PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Sep 23 11:15 pm

NCAA Football - Week 4 of 13

USC Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Current

Based upon current play, USC makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 15% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

Based upon current play, USC makes the playoffs 15% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (15)USC wins 8 or more games
  • (15)USC wins the PAC 12 Championship
USC Most Likely Outcome - Current - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Alabama (8) SECSEC 109 11 2 - - 100%
2 USC (15) PAC 12PAC 12 107 11 2 - - 100%
3 Michigan (1) Big 10Big 10 105 11 2 - - 100%
4 Georgia (4) SECSEC 104 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Kansas (21) Big 12Big 12 102 13 0 - - X
6 Washington St. (13) PAC 12PAC 12 101 12 1 - - X
7 Notre Dame (23) NCAA IndependentsInd. 95 11 1 - - X
8 Florida St. (7) ACCACC 93 11 2 - - X
9 Oklahoma (12) Big 12Big 12 92 11 2 - - X
10 Duke (20) ACCACC 90 11 2 - - X




Based upon current play, USC misses the playoffs 85% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (15)USC loses 3 or more games
USC Most Likely Outcome - Current - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 LSU (10) SECSEC 110 10 3 - - 100%
2 Florida St. (7) ACCACC 109 13 0 - - 100%
3 Michigan (1) Big 10Big 10 104 12 1 - - 100%
4 Oregon (6) PAC 12PAC 12 103 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Oklahoma (12) Big 12Big 12 99 12 1 - - X
6 Florida (17) SECSEC 99 10 3 - - X
7 Ohio St. (3) Big 10Big 10 96 10 2 - - X
8 Kansas (21) Big 12Big 12 95 11 2 - - X
9 Washington (11) PAC 12PAC 12 92 11 2 - - X
10 Missouri (18) SECSEC 91 11 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot