PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Arkansas Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Arkansas makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 90% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Arkansas makes the playoffs 90% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Arkansas Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Akron (23) MACMAC 104 12 1 - - 100%
2 Arkansas (113) SECSEC 103 13 0 - - 100%
3 Washington (95) Big 10Big 10 93 12 1 - - 100%
4 Kentucky (111) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 BYU (73) Big 12Big 12 90 11 2 - - X
6 Northern Illinois (32) MACMAC 89 11 2 - - X
7 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 88 11 2 - - X
8 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 86 10 2 - - X
9 LA Monroe (88) SunbeltSunbelt 86 11 2 - - X
10 Missouri (119) SECSEC 85 9 3 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Arkansas misses the playoffs 10% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (113)Arkansas opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (113)Arkansas does not plays in the SEC Championship Game
  • (88)LA Monroe wins out
Arkansas Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 104 12 1 - - 100%
2 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 96 12 1 - - 100%
3 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 93 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 Arkansas (113) SECSEC 90 13 0 - - X
6 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 89 10 2 - - X
7 New Mexico St. (13) Conference USAConf. USA 89 11 2 - - X
8 SMU (94) ACCACC 88 10 2 - - X
9 Ga. Southern (8) SunbeltSunbelt 88 11 2 - - X
10 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 88 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot