The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (14‑12) vs Mariners (13‑11) 1 Game Remaining |
4 | Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 58% | ||
| Rockies (4‑18) vs Royals (10‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| White Sox (5‑19) vs Twins (9‑15) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Rangers (14‑10) vs Athletics (11‑13) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Orioles (9‑14) vs Nationals (11‑13) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Pirates (10‑15) vs Angels (11‑12) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Pirates Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑10) vs Rays (10‑14) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 1 Game | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (14‑12) vs Mariners (13‑11) |
4 | Red Sox Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 58% | ||
| White Sox (5‑19) vs Twins (9‑15) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Twins Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Rangers (14‑10) vs Athletics (11‑13) |
1 | Rangers Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Athletics Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Orioles (9‑14) vs Nationals (11‑13) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Rockies (4‑18) vs Royals (10‑14) |
0 | Rockies Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Royals Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Pirates (10‑15) vs Angels (11‑12) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Angels Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑10) vs Rays (10‑14) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||
| Rays Wins | 5% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 57% | ||