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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Capitals Eastern 47 14 10   30% 51% 73% 93% 100%
Blackhawks Western 45 19 6   17% 30% 51% 79% >99%
Canucks Western 44 24 3   9% 17% 35% 64% >99%
Coyotes Western 44 22 5   9% 17% 33% 61% >99%
Devils Eastern 42 24 4   8% 18% 42% 73% >99%
Sharks Western 43 18 10   8% 16% 34% 65% >99%
Penguins Eastern 42 24 5   7% 16% 37% 70% >99%
Kings Western 40 24 5   3% 7% 16% 40% 99%
Avalanche Western 40 24 6   3% 6% 15% 38% 97%
Sabres Eastern 37 22 10   2% 6% 19% 55% >99%
Predators Western 40 26 5   2% 5% 12% 35% 98%
Flyers Eastern 37 28 5   1% 3% 10% 36% 99%
Senators Eastern 37 29 5   1% 3% 9% 35% 99%
Canadiens Eastern 36 29 6   1% 2% 7% 30% 98%
Flames Western 36 26 9   <1% 1% 2% 8% 39%
Red Wings Western 34 23 13   <1% 1% 2% 9% 56%
Blues Western 33 28 9   <1% <1% <1% 1% 7%
Bruins Eastern 31 27 12   <1% <1% 1% 6% 58%
Rangers Eastern 31 31 9   <1% <1% <1% 2% 22%
Thrashers Eastern 30 29 11   <1% <1% <1% 1% 13%
Ducks Western 33 29 8   <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Hurricanes Eastern 29 33 8   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Wild Western 34 31 6   <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Panthers Eastern 28 30 11   <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Lightning Eastern 28 30 12   <1% <1% <1% <1% 4%
Islanders Eastern 29 32 10   <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Stars Western 30 27 13   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Blue Jackets Western 29 31 11   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Maple Leafs Eastern 25 34 12   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oilers Western 22 42 7   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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