PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

South Florida Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, South Florida will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 53% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, South Florida makes the playoffs 53% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to South Florida making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (70)South Florida opponents win (SOS related)
South Florida Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 South Florida (70) American AthleticAm. Athletic 107 12 1 - - 100%
2 Old Dominion (51) SunbeltSunbelt 97 12 1 - - 100%
3 Duke (64) ACCACC 96 12 1 - - 100%
4 UCF (69) Big 12Big 12 93 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 93 11 1 - - X
6 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 85 11 2 - - X
7 Texas Tech (61) Big 12Big 12 84 11 1 - - X
8 Florida Atlantic (63) American AthleticAm. Athletic 83 10 3 - - X
9 Kennesaw St. (5) Conference USAConf. USA 83 11 2 - - X
10 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 82 9 3 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, South Florida misses the playoffs 47% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to South Florida missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (70)South Florida opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (70)South Florida does not plays in the Am. Athletic Championship Game
  • (29)East Carolina wins the Am. Athletic Championship
  • (54)North Texas wins the Am. Athletic Championship
South Florida Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 SMU (94) ACCACC 101 13 0 - - 100%
2 Arizona St. (74) Big 12Big 12 98 11 2 - - 100%
3 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 93 12 0 - - 100%
4 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 South Florida (70) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 12 1 - - X
6 Ohio St. (129) Big 10Big 10 88 11 2 - - X
7 Oregon (124) Big 10Big 10 87 11 2 - - X
8 Oregon St. (85) NCAA IndependentsInd. 86 10 2 - - X
9 W. Kentucky (1) Conference USAConf. USA 85 12 1 - - X
10 Baylor (7) Big 12Big 12 82 10 3 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot