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Fri Jul 26 1:15 am

MLB - Week 19 of 28

Twins What If?

The Twins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Twins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Twins What If?

Next Game - Tigers (51‑53)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 57 45 6% 16% 1% 12% 23% 18% 24%
Current Standings 56 45 4% 15% 1% 12% 22% 18% 28%
Lose Next Game 56 46 4% 13% 1% 11% 22% 19% 31%


Current Series - Tigers (51‑53) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Twins Sweeps 59 45 7% 19% 1% 15% 24% 17% 17%
Current Standings 56 45 4% 15% 1% 12% 22% 18% 28%
Tigers Sweeps 56 48 2% 11% 1% 9% 20% 19% 38%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
61 of 61 100% 117 45 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
60 of 61 98% 116 46 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
50 of 61 82% 106 56 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
47 of 61 77% 103 59 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
46 of 61 75% 102 60 88% 11% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
45 of 61 74% 101 61 80% 17% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
44 of 61 72% 100 62 72% 24% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
43 of 61 70% 99 63 60% 33% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
42 of 61 69% 98 64 47% 41% <1% 11% 1% <1% <1%
41 of 61 67% 97 65 36% 47% <1% 16% 1% <1% <1%
40 of 61 66% 96 66 24% 51% <1% 22% 3% <1% <1%
39 of 61 64% 95 67 14% 51% <1% 27% 7% <1% <1%
38 of 61 62% 94 68 8% 48% 1% 30% 13% <1% <1%
37 of 61 61% 93 69 4% 41% 1% 30% 22% 1% <1%
36 of 61 59% 92 70 1% 32% 2% 28% 32% 4% <1%
35 of 61 57% 91 71 <1% 23% 2% 22% 44% 9% <1%
34 of 61 56% 90 72 <1% 14% 2% 16% 48% 17% 1%
33 of 61 54% 89 73 <1% 8% 2% 10% 48% 28% 4%
32 of 61 52% 88 74 <1% 4% 2% 5% 42% 38% 10%
31 of 61 51% 87 75 <1% 1% 1% 2% 31% 44% 21%
30 of 61 49% 86 76 <1% <1% 1% 1% 19% 44% 36%
29 of 61 48% 85 77 <1% <1% <1% <1% 10% 35% 55%
28 of 61 46% 84 78 <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 24% 72%
27 of 61 44% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 13% 86%
26 of 61 43% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 95%
20 of 61 33% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 61 16% 66 96 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 61 0% 56 106 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs