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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Islanders Eastern 32 15 1   15% 26% 44% 70% >99%
Canadiens Eastern 31 13 3   14% 24% 43% 70% >99%
Ducks Western 32 12 6   10% 19% 39% 64% >99%
Predators Western 31 11 6   10% 19% 32% 61% >99%
Blues Western 31 13 4   9% 18% 30% 57% 99%
Blackhawks Western 31 16 2   9% 17% 29% 56% 99%
Lightning Eastern 31 15 4   6% 13% 26% 53% 98%
Canucks Western 27 17 3   5% 10% 23% 48% 90%
Rangers Eastern 27 15 4   5% 10% 22% 48% 94%
Penguins Eastern 28 13 8   4% 9% 21% 47% 97%
Red Wings Eastern 28 12 9   3% 7% 17% 40% 94%
Sharks Western 26 17 6   2% 5% 15% 34% 79%
Flames Western 26 20 3   2% 5% 13% 29% 66%
Bruins Eastern 26 16 7   2% 4% 11% 27% 75%
Capitals Eastern 25 14 9   1% 4% 11% 28% 81%
Jets Western 26 16 8   1% 4% 10% 24% 71%
Kings Western 21 15 12   <1% 1% 3% 9% 31%
Wild Western 22 20 6   <1% 1% 3% 7% 22%
Panthers Eastern 21 15 10   <1% 1% 2% 7% 25%
Avalanche Western 21 18 11   <1% 1% 2% 6% 23%
Stars Western 22 19 7   <1% 1% 2% 6% 21%
Senators Eastern 19 19 9   <1% <1% 1% 3% 11%
Blue Jackets Eastern 21 23 3   <1% <1% 1% 3% 9%
Maple Leafs Eastern 22 24 4   <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Flyers Eastern 21 22 7   <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Devils Eastern 18 22 9   <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Coyotes Western 17 25 6   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Hurricanes Eastern 17 25 6   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oilers Western 13 27 9   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sabres Eastern 14 33 3   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot