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Mon Nov 2 5:30 am

NHL - Week 6 of 28

Hurricanes What If?

The Hurricanes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Hurricanes play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Hurricanes What If?

Next Game - Predators (5‑4‑5)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 13 2 2 28 40% 20% 14% - - - 4% 4% 17%
Current Standings 12 2 2 26 39% 20% 14% - - - 4% 4% 18%
Lose Next Game 12 3 2 26 37% 20% 15% - - - 4% 4% 19%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 40% 20% 14% - - - 4% 4% 17%
Current Standings 39% 20% 14% - - - 4% 4% 18%
Worst Case Scenario 37% 20% 15% - - - 4% 4% 19%
Best Case Scenario
   Hurricanes beats Predators
 Worst Case Scenario
   Predators beats Hurricanes
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
68 of 68 100% 80 2 2 162 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 68 88% 72 10 2 146 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% ^
51 of 68 75% 63 19 2 128 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
50 of 68 74% 62 20 2 126 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
49 of 68 72% 61 21 2 124 87% 12% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
48 of 68 71% 60 22 2 122 83% 16% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
47 of 68 69% 59 23 2 120 77% 21% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
46 of 68 68% 58 24 2 118 71% 27% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
45 of 68 66% 57 25 2 116 64% 32% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
44 of 68 65% 56 26 2 114 56% 37% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
43 of 68 63% 55 27 2 112 49% 41% 9% - - - 1% <1% <1%
42 of 68 62% 54 28 2 110 43% 44% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
41 of 68 60% 53 29 2 108 34% 45% 18% - - - 3% <1% <1%
40 of 68 59% 52 30 2 106 27% 46% 23% - - - 3% <1% <1%
39 of 68 57% 51 31 2 104 21% 44% 28% - - - 6% 1% <1%
38 of 68 56% 50 32 2 102 16% 41% 33% - - - 9% 2% <1%
37 of 68 54% 49 33 2 100 12% 37% 36% - - - 12% 3% 1%
36 of 68 53% 48 34 2 98 8% 31% 38% - - - 15% 7% 2%
35 of 68 51% 47 35 2 96 6% 26% 39% - - - 16% 10% 3%
34 of 68 50% 46 36 2 94 4% 21% 37% - - - 16% 14% 8%
33 of 68 49% 45 37 2 92 2% 16% 35% - - - 15% 17% 14%
32 of 68 47% 44 38 2 90 1% 12% 31% - - - 12% 20% 24%
31 of 68 46% 43 39 2 88 1% 8% 27% - - - 9% 19% 36%
30 of 68 44% 42 40 2 86 <1% 6% 22% - - - 6% 17% 49%
29 of 68 43% 41 41 2 84 <1% 4% 18% - - - 3% 14% 62%
28 of 68 41% 40 42 2 82 <1% 2% 13% - - - 2% 9% 74%
27 of 68 40% 39 43 2 80 <1% 1% 9% - - - 1% 5% 83%
26 of 68 38% 38 44 2 78 <1% 1% 6% - - - <1% 3% 91%
25 of 68 37% 37 45 2 76 <1% <1% 4% - - - <1% 1% 95%
20 of 68 29% 32 50 2 66 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 68 15% 22 60 2 46 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
0 of 68 0% 12 70 2 26 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs