PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

N.C. State Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, N.C. State makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 88% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, N.C. State makes the playoffs 88% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to N.C. State making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
N.C. State Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 107 13 0 - - 100%
2 Rutgers (102) Big 10Big 10 98 13 0 - - 100%
3 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Notre Dame (130) NCAA IndependentsInd. 86 9 3 - - 100%
 
5 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 86 10 3 - - X
6 Tennessee (115) SECSEC 82 10 3 - - X
7 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 82 11 2 - - X
8 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 82 11 2 - - X
9 Stanford (103) ACCACC 81 9 3 - - X
10 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 80 9 3 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, N.C. State misses the playoffs 12% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to N.C. State missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (106)N.C. State opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (106)N.C. State does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
  • (98)Virginia Tech wins the ACC Championship
  • (98)Virginia Tech wins out
N.C. State Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Kansas St. (38) Big 12Big 12 102 11 2 - - 100%
2 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 97 12 1 - - 100%
3 Boston College (89) ACCACC 95 11 2 - - 100%
4 Utah (53) Big 12Big 12 94 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 91 13 0 - - X
6 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 10 3 - - X
7 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 87 11 2 - - X
8 UCLA (101) Big 10Big 10 87 11 2 - - X
9 Cincinnati (72) Big 12Big 12 84 9 3 - - X
10 Kansas (57) Big 12Big 12 84 9 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot