The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (49‑45) vs Rays (50‑43) 4 Games Remaining |
39 | Red Sox Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 80% | ||
| White Sox (31‑62) vs Guardians (43‑48) 4 Games Remaining |
2 | White Sox Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 66% | ||
| Cubs (54‑38) vs Twins (45‑47) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Cubs Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 65% | ||
| Braves (40‑51) vs Athletics (38‑56) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Braves Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 65% | ||
| Yankees (51‑41) vs Mariners (48‑44) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 65% | ||
| Mets (53‑39) vs Orioles (40‑50) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 65% | ||
| Angels (45‑47) vs Rangers (45‑48) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (49‑45) vs Rays (50‑43) |
10 | Red Sox Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Rays Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 69% | ||
| Cubs (54‑38) vs Twins (45‑47) |
2 | Cubs Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Twins Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 65% | ||
| Braves (40‑51) vs Athletics (38‑56) |
1 | Braves Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Athletics Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 65% | ||
| Mets (53‑39) vs Orioles (40‑50) |
1 | Mets Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 65% | ||
| Yankees (51‑41) vs Mariners (48‑44) |
1 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 65% | ||
| White Sox (31‑62) vs Guardians (43‑48) |
1 | White Sox Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 65% | ||
| Angels (45‑47) vs Rangers (45‑48) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 64% | ||