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NHL - Week 4 of 27

Flyers What If?

The Flyers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Flyers play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Flyers What If?

Next Game - Lightning (4-2-1)

  Resultant Record  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L OTL Pts 1* 2* 3 1* 2* 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 3 4 2 8 5% 10% 12% - - - 7% 6% 60%
Current Standings 2 4 2 6 5% 10% 12% - - - 6% 6% 61%
Lose Next Game 2 5 2 6 4% 9% 12% - - - 6% 6% 63%




Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L OTL Pts 1* 2* 3 1* 2* 3 7 8 9
74 of 74 100% 76 4 2 154 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 74 95% 72 8 2 146 > 99% < 1% < 1% - - - < 1% ^ ^
63 of 74 85% 65 15 2 132 94% 6% < 1% - - - < 1% < 1% < 1%
62 of 74 84% 64 16 2 130 89% 10% < 1% - - - < 1% < 1% < 1%
61 of 74 82% 63 17 2 128 83% 16% 1% - - - < 1% < 1% < 1%
60 of 74 81% 62 18 2 126 77% 22% 2% - - - < 1% < 1% < 1%
59 of 74 80% 61 19 2 124 68% 28% 3% - - - < 1% < 1% < 1%
58 of 74 78% 60 20 2 122 60% 34% 6% - - - < 1% < 1% < 1%
57 of 74 77% 59 21 2 120 53% 39% 8% - - - < 1% < 1% < 1%
56 of 74 76% 58 22 2 118 43% 43% 12% - - - 1% < 1% < 1%
55 of 74 74% 57 23 2 116 36% 45% 17% - - - 2% < 1% < 1%
54 of 74 73% 56 24 2 114 29% 46% 22% - - - 3% < 1% < 1%
53 of 74 72% 55 25 2 112 24% 44% 26% - - - 6% 1% < 1%
52 of 74 70% 54 26 2 110 19% 42% 30% - - - 8% 1% < 1%
51 of 74 69% 53 27 2 108 15% 39% 34% - - - 11% 2% < 1%
50 of 74 68% 52 28 2 106 11% 36% 35% - - - 15% 3% < 1%
49 of 74 66% 51 29 2 104 9% 32% 37% - - - 18% 4% < 1%
48 of 74 65% 50 30 2 102 7% 28% 38% - - - 20% 6% 1%
47 of 74 64% 49 31 2 100 5% 23% 38% - - - 22% 10% 2%
46 of 74 62% 48 32 2 98 4% 20% 37% - - - 23% 12% 3%
45 of 74 61% 47 33 2 96 3% 17% 36% - - - 24% 16% 5%
44 of 74 59% 46 34 2 94 2% 14% 33% - - - 23% 20% 8%
43 of 74 58% 45 35 2 92 1% 11% 31% - - - 22% 22% 13%
42 of 74 57% 44 36 2 90 1% 9% 28% - - - 20% 24% 18%
41 of 74 55% 43 37 2 88 1% 7% 23% - - - 17% 26% 26%
40 of 74 54% 42 38 2 86 < 1% 6% 22% - - - 14% 25% 33%
39 of 74 53% 41 39 2 84 < 1% 4% 18% - - - 11% 24% 42%
38 of 74 51% 40 40 2 82 < 1% 3% 15% - - - 9% 22% 51%
37 of 74 50% 39 41 2 80 < 1% 2% 13% - - - 6% 19% 60%
36 of 74 49% 38 42 2 78 < 1% 2% 10% - - - 4% 16% 68%
35 of 74 47% 37 43 2 76 < 1% 1% 8% - - - 3% 13% 75%
34 of 74 46% 36 44 2 74 < 1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 9% 83%
33 of 74 45% 35 45 2 72 < 1% < 1% 4% - - - 1% 6% 88%
32 of 74 43% 34 46 2 70 < 1% < 1% 3% - - - < 1% 3% 92%
31 of 74 42% 33 47 2 68 < 1% < 1% 2% - - - < 1% 2% 95%
30 of 74 41% 32 48 2 66 < 1% < 1% 2% - - - < 1% 1% 97%
20 of 74 27% 22 58 2 46 < 1% < 1% < 1% - - - < 1% < 1% > 99%
10 of 74 14% 12 68 2 26 X X X - - - X X 100%
0 of 74 0% 2 78 2 6 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes home field advantage in the first round of the playoffs