The Most Important Games for the Twins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Twins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Twins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (56‑45) vs Tigers (51‑53) 3 Games Remaining |
40 | Twins Sweeps 3 Games | 7% | 19% | 1% | 15% | 24% | 17% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Tigers Sweeps 3 Games | 2% | 11% | 1% | 9% | 20% | 19% | 38% | ||
| Phillies (64‑38) vs Guardians (61‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
14 | Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 18% | 1% | 10% | 21% | 17% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 11% | 1% | 14% | 24% | 19% | 28% | ||
| Cubs (49‑55) vs Royals (56‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
8 | Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 16% | 1% | 12% | 24% | 17% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Royals Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 14% | 1% | 11% | 21% | 19% | 29% | ||
| Reds (49‑53) vs Rays (52‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Rays Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 22% | 18% | 29% | ||
| Yankees (60‑44) vs Red Sox (54‑47) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Yankees Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 25% | 18% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 14% | 1% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 29% | ||
| Dodgers (62‑42) vs Astros (53‑49) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Astros Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 14% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 17% | 28% | ||
| Padres (55‑50) vs Orioles (61‑41) 3 Games Remaining |
2 | Padres Sweeps 3 Games | 6% | 14% | 1% | 13% | 21% | 18% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Orioles Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 16% | 1% | 10% | 23% | 19% | 28% | ||
| White Sox (27‑78) vs Mariners (53‑51) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 19% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Athletics (42‑63) vs Angels (45‑58) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Blue Jays (46‑56) vs Rangers (51‑52) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 22% | 18% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 3 Games | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Twins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Twins (56‑45) vs Tigers (51‑53) |
15 | Twins Wins | 6% | 16% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 18% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Tigers Wins | 4% | 13% | 1% | 11% | 22% | 19% | 31% | ||
| Phillies (64‑38) vs Guardians (61‑41) |
4 | Phillies Wins | 5% | 16% | 1% | 11% | 22% | 18% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Guardians Wins | 5% | 14% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 18% | 27% | ||
| Cubs (49‑55) vs Royals (56‑47) |
2 | Cubs Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Royals Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Yankees (60‑44) vs Red Sox (54‑47) |
2 | Yankees Wins | 4% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 23% | 18% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Red Sox Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 21% | 18% | 29% | ||
| White Sox (27‑78) vs Mariners (53‑51) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Orioles (61‑41) vs Padres (55‑50) |
0 | Orioles Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 23% | 18% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Padres Wins | 5% | 14% | 1% | 12% | 21% | 19% | 28% | ||
| Athletics (42‑63) vs Angels (45‑58) |
0 | Athletics Wins | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Angels Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Rays (52‑51) vs Reds (49‑53) |
0 | Rays Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 22% | 18% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Reds Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 11% | 22% | 19% | 27% | ||
| Rangers (51‑52) vs Blue Jays (46‑56) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Dodgers (62‑42) vs Astros (53‑49) |
0 | Dodgers Wins | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 28% | ||
| Astros Wins | 5% | 15% | 1% | 12% | 22% | 17% | 28% | ||