PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

N.C. State Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, N.C. State will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 41% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, N.C. State makes the playoffs 41% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to N.C. State making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (106)N.C. State opponents win (SOS related)
  • (106)N.C. State plays in the ACC Championship Game
N.C. State Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Wake Forest (112) ACCACC 107 13 0 - - 100%
2 LA Monroe (88) SunbeltSunbelt 102 13 0 - - 100%
3 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 99 11 1 - - 100%
4 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 98 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Baylor (7) Big 12Big 12 95 13 0 - - X
6 Old Dominion (51) SunbeltSunbelt 95 12 1 - - X
7 Virginia (78) ACCACC 94 11 2 - - X
8 Iowa (122) Big 10Big 10 94 11 2 - - X
9 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 92 12 1 - - X
10 Texas A&M (127) SECSEC 92 13 0 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, N.C. State misses the playoffs 59% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to N.C. State missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (106)N.C. State opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (106)N.C. State does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
  • (98)Virginia Tech wins the ACC Championship
  • (78)Virginia wins the ACC Championship
N.C. State Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Clemson (93) ACCACC 98 11 2 - - 100%
2 Marshall (50) SunbeltSunbelt 95 11 2 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 94 11 2 - - 100%
4 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 91 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Alabama (126) SECSEC 91 12 1 - - X
6 USC (108) Big 10Big 10 90 12 1 - - X
7 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 90 12 1 - - X
8 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 88 11 1 - - X
9 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 88 12 1 - - X
10 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 86 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot