The Most Important Games for the Red Sox are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Sox final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Red Sox fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (73‑61) vs Yankees (76‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
21 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | <1% | <1% | 45% | 46% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 81% | 10% | 4% | ||
| Padres (72‑63) vs Rays (80‑54) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 4% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 69% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Royals (61‑75) vs Guardians (68‑67) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Royals Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 72% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 69% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Athletics (53‑82) vs Orioles (66‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Athletics Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 72% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 2 Games | 3% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Mariners (64‑71) vs Blue Jays (66‑70) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Twins (64‑71) vs White Sox (71‑63) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Twins Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Mets (60‑75) vs Astros (68‑67) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Angels (52‑83) vs Phillies (75‑60) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Tigers (62‑72) vs Dodgers (81‑54) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Tigers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Brewers (84‑51) vs Rangers (66‑69) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Red Sox Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Red Sox (73‑61) vs Yankees (76‑58) |
7 | Red Sox Wins | 4% | <1% | <1% | 27% | 63% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Yankees Wins | 1% | <1% | <1% | 13% | 76% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Padres (72‑63) vs Rays (80‑54) |
1 | Padres Wins | 3% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Rays Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Athletics (53‑82) vs Orioles (66‑69) |
1 | Athletics Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Twins (64‑71) vs White Sox (71‑63) |
0 | Twins Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Mariners (64‑71) vs Blue Jays (66‑70) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Dodgers (81‑54) vs Tigers (62‑72) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Guardians (68‑67) vs Royals (61‑75) |
0 | Guardians Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Royals Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Mets (60‑75) vs Astros (68‑67) |
0 | Mets Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Astros Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Brewers (84‑51) vs Rangers (66‑69) |
0 | Brewers Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Rangers Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Phillies (75‑60) vs Angels (52‑83) |
0 | Phillies Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 71% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 70% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Angels Wins | 2% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 71% | 6% | 2% | ||