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Mon Oct 5 3:00 am

NHL - Week 1 of 28

Hurricanes What If?

The Hurricanes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Hurricanes play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Hurricanes What If?

Next Game - Canadiens (1‑0‑1)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 2 1 1 5 9% 12% 13% - - - 7% 7% 53%
Current Standings 1 1 1 3 8% 11% 12% - - - 6% 6% 55%
Lose Next Game 1 2 1 3 8% 12% 12% - - - 7% 6% 55%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 9% 12% 13% - - - 7% 7% 53%
Current Standings 8% 11% 12% - - - 6% 6% 55%
Worst Case Scenario 8% 12% 12% - - - 7% 6% 55%
Best Case Scenario
   Hurricanes beats Canadiens
Worst Case Scenario
   Canadiens beats Hurricanes
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
81 of 81 100% 82 1 1 165 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
80 of 81 99% 81 2 1 163 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 81 86% 71 12 1 143 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
69 of 81 85% 70 13 1 141 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 81 84% 69 14 1 139 86% 14% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 81 83% 68 15 1 137 79% 20% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 81 81% 67 16 1 135 72% 26% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 81 80% 66 17 1 133 64% 32% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 81 79% 65 18 1 131 57% 36% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 81 78% 64 19 1 129 48% 41% 10% - - - 1% <1% <1%
62 of 81 77% 63 20 1 127 40% 44% 14% - - - 1% <1% <1%
61 of 81 75% 62 21 1 125 34% 46% 17% - - - 3% <1% <1%
60 of 81 74% 61 22 1 123 28% 45% 23% - - - 4% <1% <1%
59 of 81 73% 60 23 1 121 23% 43% 27% - - - 6% 1% <1%
58 of 81 72% 59 24 1 119 18% 42% 30% - - - 9% 1% <1%
57 of 81 70% 58 25 1 117 15% 39% 33% - - - 11% 2% <1%
56 of 81 69% 57 26 1 115 12% 36% 36% - - - 14% 3% <1%
55 of 81 68% 56 27 1 113 9% 32% 37% - - - 17% 4% <1%
54 of 81 67% 55 28 1 111 8% 29% 37% - - - 20% 6% 1%
53 of 81 65% 54 29 1 109 6% 26% 38% - - - 21% 8% 1%
52 of 81 64% 53 30 1 107 5% 22% 37% - - - 24% 10% 2%
51 of 81 63% 52 31 1 105 3% 20% 36% - - - 24% 13% 4%
50 of 81 62% 51 32 1 103 3% 17% 35% - - - 25% 15% 5%
49 of 81 60% 50 33 1 101 2% 15% 32% - - - 24% 18% 8%
48 of 81 59% 49 34 1 99 2% 12% 31% - - - 24% 21% 10%
47 of 81 58% 48 35 1 97 1% 11% 28% - - - 23% 23% 14%
46 of 81 57% 47 36 1 95 1% 9% 27% - - - 20% 25% 19%
45 of 81 56% 46 37 1 93 1% 8% 24% - - - 19% 26% 23%
44 of 81 54% 45 38 1 91 1% 6% 23% - - - 16% 25% 29%
43 of 81 53% 44 39 1 89 <1% 6% 21% - - - 14% 25% 34%
42 of 81 52% 43 40 1 87 <1% 4% 18% - - - 13% 24% 41%
41 of 81 51% 42 41 1 85 <1% 3% 15% - - - 10% 23% 48%
40 of 81 49% 41 42 1 83 <1% 3% 14% - - - 8% 21% 53%
39 of 81 48% 40 43 1 81 <1% 2% 12% - - - 7% 20% 59%
38 of 81 47% 39 44 1 79 <1% 2% 10% - - - 4% 17% 66%
37 of 81 46% 38 45 1 77 <1% 1% 9% - - - 4% 14% 72%
36 of 81 44% 37 46 1 75 <1% 1% 7% - - - 2% 12% 78%
35 of 81 43% 36 47 1 73 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 9% 82%
34 of 81 42% 35 48 1 71 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 7% 87%
33 of 81 41% 34 49 1 69 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 5% 90%
32 of 81 40% 33 50 1 67 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 4% 93%
31 of 81 38% 32 51 1 65 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 2% 95%
30 of 81 37% 31 52 1 63 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 1% 97%
20 of 81 25% 21 62 1 43 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 81 12% 11 72 1 23 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 81 0% 1 82 1 3 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs