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Wed Apr 30 3:30 am

MLB - Week 7 of 28

Tigers What If?

The Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Tigers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tigers What If?

Next Game - Astros (16‑13)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 19 12 20% 14% 13% 7% 6% 7% 33%
Current Standings 18 12 19% 14% 13% 7% 6% 7% 34%
Lose Next Game 18 13 18% 14% 13% 7% 6% 7% 35%


Current Series - Astros (16‑13) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Tigers Sweeps 19 12 20% 14% 13% 7% 6% 7% 33%
Current Standings 18 12 19% 14% 13% 7% 6% 7% 34%
Astros Sweeps 18 13 18% 14% 13% 7% 6% 7% 35%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
132 of 132 100% 150 12 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 132 98% 148 14 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
120 of 132 91% 138 24 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
110 of 132 83% 128 34 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 132 76% 118 44 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
96 of 132 73% 114 48 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
95 of 132 72% 113 49 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
94 of 132 71% 112 50 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
93 of 132 70% 111 51 88% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
92 of 132 70% 110 52 84% 15% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
91 of 132 69% 109 53 81% 18% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
90 of 132 68% 108 54 75% 22% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
89 of 132 67% 107 55 70% 26% 2% 2% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 132 67% 106 56 64% 30% 3% 3% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 132 66% 105 57 57% 34% 4% 4% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 132 65% 104 58 50% 38% 6% 6% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 132 64% 103 59 42% 42% 8% 8% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 132 64% 102 60 35% 44% 11% 10% 1% <1% <1%
83 of 132 63% 101 61 28% 45% 14% 12% 1% <1% <1%
82 of 132 62% 100 62 22% 43% 18% 14% 2% <1% <1%
81 of 132 61% 99 63 17% 42% 21% 16% 3% <1% <1%
80 of 132 61% 98 64 12% 40% 24% 18% 5% <1% <1%
79 of 132 60% 97 65 9% 36% 27% 20% 7% 1% <1%
78 of 132 59% 96 66 6% 32% 29% 21% 10% 2% <1%
77 of 132 58% 95 67 4% 27% 32% 21% 13% 2% <1%
76 of 132 58% 94 68 2% 22% 33% 20% 17% 5% 1%
75 of 132 57% 93 69 1% 17% 33% 20% 19% 8% 1%
74 of 132 56% 92 70 1% 13% 34% 17% 22% 10% 3%
73 of 132 55% 91 71 <1% 10% 32% 14% 24% 15% 4%
72 of 132 55% 90 72 <1% 7% 32% 12% 23% 19% 7%
71 of 132 54% 89 73 <1% 5% 30% 9% 23% 21% 12%
70 of 132 53% 88 74 <1% 3% 27% 7% 21% 25% 18%
69 of 132 52% 87 75 <1% 2% 25% 4% 17% 26% 26%
68 of 132 52% 86 76 <1% 1% 22% 3% 14% 26% 34%
67 of 132 51% 85 77 <1% 1% 18% 1% 11% 24% 44%
66 of 132 50% 84 78 <1% <1% 16% 1% 8% 21% 54%
65 of 132 49% 83 79 <1% <1% 14% 1% 5% 18% 63%
64 of 132 48% 82 80 <1% <1% 11% <1% 3% 13% 72%
63 of 132 48% 81 81 <1% <1% 9% <1% 2% 9% 80%
62 of 132 47% 80 82 <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 6% 86%
61 of 132 46% 79 83 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 4% 91%
60 of 132 45% 78 84 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 2% 93%
50 of 132 38% 68 94 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 132 30% 58 104 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 132 23% 48 114 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 132 15% 38 124 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 132 8% 28 134 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 132 0% 18 144 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs