PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

SMU Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, SMU makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 90% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, SMU makes the playoffs 90% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to SMU making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
SMU Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 SMU (94) ACCACC 106 13 0 - - 100%
2 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 97 11 2 - - 100%
3 Clemson (93) ACCACC 97 11 1 - - 100%
4 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 91 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 Florida (84) SECSEC 90 12 1 - - X
6 Boise State (62) Mountain WestMntn West 90 11 2 - - X
7 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 90 10 2 - - X
8 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 83 11 2 - - X
9 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 83 10 2 - - X
10 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 83 10 2 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, SMU misses the playoffs 10% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to SMU missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (94)SMU opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (94)SMU does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
  • (98)Virginia Tech wins the ACC Championship
  • (106)N.C. State wins the ACC Championship
  • (98)Virginia Tech wins out
SMU Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Eastern Michigan (45) MACMAC 107 12 1 - - 100%
2 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 98 12 1 - - 100%
3 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 96 12 1 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 95 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 94 13 0 - - X
6 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 94 11 2 - - X
7 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 94 11 2 - - X
8 SMU (94) ACCACC 93 13 0 - - X
9 Ga. Southern (8) SunbeltSunbelt 93 13 0 - - X
10 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot