The Most Important Games for the Twins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Twins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Twins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (15‑20) vs Nationals (16‑19) 3 Games Remaining |
12 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 73% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 80% | ||
| Royals (15‑19) vs Guardians (18‑17) 4 Games Remaining |
3 | Royals Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Angels (13‑22) vs White Sox (16‑18) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Red Sox (13‑21) vs Tigers (18‑17) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Dodgers (21‑13) vs Astros (14‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Yankees (23‑11) vs Orioles (15‑19) 1 Game Remaining |
0 | Yankees Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 1 Game | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Blue Jays (16‑18) vs Rays (21‑12) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Mariners (16‑19) vs Braves (25‑10) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (15‑20) vs Nationals (16‑19) |
5 | Twins Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 75% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 78% | ||
| Red Sox (13‑21) vs Tigers (18‑17) |
2 | Red Sox Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Angels (13‑22) vs White Sox (16‑18) |
1 | Angels Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| White Sox Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 77% | ||
| Royals (15‑19) vs Guardians (18‑17) |
1 | Royals Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Dodgers (21‑13) vs Astros (14‑21) |
1 | Dodgers Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Braves (25‑10) vs Mariners (16‑19) |
0 | Braves Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Yankees (23‑11) vs Orioles (15‑19) |
0 | Yankees Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Orioles Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 76% | ||
| Rays (21‑12) vs Blue Jays (16‑18) |
0 | Rays Wins | 1% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 76% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 76% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 76% | ||