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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Blackhawks Western 22 9 1   12% 20% 32% 60% 98%
Penguins Eastern 20 6 4   11% 20% 35% 63% 98%
Islanders Eastern 21 10 0   10% 19% 35% 62% 96%
Blues Western 21 8 2   10% 18% 30% 56% 98%
Predators Western 20 8 2   8% 15% 25% 50% 94%
Ducks Western 21 7 5   8% 14% 31% 56% 97%
Canadiens Eastern 20 10 2   7% 14% 26% 48% 88%
Maple Leafs Eastern 19 9 3   6% 13% 25% 47% 87%
Lightning Eastern 20 10 3   5% 11% 21% 43% 85%
Canucks Western 18 10 2   5% 10% 23% 44% 84%
Wild Western 16 12 1   3% 6% 13% 27% 65%
Sharks Western 17 11 4   2% 6% 14% 30% 67%
Red Wings Eastern 17 7 8   2% 6% 13% 31% 73%
Flames Western 17 14 2   2% 5% 14% 30% 64%
Rangers Eastern 15 10 4   2% 5% 12% 30% 67%
Kings Western 15 11 6   1% 3% 8% 20% 49%
Jets Western 16 10 6   1% 3% 8% 19% 55%
Bruins Eastern 15 13 3   1% 3% 8% 16% 41%
Capitals Eastern 14 10 6   1% 3% 7% 17% 46%
Panthers Eastern 13 8 8   1% 2% 5% 12% 35%
Senators Eastern 12 12 6   <1% 1% 4% 10% 28%
Blue Jackets Eastern 13 15 2   <1% 1% 4% 8% 20%
Sabres Eastern 13 17 2   <1% 1% 2% 5% 15%
Flyers Eastern 11 14 5   <1% 1% 2% 4% 12%
Stars Western 11 13 5   <1% <1% 1% 3% 13%
Devils Eastern 11 15 6   <1% <1% 1% 3% 10%
Avalanche Western 10 13 7   <1% <1% 1% 2% 10%
Coyotes Western 11 16 4   <1% <1% 1% 2% 6%
Hurricanes Eastern 8 19 3   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Oilers Western 7 19 6   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot