The CF Montréal What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the CF Montréal play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Win Next Game | 7 | 8 | 0 | 21 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 48% |
Current Standings | 6 | 8 | 0 | 18 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 54% |
Lose Next Game | 6 | 9 | 0 | 18 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 59% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | |
Best Case Scenario | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 41% |
Current Standings | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 54% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 63% |
Best Case Scenario CF Montréal beats D.C. United CF Montréal beats Union |
Worst Case Scenario D.C. United beats CF Montréal Union beats CF Montréal |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Bye and Second Round Home Field Advantage |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8*** First Round Home Field Advantage |
9 | 10 | ||
20 of 20 | 100% | 26 | 8 | 0 | 78 | 73% | 27% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
19 of 20 | 95% | 25 | 9 | 0 | 75 | 56% | 41% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
18 of 20 | 90% | 24 | 10 | 0 | 72 | 38% | 52% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
17 of 20 | 85% | 23 | 11 | 0 | 69 | 21% | 54% | 22% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
16 of 20 | 80% | 22 | 12 | 0 | 66 | 9% | 43% | 38% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
15 of 20 | 75% | 21 | 13 | 0 | 63 | 2% | 23% | 44% | 25% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
14 of 20 | 70% | 20 | 14 | 0 | 60 | <1% | 7% | 30% | 40% | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
13 of 20 | 65% | 19 | 15 | 0 | 57 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 30% | 36% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
12 of 20 | 60% | 18 | 16 | 0 | 54 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 26% | 35% | 22% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
11 of 20 | 55% | 17 | 17 | 0 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 21% | 34% | 26% | 10% | 2% |
10 of 20 | 50% | 16 | 18 | 0 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 31% | 31% | 19% |
9 of 20 | 45% | 15 | 19 | 0 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 61% |
8 of 20 | 40% | 14 | 20 | 0 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
7 of 20 | 35% | 13 | 21 | 0 | 39 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
6 of 20 | 30% | 12 | 22 | 0 | 36 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
5 of 20 | 25% | 11 | 23 | 0 | 33 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
4 of 20 | 20% | 10 | 24 | 0 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
3 of 20 | 15% | 9 | 25 | 0 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |
2 of 20 | 10% | 8 | 26 | 0 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
1 of 20 | 5% | 7 | 27 | 0 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
0 of 20 | 0% | 6 | 28 | 0 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |