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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Predators Western 41 13 7   16% 28% 43% 74% >99%
Canadiens Eastern 39 16 5   13% 23% 44% 71% >99%
Islanders Eastern 40 20 2   11% 21% 37% 63% >99%
Rangers Eastern 37 16 6   9% 17% 32% 61% >99%
Blues Western 38 18 4   9% 17% 29% 58% >99%
Ducks Western 38 17 7   8% 16% 36% 64% >99%
Lightning Eastern 37 19 6   6% 13% 27% 58% >99%
Canucks Western 35 22 3   5% 12% 28% 55% 97%
Blackhawks Western 36 20 5   5% 11% 20% 44% 98%
Penguins Eastern 35 17 9   5% 10% 21% 47% >99%
Red Wings Eastern 33 15 11   3% 7% 17% 43% 99%
Flames Western 33 24 4   2% 5% 14% 32% 74%
Capitals Eastern 33 19 10   2% 5% 13% 33% 97%
Kings Western 29 18 12   1% 3% 9% 22% 63%
Jets Western 31 20 11   1% 3% 7% 18% 63%
Wild Western 31 22 7   1% 3% 7% 17% 51%
Bruins Eastern 29 22 9   1% 2% 6% 15% 61%
Sharks Western 30 23 8   1% 2% 5% 14% 42%
Panthers Eastern 26 21 13   <1% <1% 2% 5% 22%
Senators Eastern 25 23 10   <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Avalanche Western 26 24 11   <1% <1% 1% 2% 8%
Flyers Eastern 26 24 11   <1% <1% 1% 1% 7%
Stars Western 27 25 9   <1% <1% 1% 1% 5%
Blue Jackets Eastern 26 29 4   <1% <1% <1% <1% 2%
Devils Eastern 25 27 9   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Maple Leafs Eastern 24 31 5   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Hurricanes Eastern 22 30 7   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Coyotes Western 20 34 7   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Oilers Western 18 34 10   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sabres Eastern 18 38 5   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot