The Most Important Games for the Twins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Twins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Twins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (80‑72) vs Guardians (88‑65) 1 Game Remaining |
20 | Twins Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 35% | 33% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 1 Game | X | X | X | 3% | 22% | 33% | 42% | ||
| Yankees (89‑63) vs Mariners (77‑75) 1 Game Remaining |
2 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 33% | 36% | ||
| Giants (74‑78) vs Orioles (84‑68) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Giants Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 25% | 33% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Rays (74‑78) vs Red Sox (76‑76) 1 Game Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 34% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 33% | 35% | ||
| Angels (62‑90) vs Astros (82‑70) 4 Games Remaining |
1 | Angels Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | X | 5% | 27% | 33% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 33% | 35% | ||
| Blue Jays (72‑80) vs Rangers (73‑79) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 34% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 1 Game | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 33% | 35% | ||
| Padres (87‑66) vs White Sox (36‑117) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (80‑72) vs Guardians (88‑65) |
20 | Twins Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 35% | 33% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Guardians Wins | X | X | X | 3% | 22% | 33% | 42% | ||
| Yankees (89‑63) vs Mariners (77‑75) |
2 | Yankees Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 33% | 36% | ||
| Giants (74‑78) vs Orioles (84‑68) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | 25% | 33% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Orioles Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Rays (74‑78) vs Red Sox (76‑76) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 34% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 33% | 35% | ||
| Angels (62‑90) vs Astros (82‑70) |
0 | Angels Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Blue Jays (72‑80) vs Rangers (73‑79) |
0 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 34% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 33% | 35% | ||
| Padres (87‑66) vs White Sox (36‑117) |
0 | Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 27% | 34% | 35% | ||