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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Penguins Eastern 14 4 2   12% 20% 35% 60% 95%
Islanders Eastern 15 6 0   11% 19% 33% 59% 92%
Canadiens Eastern 16 6 1   10% 17% 30% 53% 91%
Canucks Western 15 6 1   9% 16% 30% 53% 89%
Predators Western 14 5 2   8% 16% 27% 49% 88%
Blues Western 14 6 2   7% 13% 23% 45% 84%
Lightning Eastern 14 6 2   7% 12% 23% 44% 84%
Ducks Western 14 4 5   5% 11% 23% 45% 85%
Flames Western 13 8 2   4% 9% 19% 38% 72%
Wild Western 12 8 0   4% 9% 18% 35% 71%
Blackhawks Western 12 8 1   4% 8% 17% 35% 69%
Red Wings Eastern 11 5 5   3% 6% 13% 28% 64%
Bruins Eastern 13 9 1   3% 6% 13% 28% 60%
Kings Western 11 6 5   2% 5% 12% 26% 57%
Maple Leafs Eastern 11 8 2   2% 5% 12% 25% 56%
Senators Eastern 10 7 4   2% 4% 10% 21% 51%
Jets Western 11 9 3   2% 4% 10% 21% 50%
Rangers Eastern 9 7 4   1% 3% 9% 21% 48%
Sharks Western 10 9 4   1% 3% 7% 17% 39%
Capitals Eastern 9 8 3   1% 2% 6% 17% 40%
Flyers Eastern 8 9 3   1% 2% 5% 14% 34%
Devils Eastern 9 10 3   1% 2% 5% 14% 33%
Stars Western 9 9 4   1% 2% 5% 13% 35%
Coyotes Western 9 11 3   1% 2% 5% 11% 28%
Avalanche Western 8 9 5   <1% 1% 4% 10% 27%
Panthers Eastern 7 6 6   <1% 1% 3% 9% 27%
Hurricanes Eastern 6 11 3   <1% <1% 1% 4% 12%
Sabres Eastern 6 13 2   <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Oilers Western 6 14 2   <1% <1% 1% 2% 7%
Blue Jackets Eastern 6 13 2   <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot