The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (83‑69) vs Athletics (71‑81) 1 Game Remaining |
13 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 47% | 30% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 36% | 37% | 21% | ||
| Tigers (85‑67) vs Guardians (80‑71) 1 Game Remaining |
7 | Tigers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 44% | 34% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 41% | 30% | 18% | ||
| Orioles (72‑80) vs Yankees (85‑67) 4 Games Remaining |
6 | Orioles Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 32% | 26% | 27% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 52% | 33% | 14% | ||
| Royals (76‑76) vs Mariners (83‑69) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 46% | 30% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 41% | 35% | 14% | ||
| Rays (74‑78) vs Blue Jays (89‑63) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 43% | 32% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Brewers (93‑59) vs Angels (69‑83) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (83‑69) vs Athletics (71‑81) |
13 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 14% | 47% | 30% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 36% | 37% | 21% | ||
| Tigers (85‑67) vs Guardians (80‑71) |
7 | Tigers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 44% | 34% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 41% | 30% | 18% | ||
| Orioles (72‑80) vs Yankees (85‑67) |
2 | Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 39% | 32% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 46% | 33% | 14% | ||
| Royals (76‑76) vs Mariners (83‑69) |
1 | Royals Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 46% | 30% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 41% | 35% | 14% | ||
| Rays (74‑78) vs Blue Jays (89‑63) |
0 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 10% | 43% | 32% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Brewers (93‑59) vs Angels (69‑83) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||
| Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 43% | 32% | 14% | ||