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Tue Jun 9 7:15 am

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Tigers What If?

The Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Tigers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tigers What If?

Next Game - Twins (30‑37)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 28 39 <1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 92%
Current Standings 27 39 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 3% 93%
Lose Next Game 27 40 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 3% 94%


Current Series - Twins (30‑37) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Tigers Sweeps 30 39 <1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 4% 91%
Current Standings 27 39 <1% <1% 1% <1% 2% 3% 93%
Twins Sweeps 27 42 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 2% 96%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
96 of 96 100% 123 39 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 96 94% 117 45 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 96 83% 107 55 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 96 82% 106 56 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 96 81% 105 57 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 96 80% 104 58 90% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 96 79% 103 59 87% 13% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 96 78% 102 60 82% 17% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 96 77% 101 61 75% 24% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 96 76% 100 62 69% 29% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 96 75% 99 63 62% 35% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 96 74% 98 64 54% 41% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 96 73% 97 65 46% 46% 1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 96 72% 96 66 38% 51% 2% 8% 1% <1% <1%
68 of 96 71% 95 67 30% 53% 4% 11% 1% <1% <1%
67 of 96 70% 94 68 23% 54% 5% 15% 3% <1% <1%
66 of 96 69% 93 69 16% 53% 9% 18% 5% <1% <1%
65 of 96 68% 92 70 11% 49% 12% 21% 7% <1% <1%
64 of 96 67% 91 71 7% 43% 14% 24% 12% 1% <1%
63 of 96 66% 90 72 4% 35% 16% 25% 17% 2% <1%
62 of 96 65% 89 73 2% 28% 19% 23% 23% 4% <1%
61 of 96 64% 88 74 1% 21% 20% 21% 28% 8% 1%
60 of 96 63% 87 75 <1% 14% 19% 17% 33% 14% 2%
59 of 96 61% 86 76 <1% 9% 17% 13% 34% 21% 5%
58 of 96 60% 85 77 <1% 5% 15% 8% 31% 30% 11%
57 of 96 59% 84 78 <1% 2% 11% 5% 27% 34% 21%
56 of 96 58% 83 79 <1% 1% 9% 2% 18% 35% 35%
55 of 96 57% 82 80 <1% 1% 6% 1% 12% 30% 51%
54 of 96 56% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 6% 23% 68%
53 of 96 55% 80 82 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 14% 81%
52 of 96 54% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 7% 91%
50 of 96 52% 77 85 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 99%
40 of 96 42% 67 95 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 96 31% 57 105 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 96 21% 47 115 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 96 10% 37 125 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 96 0% 27 135 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs