The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (29‑40) vs Blue Jays (34‑38) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Yankees (43‑27) vs White Sox (38‑32) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Brewers (43‑26) vs Guardians (39‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Pirates (36‑36) vs Athletics (35‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Tigers (29‑42) vs Astros (33‑40) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Twins (33‑40) vs Rangers (35‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Nationals (37‑35) vs Royals (29‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Dodgers (45‑27) vs Rays (41‑27) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑35) vs Angels (29‑43) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Orioles (34‑39) vs Mariners (37‑36) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (29‑40) vs Blue Jays (34‑38) |
2 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 94% | ||
| Yankees (43‑27) vs White Sox (38‑32) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Angels (29‑43) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (36‑35) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Guardians (39‑33) vs Brewers (43‑26) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Athletics (35‑36) vs Pirates (36‑36) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Nationals (37‑35) vs Royals (29‑43) |
0 | Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Rangers (35‑36) vs Twins (33‑40) |
0 | Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Rays (41‑27) vs Dodgers (45‑27) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Astros (33‑40) vs Tigers (29‑42) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 92% | ||
| Orioles (34‑39) vs Mariners (37‑36) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 93% | ||