Are the Oregon Ducks going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Oregon standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 9 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| Ohio St. | 4i Ohio St. Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 26 vs Illinois 42-19 Won Sat, Oct 03 @ Iowa 31-14 Won Sat, Oct 10 vs Maryland 45-16 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ Indiana 19-15 Sat, Oct 31 @ USC Sat, Nov 07 vs Oregon Sat, Nov 14 vs N. Western Sat, Nov 21 @ Nebraska |
0 | 4 | 28% | 21% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| UCLA | 4 UCLA Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Purdue 52-38 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Maryland 54-3 Won Sat, Oct 10 @ Oregon 17-15 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Wisconsin 17-7 Sat, Oct 24 vs Michigan St. Sat, Oct 31 vs Nevada Sat, Nov 07 @ Minnesota Fri, Nov 13 vs Illinois |
0 | 4 | 42% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| USC | 3 USC Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 19 @ Rutgers 42-35 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Oregon 27-41 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Wash. 25-21 Won Sat, Oct 10 @ Penn St. 31-23 Sat, Oct 24 @ Wisconsin Sat, Oct 31 vs Ohio St. Sat, Nov 14 @ Indiana Sat, Nov 21 vs Maryland |
1 | 4 | 8% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Indiana | 3 Indiana Recent Games Won Fri, Sep 25 vs N. Western 29-23 Won Sat, Oct 03 @ Rutgers 47-15 Won Sat, Oct 10 @ Nebraska 20-17 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Ohio St. 15-19 Sat, Oct 24 @ Michigan Sat, Oct 31 vs Minnesota Sat, Nov 14 vs USC Sat, Nov 21 @ Wash. |
1 | 4 | 8% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Oregon | 2 Oregon Recent Games Won Fri, Sep 18 vs Portland State 84-0 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ USC 41-27 Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs UCLA 15-17 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Nebraska 17-14 Sat, Oct 24 @ Illinois Sat, Oct 31 vs N. Western Sat, Nov 07 @ Ohio St. Sat, Nov 14 vs Michigan |
1 | 3 | 4% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Iowa | 2 Iowa Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Northern Iowa 55-0 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Michigan 20-19 Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Ohio St. 14-31 Won Fri, Oct 09 @ Wash. 41-24 Sat, Oct 24 @ Minnesota Sat, Oct 31 vs Wisconsin Sat, Nov 07 @ N. Western Sat, Nov 14 vs Purdue |
1 | 3 | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Minnesota | 2 Minnesota Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Akron 41-7 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Wash. 27-24 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Michigan 20-14 Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ Purdue 13-41 Sat, Oct 24 vs Iowa Sat, Oct 31 @ Indiana Sat, Nov 07 vs UCLA Sat, Nov 14 @ Penn St. |
1 | 3 | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 2 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 19 vs E. Michigan 54-10 Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Penn St. 24-20 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Michigan St. 31-3 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ UCLA 7-17 Sat, Oct 24 vs USC Sat, Oct 31 @ Iowa Sat, Nov 07 vs Rutgers Sat, Nov 14 @ Maryland |
1 | 3 | 1% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 2 Northwestern Recent Games Lost Fri, Sep 25 @ Indiana 23-29 Won Fri, Oct 02 vs Penn St. 34-13 Won Sat, Oct 10 vs Ball State 45-14 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ Michigan St. 24-21 Sat, Oct 24 vs Rutgers Sat, Oct 31 @ Oregon Sat, Nov 07 vs Iowa Sat, Nov 14 @ Ohio St. |
1 | 3 | 3% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Purdue | 2 Purdue Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Notre Dame 10-49 Won Sat, Oct 03 @ Illinois 24-17 Won Sat, Oct 10 vs Minnesota 41-13 Lost Fri, Oct 16 vs Wash. 26-38 Sat, Oct 31 @ Penn St. Sat, Nov 07 vs Maryland Sat, Nov 14 @ Iowa Sat, Nov 21 vs Wisconsin |
2 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Nebraska | 2 Nebraska Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 26 @ Michigan St. 31-13 Won Sat, Oct 03 vs Maryland 48-23 Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs Indiana 17-20 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ Oregon 14-17 Sat, Oct 31 vs Wash. Fri, Nov 06 @ Illinois Sat, Nov 14 @ Rutgers Sat, Nov 21 vs Ohio St. |
2 | 4 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Illinois | 1 Illinois Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 19 vs Southern Illinois 48-10 Lost Sat, Sep 26 @ Ohio St. 19-42 Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Purdue 17-24 Won Sat, Oct 10 @ Michigan St. 38-37 Sat, Oct 24 vs Oregon Sat, Oct 31 @ Maryland Fri, Nov 06 vs Nebraska Fri, Nov 13 @ UCLA |
2 | 3 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 4% |
| Michigan | 1 Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 19 vs UTEP 52-17 Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Iowa 19-20 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ Minnesota 14-20 Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Penn St. 21-18 Sat, Oct 24 vs Indiana Sat, Oct 31 @ Rutgers Sat, Nov 07 vs Michigan St. Sat, Nov 14 @ Oregon |
2 | 3 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Rutgers | 1 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 19 vs USC 35-42 Won Fri, Sep 25 vs Howard 58-7 Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs Indiana 15-47 Won Sat, Oct 17 @ Maryland 37-30 Sat, Oct 24 @ N. Western Sat, Oct 31 vs Michigan Sat, Nov 07 @ Wisconsin Sat, Nov 14 vs Nebraska |
2 | 3 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Washington | 1 Washington Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Minnesota 24-27 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ USC 21-25 Lost Fri, Oct 09 vs Iowa 24-41 Won Fri, Oct 16 @ Purdue 38-26 Sat, Oct 31 @ Nebraska Sat, Nov 07 vs Penn St. Sat, Nov 14 @ Michigan St. Sat, Nov 21 vs Indiana |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Maryland | 0 Maryland Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs UCLA 3-54 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ Nebraska 23-48 Lost Sat, Oct 10 @ Ohio St. 16-45 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Rutgers 30-37 Sat, Oct 31 vs Illinois Sat, Nov 07 @ Purdue Sat, Nov 14 vs Wisconsin Sat, Nov 21 @ USC |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 31% |
| Michigan St. | 0 Michigan St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Nebraska 13-31 Lost Sat, Oct 03 @ Wisconsin 3-31 Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs Illinois 37-38 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs N. Western 21-24 Sat, Oct 24 @ UCLA Sat, Nov 07 @ Michigan Sat, Nov 14 vs Wash. Fri, Nov 20 vs Oregon |
4 | 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 22% | 30% |
| Penn St. | 0 Penn St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Wisconsin 20-24 Lost Fri, Oct 02 @ N. Western 13-34 Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs USC 23-31 Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ Michigan 18-21 Sat, Oct 31 vs Purdue Sat, Nov 07 @ Wash. Sat, Nov 14 vs Minnesota Sat, Nov 21 vs Rutgers |
4 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)UCLA | 4 | 0 | 7% |
| (1)Ohio St. | 4 | 0 | 1% |
| (3)USC | 3 | 1 | 1% |
| (4)Indiana | 3 | 1 | 1% |
| (6)Iowa | 2 | 1 | 1% |
| (8)Wisconsin | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (7)Minnesota | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (9)NorthwesternN. Western | 2 | 1 | <1% |
| (11)Nebraska | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (13)Michigan | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (10)Purdue | 2 | 2 | <1% |
| (12)Illinois | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (14)Rutgers | 1 | 2 | <1% |
| (15)Washington | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (16)Maryland | 0 | 4 | X |
| (17)Michigan St. | 0 | 4 | X |
| (18)Penn St. | 0 | 4 | X |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | USC (6‑1) |
41‑27 | Away | Sat Sep 26, 7:30 pm |
| 6 | UCLA (6‑0) |
15‑17 | Home | Sat Oct 10, 3:30 pm |
| 7 | Nebraska (5‑2) |
17‑14 | Home | Sat Oct 17, 11:00 pm |
| 8 | Illinois (3‑3) |
Away | Sat Oct 24, TBD | |
| 9 | NorthwesternN. Western (5‑1) |
Home | Sat Oct 31, TBD | |
| 10 | Ohio St. (6‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 7, TBD | |
| 11 | Michigan (4‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 14, TBD | |
| 12 | Michigan St. (2‑5) |
Away | Fri Nov 20, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Washington (4‑3) |
Home | Sat Nov 28, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boise State (5‑1) |
PAC 12PAC 12 | 34‑27 | Home | Sat Sep 5, 3:30 pm |
| 2 | Oklahoma St. (4‑2) |
Big 12Big 12 | 31‑39 | Away | Sat Sep 12, 12:00 pm |
| 3 | Portland State | ‑‑ | 84‑0 | Home | Fri Sep 18, 10:30 pm |