PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Cincinnati Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Cincinnati will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 53% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Cincinnati makes the playoffs 53% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Cincinnati making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (72)Cincinnati opponents win (SOS related)
Cincinnati Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Cincinnati (72) Big 12Big 12 98 12 1 - - 100%
2 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 97 13 0 - - 100%
3 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 92 11 2 - - 100%
4 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 91 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - X
6 Florida Atlantic (63) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 11 2 - - X
7 Purdue (117) Big 10Big 10 84 11 2 - - X
8 Buffalo (48) MACMAC 84 10 2 - - X
9 Kent State (15) MACMAC 83 10 3 - - X
10 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 83 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Cincinnati misses the playoffs 47% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Cincinnati missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (72)Cincinnati opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (72)Cincinnati does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
  • (7)Baylor wins 12 or more games
  • (11)UTEP wins 12 or more games
Cincinnati Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Illinois (99) Big 10Big 10 101 13 0 - - 100%
2 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 Miami (81) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Boston College (89) ACCACC 89 11 2 - - X
6 Cincinnati (72) Big 12Big 12 88 12 1 - - X
7 UNLV (56) Mountain WestMntn West 87 10 3 - - X
8 Boise State (62) Mountain WestMntn West 87 9 3 - - X
9 SMU (94) ACCACC 86 10 2 - - X
10 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 84 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot