The CF Montréal What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the CF Montréal play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 7 | 2 | 32 | 23% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 11% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 8 | 2 | 29 | 14% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 15% |
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 28% | 19% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 8% |
| Current Standings | 22% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 11% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 13% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 15% |
|
Best Case Scenario D.C. United beats Union Revolution beats NY City FC CF Montréal beats Sporting KC |
Worst Case Scenario Union beats D.C. United NY City FC beats Revolution Sporting KC beats CF Montréal |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* | 2** | 3** | 4** | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 25 | 7 | 2 | 77 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 24 | 8 | 2 | 74 | 96% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 23 | 9 | 2 | 71 | 87% | 12% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 22 | 10 | 2 | 68 | 71% | 26% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65 | 48% | 43% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 20 | 12 | 2 | 62 | 23% | 48% | 26% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 19 | 13 | 2 | 59 | 7% | 31% | 41% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 18 | 14 | 2 | 56 | 1% | 8% | 31% | 39% | 18% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 17 | 15 | 2 | 53 | <1% | 1% | 7% | 27% | 38% | 22% | 5% | 1% |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 16 | 16 | 2 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 20% | 35% | 29% | 12% |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 15 | 17 | 2 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 30% | 56% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 14 | 18 | 2 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 93% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 13 | 19 | 2 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 12 | 20 | 2 | 38 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 11 | 21 | 2 | 35 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 10 | 22 | 2 | 32 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 9 | 23 | 2 | 29 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |