The Most Important Games for the Twins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Twins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Twins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (48‑49) vs Cubs (54‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
32 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 14% | 15% | 49% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 12% | 69% | ||
| Pirates (50‑47) vs Guardians (51‑46) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 62% | ||
| Blue Jays (45‑51) vs White Sox (50‑45) 3 Games Remaining |
7 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 62% | ||
| Rays (56‑38) vs Red Sox (46‑48) 4 Games Remaining |
4 | Rays Sweeps 4 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 12% | 14% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 4 Games | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 63% | ||
| Braves (55‑40) vs Rangers (49‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Angels (38‑59) vs Tigers (44‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Giants (41‑55) vs Mariners (48‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 14% | 60% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Dodgers (61‑36) vs Yankees (54‑42) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 62% | ||
| Padres (48‑48) vs Royals (38‑59) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Nationals (48‑49) vs Athletics (41‑55) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Orioles (46‑51) vs Astros (47‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (48‑49) vs Cubs (54‑42) |
10 | Twins Wins | 1% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 12% | 14% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 64% | ||
| Pirates (50‑47) vs Guardians (51‑46) |
3 | Pirates Wins | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Guardians Wins | <1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 62% | ||
| Blue Jays (45‑51) vs White Sox (50‑45) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| White Sox Wins | <1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% | ||
| Giants (41‑55) vs Mariners (48‑49) |
1 | Giants Wins | <1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Mariners Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Royals (38‑59) vs Padres (48‑48) |
1 | Royals Wins | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% | ||
| Angels (38‑59) vs Tigers (44‑52) |
1 | Angels Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Tigers Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Rays (56‑38) vs Red Sox (46‑48) |
1 | Rays Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 13% | 62% | ||
| Orioles (46‑51) vs Astros (47‑51) |
0 | Orioles Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Astros Wins | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Braves (55‑40) vs Rangers (49‑47) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Rangers Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Yankees (54‑42) vs Dodgers (61‑36) |
0 | Yankees Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 14% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 1% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Athletics (41‑55) vs Nationals (48‑49) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 61% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 1% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 13% | 62% | ||