If it wins its remaining games, Arkansas makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 90% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Arkansas makes the playoffs 90% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Akron (23) | MACMAC | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Arkansas (113) | SECSEC | 103 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Washington (95) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Northern Illinois (32) | MACMAC | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Central Michigan (18) | MACMAC | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Missouri (119) | SECSEC | 85 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Arkansas misses the playoffs 10% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas missing the playoffs.
(113)Arkansas opponents lose (SOS related)
(113)Arkansas does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
(88)LA Monroe wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 93 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Arkansas (113) | SECSEC | 90 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | SMU (94) | ACCACC | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Ga. Southern (8) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |