If it loses one of its remaining games, SMU will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 45% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, SMU makes the playoffs 45% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to SMU making the playoffs.
(94)SMU opponents win (SOS related)
(94)SMU plays in the ACC Championship Game
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | SMU (94) | ACCACC | 106 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 99 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Washington (95) | Big 10Big 10 | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | UL Lafayette (60) | SunbeltSunbelt | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Central Michigan (18) | MACMAC | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Hawaii (20) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Ohio (21) | MACMAC | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Nevada (43) | Mountain WestMntn West | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, SMU misses the playoffs 55% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to SMU missing the playoffs.
(94)SMU opponents lose (SOS related)
(94)SMU does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(98)Virginia Tech wins the ACC Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Ohio St. (129) | Big 10Big 10 | 104 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Baylor (7) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Western Michigan (17) | MACMAC | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | James Madison (59) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Northern Illinois (32) | MACMAC | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Texas (133) | SECSEC | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |