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Mon Jun 8 12:00 am

MLB - Week 12 of 27

Twins What If?

The Twins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Twins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Twins What If?

Next Game - Tigers (27‑39)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 31 37 <1% 2% 3% 2% 5% 6% 83%
Current Standings 30 37 <1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 6% 84%
Lose Next Game 30 38 <1% 1% 2% 1% 4% 6% 86%


Current Series - Tigers (27‑39) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Twins Sweeps 33 37 <1% 2% 3% 2% 5% 7% 80%
Current Standings 30 37 <1% 2% 2% 2% 4% 6% 84%
Tigers Sweeps 30 40 <1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 5% 89%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
95 of 95 100% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
90 of 95 95% 120 42 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 95 84% 110 52 98% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 95 81% 107 55 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 95 80% 106 56 92% 8% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
75 of 95 79% 105 57 89% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 95 78% 104 58 86% 14% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 95 77% 103 59 82% 18% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 95 76% 102 60 77% 22% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 95 75% 101 61 71% 28% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 95 74% 100 62 65% 32% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 95 73% 99 63 57% 38% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 95 72% 98 64 49% 44% 1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 95 71% 97 65 43% 47% 1% 8% 1% <1% <1%
66 of 95 69% 96 66 34% 51% 2% 12% 1% <1% <1%
65 of 95 68% 95 67 26% 53% 4% 15% 2% <1% <1%
64 of 95 67% 94 68 20% 53% 5% 19% 3% <1% <1%
63 of 95 66% 93 69 13% 51% 8% 21% 6% <1% <1%
62 of 95 65% 92 70 9% 46% 10% 25% 10% 1% <1%
61 of 95 64% 91 71 5% 40% 13% 25% 14% 2% <1%
60 of 95 63% 90 72 3% 33% 14% 26% 21% 3% <1%
59 of 95 62% 89 73 1% 25% 17% 24% 26% 6% <1%
58 of 95 61% 88 74 1% 19% 18% 20% 31% 11% 1%
57 of 95 60% 87 75 <1% 12% 17% 17% 34% 16% 3%
56 of 95 59% 86 76 <1% 7% 15% 12% 34% 24% 7%
55 of 95 58% 85 77 <1% 4% 13% 7% 31% 31% 13%
54 of 95 57% 84 78 <1% 2% 11% 4% 24% 35% 24%
53 of 95 56% 83 79 <1% 1% 8% 2% 17% 35% 37%
52 of 95 55% 82 80 <1% <1% 5% 1% 10% 29% 54%
51 of 95 54% 81 81 <1% <1% 3% <1% 5% 22% 69%
50 of 95 53% 80 82 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 13% 83%
49 of 95 52% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 7% 91%
40 of 95 42% 70 92 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 95 32% 60 102 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 95 21% 50 112 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 95 11% 40 122 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 95 0% 30 132 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs