5% 13% 15% 14% 47%
Athletics
(41‑57)
vs
Guardians
(46‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Athletics Sweeps 3 Games 2% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Guardians Sweeps 3 Games 2% 4% 6% 14% 14% 14% 46%
Tigers
(59‑38)
vs
Rangers
(48‑49)
3 Games Remaining		 1 Tigers Sweeps 3 Games 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Rangers Sweeps 3 Games 2% 4% 6% 13% 14% 14% 47%
White Sox
(32‑65)
vs
Pirates
(39‑58)
3 Games Remaining		 0 White Sox Sweeps 3 Games 2% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Pirates Sweeps 3 Games 2% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%


Red Sox Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities
Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Red Sox
(53‑45)
vs
Cubs
(57‑39)		 11 Red Sox Wins 2% 5% 7% 15% 15% 14% 42%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Cubs Wins 1% 4% 5% 13% 14% 14% 48%
Phillies
(55‑41)
vs
Angels
(47‑49)		 2 Phillies Wins 2% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Angels Wins 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 47%
Giants
(52‑45)
vs
Blue Jays
(55‑41)		 2 Giants Wins 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Blue Jays Wins 1% 4% 5% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Braves
(42‑53)
vs
Yankees
(53‑43)		 2 Braves Wins 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Yankees Wins 1% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Athletics
(41‑57)
vs
Guardians
(46‑49)		 1 Athletics Wins 2% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 45%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Guardians Wins 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 47%
Astros
(56‑40)
vs
Mariners
(51‑45)		 1 Astros Wins 1% 4% 6% 14% 14% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Mariners Wins 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 47%
Pirates
(39‑58)
vs
White Sox
(32‑65)		 1 Pirates Wins 2% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
White Sox Wins 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Twins
(47‑49)
vs
Rockies
(22‑74)		 0 Twins Wins 2% 4% 6% 14% 14% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Rockies Wins 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Marlins
(44‑51)
vs
Royals
(47‑50)		 0 Marlins Wins 2% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Royals Wins 2% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Rangers
(48‑49)
vs
Tigers
(59‑38)		 0 Rangers Wins 2% 4% 6% 14% 14% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Tigers Wins 1% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Orioles
(43‑52)
vs
Rays
(50‑47)		 0 Orioles Wins 1% 4% 6% 14% 15% 14% 46%
Current Probabilities 2% 4% 6% 13% 15% 14% 46%
Rays Wins 2% 4% 5% 14% 15% 14% 46%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs