The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (17‑15) vs Blue Jays (14‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
6 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Twins (13‑18) vs Guardians (17‑13) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Rangers (16‑15) vs Athletics (16‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Royals (16‑15) vs Rays (14‑16) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 56% | ||
| Brewers (16‑15) vs White Sox (7‑23) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Tigers (19‑12) vs Angels (12‑17) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Tigers Sweeps 4 Games | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 4 Games | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (17‑15) vs Blue Jays (14‑16) |
6 | Red Sox Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Twins (13‑18) vs Guardians (17‑13) |
2 | Twins Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Rangers (16‑15) vs Athletics (16‑15) |
2 | Rangers Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Royals (16‑15) vs Rays (14‑16) |
1 | Royals Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Rays Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 56% | ||
| Angels (12‑17) vs Tigers (19‑12) |
1 | Angels Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Brewers (16‑15) vs White Sox (7‑23) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||