PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Marshall Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Marshall makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Marshall makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Marshall making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Marshall Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 104 13 0 - - 100%
2 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 102 13 0 - - 100%
3 UNLV (56) Mountain WestMntn West 97 12 1 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 88 11 1 - - X
6 Temple (71) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 9 3 - - X
7 Oklahoma (132) SECSEC 84 11 2 - - X
8 UCF (69) Big 12Big 12 82 11 2 - - X
9 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 82 12 1 - - X
10 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 80 9 4 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Marshall misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Marshall missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (50)Marshall opponents lose (SOS related)
Marshall Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 99 12 1 - - 100%
2 Michigan (134) Big 10Big 10 95 10 2 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 94 12 1 - - 100%
4 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 94 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 94 11 2 - - X
6 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 92 13 0 - - X
7 Auburn (128) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - X
8 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 89 11 2 - - X
9 Liberty (2) Conference USAConf. USA 85 11 2 - - X
10 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 85 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot