PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Arkansas Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Arkansas will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 45% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Arkansas makes the playoffs 45% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (113)Arkansas opponents win (SOS related)
  • (113)Arkansas plays in the SEC Championship Game
Arkansas Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 102 12 1 - - 100%
2 BYU (73) Big 12Big 12 101 12 1 - - 100%
3 Arkansas (113) SECSEC 99 12 1 - - 100%
4 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 96 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 95 11 2 - - X
6 Coastal Carolina (10) SunbeltSunbelt 91 12 1 - - X
7 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 91 11 2 - - X
8 Stanford (103) ACCACC 90 10 2 - - X
9 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 89 10 2 - - X
10 Georgia St. (66) SunbeltSunbelt 89 11 1 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Arkansas misses the playoffs 55% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (113)Arkansas opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (113)Arkansas does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
Arkansas Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 102 13 0 - - 100%
2 Arizona (12) Big 12Big 12 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 96 12 1 - - 100%
4 Florida Intl. (34) Conference USAConf. USA 92 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Arkansas (113) SECSEC 89 12 1 - - X
6 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 86 12 1 - - X
7 Indiana (131) Big 10Big 10 85 11 2 - - X
8 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 85 12 1 - - X
9 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 84 11 1 - - X
10 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 84 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot