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Mon Oct 19 6:15 am

NHL - Week 4 of 28

Hurricanes What If?

The Hurricanes What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Hurricanes play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Hurricanes What If?

Next Game - Canucks (2‑7‑1)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 8 2 1 17 24% 16% 14% - - - 5% 5% 35%
Current Standings 7 2 1 15 23% 16% 14% - - - 5% 5% 36%
Lose Next Game 7 3 1 15 22% 16% 14% - - - 5% 5% 37%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 24% 16% 14% - - - 5% 5% 35%
Current Standings 23% 16% 14% - - - 5% 5% 36%
Worst Case Scenario 22% 16% 14% - - - 5% 5% 37%
Best Case Scenario
   Hurricanes beats Canucks
Worst Case Scenario
   Canucks beats Hurricanes
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
74 of 74 100% 81 2 1 163 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 74 95% 77 6 1 155 >99% <1% <1% - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 74 81% 67 16 1 135 96% 4% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
59 of 74 80% 66 17 1 133 93% 7% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
58 of 74 78% 65 18 1 131 89% 10% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 74 77% 64 19 1 129 84% 15% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
56 of 74 76% 63 20 1 127 79% 20% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 74 74% 62 21 1 125 73% 25% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 74 73% 61 22 1 123 66% 30% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 74 72% 60 23 1 121 59% 35% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 74 70% 59 24 1 119 51% 40% 9% - - - 1% <1% <1%
51 of 74 69% 58 25 1 117 44% 42% 13% - - - 1% <1% <1%
50 of 74 68% 57 26 1 115 36% 44% 17% - - - 2% <1% <1%
49 of 74 66% 56 27 1 113 31% 45% 21% - - - 4% <1% <1%
48 of 74 65% 55 28 1 111 25% 43% 26% - - - 6% 1% <1%
47 of 74 64% 54 29 1 109 20% 41% 29% - - - 8% 1% <1%
46 of 74 62% 53 30 1 107 16% 40% 33% - - - 10% 2% <1%
45 of 74 61% 52 31 1 105 13% 36% 35% - - - 13% 3% <1%
44 of 74 59% 51 32 1 103 10% 32% 37% - - - 16% 5% 1%
43 of 74 58% 50 33 1 101 7% 29% 38% - - - 17% 7% 2%
42 of 74 57% 49 34 1 99 6% 23% 38% - - - 19% 11% 4%
41 of 74 55% 48 35 1 97 4% 20% 36% - - - 20% 14% 6%
40 of 74 54% 47 36 1 95 3% 17% 35% - - - 19% 17% 10%
39 of 74 53% 46 37 1 93 2% 14% 31% - - - 18% 20% 15%
38 of 74 51% 45 38 1 91 1% 11% 29% - - - 16% 22% 21%
37 of 74 50% 44 39 1 89 1% 8% 27% - - - 14% 22% 28%
36 of 74 49% 43 40 1 87 1% 6% 22% - - - 10% 22% 38%
35 of 74 47% 42 41 1 85 <1% 5% 19% - - - 7% 20% 48%
34 of 74 46% 41 42 1 83 <1% 4% 16% - - - 6% 18% 57%
33 of 74 45% 40 43 1 81 <1% 3% 13% - - - 3% 14% 67%
32 of 74 43% 39 44 1 79 <1% 2% 11% - - - 2% 11% 74%
31 of 74 42% 38 45 1 77 <1% 1% 9% - - - 1% 7% 81%
30 of 74 41% 37 46 1 75 <1% 1% 6% - - - 1% 5% 87%
29 of 74 39% 36 47 1 73 <1% 1% 5% - - - <1% 3% 91%
28 of 74 38% 35 48 1 71 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 1% 95%
20 of 74 27% 27 56 1 55 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 74 14% 17 66 1 35 <1% <1% <1% - - - X <1% >99%
0 of 74 0% 7 76 1 15 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs