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Wed Aug 27 3:15 am

MLB - Week 24 of 28

Twins What If?

The Twins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Twins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Twins What If?

Next Game - Blue Jays (77‑56)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 61 72 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 60 72 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 60 73 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Current Series - Blue Jays (77‑56) - 1 Remaining Game

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Twins Sweeps 61 72 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Current Standings 60 72 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Blue Jays Sweeps 60 73 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
30 of 30 100% 90 72 <1% 4% 3% 56% 33% 4% <1%
29 of 30 97% 89 73 <1% 1% 2% 37% 47% 13% 1%
28 of 30 93% 88 74 <1% <1% 1% 17% 48% 29% 4%
27 of 30 90% 87 75 <1% <1% <1% 6% 36% 43% 14%
26 of 30 87% 86 76 <1% <1% <1% 2% 20% 47% 31%
25 of 30 83% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 37% 55%
24 of 30 80% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 21% 77%
23 of 30 77% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 91%
20 of 30 67% 80 82 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
15 of 30 50% 75 87 X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 30 33% 70 92 X X X X X X 100%
5 of 30 17% 65 97 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 30 0% 60 102 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs