PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Nov 26 8:45 pm

NCAA Football - Week 13 of 13

USC Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, USC will make the 2022 NCAA Football Playoffs 7% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, USC makes the playoffs 7% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (5)USC opponents win (SOS related)
  • (5)USC beats (17)Notre Dame
  • (4)LSU loses out
  • (3)TCU loses out
USC Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Georgia (1) SECSEC 118 13 0 - - 100%
2 Michigan (2) Big 10Big 10 116 13 0 - - 100%
3 TCU (3) Big 12Big 12 110 13 0 - - 100%
4 USC (5) PAC 12PAC 12 104 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 LSU (4) SECSEC 104 10 3 - - X
6 Alabama (6) SECSEC 103 10 2 - - X
7 Oregon (11) PAC 12PAC 12 102 10 3 - - X
8 Ohio St. (7) Big 10Big 10 101 11 1 - - X
9 Penn St. (9) Big 10Big 10 97 10 2 - - X
10 Kansas St. (10) Big 12Big 12 96 9 4 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, USC misses the playoffs 93% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
USC Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Georgia (1) SECSEC 117 13 0 - - 100%
2 Michigan (2) Big 10Big 10 116 13 0 - - 100%
3 TCU (3) Big 12Big 12 111 13 0 - - 100%
4 LSU (4) SECSEC 104 10 3 - - 100%
 
5 Alabama (6) SECSEC 103 10 2 - - X
6 Ohio St. (7) Big 10Big 10 102 11 1 - - X
7 Tennessee (8) SECSEC 102 10 2 - - X
8 USC (5) PAC 12PAC 12 100 11 2 - - X
9 Kansas St. (10) Big 12Big 12 97 9 4 - - X
10 Penn St. (9) Big 10Big 10 97 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot