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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Canadiens Eastern 8 2 0   9% 16% 26% 45% 76%
Ducks Western 8 2 0   9% 15% 24% 44% 77%
Kings Western 7 1 1   8% 13% 23% 41% 74%
Predators Western 6 1 2   6% 11% 21% 39% 71%
Penguins Eastern 5 2 1   5% 10% 20% 36% 65%
Wild Western 5 3 0   5% 9% 19% 35% 64%
Islanders Eastern 6 3 0   5% 9% 19% 35% 63%
Lightning Eastern 6 3 1   5% 9% 17% 32% 61%
Canucks Western 6 3 0   5% 9% 16% 32% 63%
Senators Eastern 5 2 1   5% 9% 16% 32% 61%
Red Wings Eastern 5 2 2   4% 8% 14% 29% 59%
Blackhawks Western 5 3 1   4% 7% 15% 31% 60%
Rangers Eastern 5 4 0   4% 7% 15% 29% 56%
Sharks Western 6 4 1   3% 7% 14% 28% 58%
Blues Western 4 3 1   3% 6% 14% 29% 57%
Stars Western 4 2 3   2% 5% 12% 26% 53%
Blue Jackets Eastern 4 5 0   2% 5% 12% 25% 49%
Devils Eastern 4 3 2   2% 5% 11% 24% 50%
Capitals Eastern 4 3 2   2% 5% 11% 23% 49%
Flames Western 5 4 2   2% 5% 10% 22% 51%
Bruins Eastern 5 6 0   2% 5% 10% 22% 46%
Jets Western 4 5 0   2% 4% 11% 23% 48%
Maple Leafs Eastern 4 4 1   2% 4% 10% 21% 46%
Oilers Western 4 5 1   2% 4% 9% 19% 45%
Flyers Eastern 3 4 2   1% 3% 9% 19% 43%
Coyotes Western 3 4 1   1% 3% 8% 19% 43%
Panthers Eastern 2 2 3   1% 2% 6% 14% 36%
Avalanche Western 2 4 4   <1% 1% 5% 13% 34%
Sabres Eastern 2 8 0   <1% 1% 4% 9% 25%
Hurricanes Eastern 0 6 2   <1% <1% 1% 4% 14%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot