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NHL Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NHL Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NHL Champions NHL Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L OTL
Ducks Western 5 1 0   8% 14% 24% 42% 73%
Canadiens Eastern 6 1 0   8% 13% 22% 38% 68%
Blackhawks Western 4 0 1   7% 12% 23% 40% 71%
Senators Eastern 4 1 0   7% 12% 21% 37% 65%
Predators Western 4 0 2   6% 11% 20% 37% 68%
Penguins Eastern 3 1 0   6% 11% 20% 36% 63%
Kings Western 4 1 1   5% 9% 17% 33% 64%
Sharks Western 4 2 1   4% 8% 16% 32% 62%
Islanders Eastern 4 2 0   4% 8% 15% 30% 57%
Capitals Eastern 3 0 2   4% 8% 15% 29% 56%
Blue Jackets Eastern 3 2 0   4% 8% 15% 29% 55%
Canucks Western 3 2 0   3% 8% 15% 30% 59%
Stars Western 3 1 2   3% 7% 15% 30% 60%
Wild Western 2 2 0   3% 7% 14% 28% 56%
Flames Western 4 3 1   3% 7% 13% 27% 57%
Rangers Eastern 4 3 0   3% 7% 13% 27% 53%
Lightning Eastern 4 2 1   3% 6% 13% 27% 55%
Red Wings Eastern 3 1 2   3% 6% 12% 26% 52%
Devils Eastern 3 2 1   3% 6% 12% 25% 50%
Blues Western 2 2 1   2% 5% 12% 26% 54%
Coyotes Western 2 2 1   2% 5% 11% 23% 51%
Bruins Eastern 4 4 0   2% 5% 11% 23% 47%
Maple Leafs Eastern 3 3 1   2% 4% 10% 22% 47%
Jets Western 2 4 0   1% 3% 9% 21% 47%
Panthers Eastern 2 2 2   1% 3% 8% 18% 42%
Avalanche Western 1 4 2   1% 2% 6% 16% 39%
Oilers Western 1 4 1   1% 2% 6% 15% 39%
Flyers Eastern 1 3 2   1% 2% 6% 14% 36%
Sabres Eastern 1 5 0   <1% 1% 5% 11% 31%
Hurricanes Eastern 0 3 2   <1% 1% 3% 8% 25%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot