PlayoffStatus.com

Tue Jul 5 1:30 am

MLS - Week 20 of 33

CF Montréal What If?

The CF Montréal What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the CF Montréal play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

CF Montréal What If?

Next Game - Sporting KC (4‑11‑4)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 10 7 2 32 23% 20% 16% 12% 9% 7% 5% 8%
Current Standings 9 7 2 29 22% 19% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 11%
Lose Next Game 9 8 2 29 14% 17% 16% 12% 11% 9% 7% 15%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 28% 19% 14% 10% 9% 6% 5% 8%
Current Standings 22% 19% 15% 12% 9% 7% 5% 11%
Worst Case Scenario 13% 17% 16% 13% 10% 9% 7% 15%
Best Case Scenario
   D.C. United beats Union
   Revolution beats NY City FC
   CF Montréal beats Sporting KC
Worst Case Scenario
   Union beats D.C. United
   NY City FC beats Revolution
   Sporting KC beats CF Montréal
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L T Pts 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
16 of 16 100% 25 7 2 77 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
15 of 16 94% 24 8 2 74 96% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 16 88% 23 9 2 71 87% 12% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
13 of 16 81% 22 10 2 68 71% 26% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
12 of 16 75% 21 11 2 65 48% 43% 9% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
11 of 16 69% 20 12 2 62 23% 48% 26% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1%
10 of 16 63% 19 13 2 59 7% 31% 41% 18% 3% <1% <1% <1%
9 of 16 56% 18 14 2 56 1% 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% <1% <1%
8 of 16 50% 17 15 2 53 <1% 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1%
7 of 16 44% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 12%
6 of 16 38% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 56%
5 of 16 31% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 6% 93%
4 of 16 25% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 16 19% 12 20 2 38 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 16 13% 11 21 2 35 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 16 6% 10 22 2 32 X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 16 0% 9 23 2 29 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs