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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Ducks Western 51 24 7 2-1 25% 45% 80% 100% ^
Blackhawks Western 48 28 6 3-0 24% 46% 96% 100% ^
Lightning Eastern 50 24 8 2-0 22% 45% 84% 100% ^
Rangers Eastern 53 22 7 1-2 14% 26% 44% 100% ^
Capitals Eastern 45 26 11 2-1 8% 21% 56% 100% ^
Canadiens Eastern 50 22 10 0-2 4% 8% 16% 100% ^
Flames Western 45 30 7 1-2 3% 7% 20% 100% ^
Wild Western 46 28 8 0-3 1% 2% 4% 100% ^
Blues Western 51 24 7   X X X X 100%
Predators Western 47 25 10   X X X X 100%
Canucks Western 48 29 5   X X X X 100%
Islanders Eastern 47 28 7   X X X X 100%
Red Wings Eastern 43 25 14   X X X X 100%
Jets Western 43 26 13   X X X X 100%
Senators Eastern 43 26 13   X X X X 100%
Penguins Eastern 43 27 12   X X X X 100%
Bruins Eastern 41 27 14   X X X X X
Kings Western 40 27 15   X X X X X
Stars Western 41 31 10   X X X X X
Panthers Eastern 38 29 15   X X X X X
Avalanche Western 39 31 12   X X X X X
Blue Jackets Eastern 42 35 5   X X X X X
Sharks Western 40 33 9   X X X X X
Flyers Eastern 33 31 18   X X X X X
Devils Eastern 32 36 14   X X X X X
Hurricanes Eastern 30 41 11   X X X X X
Maple Leafs Eastern 30 44 8   X X X X X
Oilers Western 24 44 14   X X X X X
Coyotes Western 24 50 8   X X X X X
Sabres Eastern 23 51 8   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot