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Wed Oct 21 3:00 am

NHL - Week 4 of 28

Islanders What If?

The Islanders What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Islanders play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Islanders What If?

Next Game - Kings (1‑4‑2)

  Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 6 3 1 13 15% 15% 13% - - - 5% 6% 45%
Current Standings 5 3 1 11 15% 15% 14% - - - 5% 5% 45%
Lose Next Game 5 4 1 11 14% 15% 14% - - - 5% 5% 47%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 15% 15% 13% - - - 5% 6% 45%
Current Standings 15% 15% 14% - - - 5% 5% 45%
Worst Case Scenario 14% 15% 14% - - - 5% 5% 47%
Best Case Scenario
   Islanders beats Kings
Worst Case Scenario
   Kings beats Islanders
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Metropolitan Divisional Winners Atlantic Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
75 of 75 100% 80 3 1 161 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 75 93% 75 8 1 151 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% ^ ^
61 of 75 81% 66 17 1 133 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
60 of 75 80% 65 18 1 131 90% 10% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
59 of 75 79% 64 19 1 129 85% 15% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
58 of 75 77% 63 20 1 127 80% 19% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 75 76% 62 21 1 125 73% 25% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
56 of 75 75% 61 22 1 123 67% 29% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 75 73% 60 23 1 121 58% 35% 7% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 75 72% 59 24 1 119 51% 40% 8% - - - 1% <1% <1%
53 of 75 71% 58 25 1 117 43% 43% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
52 of 75 69% 57 26 1 115 38% 44% 16% - - - 2% <1% <1%
51 of 75 68% 56 27 1 113 31% 46% 20% - - - 4% <1% <1%
50 of 75 67% 55 28 1 111 26% 45% 24% - - - 5% <1% <1%
49 of 75 65% 54 29 1 109 21% 42% 29% - - - 7% 1% <1%
48 of 75 64% 53 30 1 107 16% 41% 32% - - - 10% 2% <1%
47 of 75 63% 52 31 1 105 12% 37% 35% - - - 13% 3% <1%
46 of 75 61% 51 32 1 103 10% 32% 38% - - - 15% 4% 1%
45 of 75 60% 50 33 1 101 7% 28% 38% - - - 18% 7% 2%
44 of 75 59% 49 34 1 99 5% 24% 38% - - - 19% 11% 3%
43 of 75 57% 48 35 1 97 4% 20% 37% - - - 20% 14% 5%
42 of 75 56% 47 36 1 95 3% 16% 36% - - - 20% 17% 9%
41 of 75 55% 46 37 1 93 2% 13% 32% - - - 18% 21% 15%
40 of 75 53% 45 38 1 91 1% 10% 29% - - - 15% 22% 22%
39 of 75 52% 44 39 1 89 1% 8% 25% - - - 13% 23% 30%
38 of 75 51% 43 40 1 87 <1% 6% 22% - - - 10% 22% 41%
37 of 75 49% 42 41 1 85 <1% 4% 18% - - - 7% 19% 51%
36 of 75 48% 41 42 1 83 <1% 3% 14% - - - 5% 16% 61%
35 of 75 47% 40 43 1 81 <1% 2% 12% - - - 3% 13% 71%
34 of 75 45% 39 44 1 79 <1% 1% 9% - - - 2% 9% 80%
33 of 75 44% 38 45 1 77 <1% 1% 6% - - - 1% 6% 86%
32 of 75 43% 37 46 1 75 <1% <1% 5% - - - <1% 4% 91%
31 of 75 41% 36 47 1 73 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 2% 94%
30 of 75 40% 35 48 1 71 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 1% 97%
20 of 75 27% 25 58 1 51 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 75 13% 15 68 1 31 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 75 0% 5 78 1 11 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs