Based upon current play, USC makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 15% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, USC makes the playoffs 15% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC making the playoffs.
(15)USC wins 8 or more games
(15)USC wins the PAC 12 Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Alabama (8) | SECSEC | 109 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | USC (15) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 107 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Michigan (1) | Big 10Big 10 | 105 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Georgia (4) | SECSEC | 104 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Kansas (21) | Big 12Big 12 | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Washington St. (13) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Notre Dame (23) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 95 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Florida St. (7) | ACCACC | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Oklahoma (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Duke (20) | ACCACC | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, USC misses the playoffs 85% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to USC missing the playoffs.
(15)USC loses 3 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | LSU (10) | SECSEC | 110 | 10 | 3 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Florida St. (7) | ACCACC | 109 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Michigan (1) | Big 10Big 10 | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Oregon (6) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 103 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Oklahoma (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Florida (17) | SECSEC | 99 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Ohio St. (3) | Big 10Big 10 | 96 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Kansas (21) | Big 12Big 12 | 95 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Washington (11) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Missouri (18) | SECSEC | 91 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |