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Mon Oct 26 5:45 am

NHL - Week 5 of 28

Hurricanes What If?

The Hurricanes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Hurricanes play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Hurricanes What If?

Next Game - Bruins (9‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 10 2 2 22 28% 17% 14% - - - 6% 6% 29%
Current Standings 9 2 2 20 27% 17% 14% - - - 5% 5% 31%
Lose Next Game 9 3 2 20 26% 17% 14% - - - 5% 5% 32%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 28% 17% 14% - - - 6% 6% 29%
Current Standings 27% 17% 14% - - - 5% 5% 31%
Worst Case Scenario 26% 17% 14% - - - 5% 5% 32%
Best Case Scenario
   Hurricanes beats Bruins
 Worst Case Scenario
   Bruins beats Hurricanes
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
71 of 71 100% 80 2 2 162 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 71 99% 79 3 2 160 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 71 85% 69 13 2 140 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 71 77% 64 18 2 130 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 71 76% 63 19 2 128 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 71 75% 62 20 2 126 87% 12% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 71 73% 61 21 2 124 83% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
51 of 71 72% 60 22 2 122 76% 23% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
50 of 71 70% 59 23 2 120 68% 28% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
49 of 71 69% 58 24 2 118 62% 33% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
48 of 71 68% 57 25 2 116 53% 37% 9% - - - 1% <1% <1%
47 of 71 66% 56 26 2 114 44% 42% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
46 of 71 65% 55 27 2 112 37% 44% 16% - - - 2% <1% <1%
45 of 71 63% 54 28 2 110 31% 45% 21% - - - 4% <1% <1%
44 of 71 62% 53 29 2 108 24% 44% 26% - - - 6% 1% <1%
43 of 71 61% 52 30 2 106 19% 41% 30% - - - 8% 1% <1%
42 of 71 59% 51 31 2 104 14% 39% 33% - - - 11% 2% <1%
41 of 71 58% 50 32 2 102 10% 34% 36% - - - 15% 5% 1%
40 of 71 56% 49 33 2 100 8% 30% 37% - - - 17% 7% 2%
39 of 71 55% 48 34 2 98 5% 24% 37% - - - 19% 10% 3%
38 of 71 54% 47 35 2 96 4% 20% 36% - - - 20% 14% 6%
37 of 71 52% 46 36 2 94 3% 16% 34% - - - 19% 18% 11%
36 of 71 51% 45 37 2 92 2% 12% 31% - - - 17% 21% 18%
35 of 71 49% 44 38 2 90 1% 10% 27% - - - 14% 21% 27%
34 of 71 48% 43 39 2 88 1% 7% 23% - - - 11% 22% 37%
33 of 71 46% 42 40 2 86 <1% 4% 19% - - - 7% 20% 48%
32 of 71 45% 41 41 2 84 <1% 3% 15% - - - 5% 15% 61%
31 of 71 44% 40 42 2 82 <1% 2% 12% - - - 2% 12% 72%
30 of 71 42% 39 43 2 80 <1% 1% 9% - - - 1% 8% 81%
29 of 71 41% 38 44 2 78 <1% 1% 6% - - - 1% 5% 86%
28 of 71 39% 37 45 2 76 <1% <1% 4% - - - <1% 3% 92%
27 of 71 38% 36 46 2 74 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 2% 95%
20 of 71 28% 29 53 2 60 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 71 14% 19 63 2 40 <1% <1% <1% - - - X <1% >99%
0 of 71 0% 9 73 2 20 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs