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Sun May 24 10:45 pm

MLB - Week 10 of 27

Red Sox What If?

The Red Sox What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Red Sox play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Red Sox What If?

Next Game - Braves (36‑18)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 23 30 <1% <1% <1% 3% 6% 7% 83%
Current Standings 22 30 <1% <1% <1% 3% 5% 7% 85%
Lose Next Game 22 31 <1% <1% <1% 3% 5% 6% 86%


Current Series - Braves (36‑18) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Red Sox Sweeps 25 30 <1% <1% <1% 4% 7% 8% 81%
Current Standings 22 30 <1% <1% <1% 3% 5% 7% 85%
Braves Sweeps 22 33 <1% <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 88%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
110 of 110 100% 132 30 >99% <1% X <1% ^ ^ ^
100 of 110 91% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 110 82% 112 50 94% <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 110 81% 111 51 92% <1% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 110 80% 110 52 89% <1% <1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 110 79% 109 53 86% 1% <1% 13% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 110 78% 108 54 83% 1% <1% 16% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 110 77% 107 55 78% 1% <1% 20% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 110 76% 106 56 74% 2% <1% 23% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 110 75% 105 57 69% 2% <1% 28% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 110 75% 104 58 63% 4% <1% 33% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 110 74% 103 59 58% 5% <1% 37% 1% <1% <1%
80 of 110 73% 102 60 52% 6% <1% 42% 1% <1% <1%
79 of 110 72% 101 61 46% 7% <1% 46% 1% <1% <1%
78 of 110 71% 100 62 39% 8% <1% 50% 2% <1% <1%
77 of 110 70% 99 63 32% 9% <1% 55% 4% <1% <1%
76 of 110 69% 98 64 26% 9% <1% 58% 6% <1% <1%
75 of 110 68% 97 65 20% 10% <1% 61% 8% <1% <1%
74 of 110 67% 96 66 15% 10% 1% 63% 12% <1% <1%
73 of 110 66% 95 67 11% 9% 1% 63% 15% <1% <1%
72 of 110 65% 94 68 7% 8% 1% 63% 20% 1% <1%
71 of 110 65% 93 69 4% 7% 2% 59% 27% 2% <1%
70 of 110 64% 92 70 3% 6% 2% 57% 30% 3% <1%
69 of 110 63% 91 71 1% 4% 2% 51% 38% 5% <1%
68 of 110 62% 90 72 1% 3% 1% 43% 44% 8% 1%
67 of 110 61% 89 73 <1% 2% 2% 36% 46% 13% 1%
66 of 110 60% 88 74 <1% 1% 1% 29% 48% 19% 3%
65 of 110 59% 87 75 <1% 1% 1% 21% 46% 26% 6%
64 of 110 58% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 13% 44% 31% 11%
63 of 110 57% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% 8% 35% 37% 19%
62 of 110 56% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% 5% 27% 39% 30%
61 of 110 55% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% 2% 18% 37% 42%
60 of 110 55% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% 1% 12% 32% 55%
59 of 110 54% 81 81 <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 23% 70%
58 of 110 53% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 16% 81%
57 of 110 52% 79 83 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 89%
56 of 110 51% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 94%
50 of 110 45% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 110 36% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 110 27% 52 110 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 110 18% 42 120 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 110 9% 32 130 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 110 0% 22 140 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs