PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Marshall Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Marshall will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 50% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Marshall makes the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Marshall making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (50)Marshall opponents win (SOS related)
Marshall Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Kentucky (111) SECSEC 103 12 1 - - 100%
2 Louisville (80) ACCACC 99 11 2 - - 100%
3 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 98 12 1 - - 100%
4 Florida (84) SECSEC 96 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 UNLV (56) Mountain WestMntn West 95 13 0 - - X
6 Miami (81) ACCACC 94 11 2 - - X
7 Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) SECSEC 93 11 1 - - X
8 Virginia (78) ACCACC 89 10 2 - - X
9 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 86 11 2 - - X
10 Ohio (21) MACMAC 86 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Marshall misses the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Marshall missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (50)Marshall opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (50)Marshall does not plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
  • (8)Ga. Southern plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
  • (10)Coastal Carolina wins the Sunbelt Championship
Marshall Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 107 12 1 - - 100%
2 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 97 12 1 - - 100%
3 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 97 11 2 - - 100%
4 Ohio (21) MACMAC 97 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 LSU (123) SECSEC 91 12 1 - - X
6 Mississippi St.Miss. St. (114) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - X
7 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 11 2 - - X
8 Maryland (105) Big 10Big 10 89 13 0 - - X
9 Miami (81) ACCACC 89 10 2 - - X
10 Florida Atlantic (63) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 11 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot