The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* | 2* | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (43‑34) vs Cubs (31‑46) 2 Games Remaining |
11 | Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 26% | 16% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 24% | 16% | 42% | ||
| Mets (48‑29) vs Rangers (36‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 24% | 16% | 38% | ||
| Yankees (56‑21) vs Guardians (39‑34) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 20% | 24% | 16% | 39% | ||
| Rays (40‑36) vs Blue Jays (44‑33) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 27% | 16% | 38% | ||
| Athletics (26‑53) vs Mariners (37‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 24% | 16% | 38% | ||
| Orioles (35‑43) vs Twins (44‑36) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Astros (49‑27) vs Angels (37‑42) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 16% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Royals (28‑47) vs Tigers (29‑46) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 16% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Giants (40‑35) vs White Sox (36‑39) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* | 2* | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (43‑34) vs Cubs (31‑46) |
7 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 26% | 15% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 25% | 15% | 40% | ||
| Astros (49‑27) vs Angels (37‑42) |
1 | Astros Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Mariners (37‑42) vs Athletics (26‑53) |
1 | Mariners Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 37% | ||
| Giants (40‑35) vs White Sox (36‑39) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 25% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Blue Jays (44‑33) vs Rays (40‑36) |
1 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 24% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Yankees (56‑21) vs Guardians (39‑34) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Mets (48‑29) vs Rangers (36‑39) |
0 | Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Twins (44‑36) vs Orioles (35‑43) |
0 | Twins Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 26% | 15% | 37% | ||
| Tigers (29‑46) vs Royals (28‑47) |
0 | Tigers Wins | <1% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 24% | 16% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 21% | 25% | 15% | 38% | ||
| Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 22% | 25% | 15% | 37% | ||