PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

SEC Basketball - Week 14 of 17

South Carolina What If?

The South Carolina Gamecocks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how South Carolina plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

South Carolina What If?

Next Game - Missouri (17‑6)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Win Next Game 2 9 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 14% 30% 52%
Current Standings 1 9 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 24% 66%
Lose Next Game 1 10 X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 67%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Best Case Scenario X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 30% 55%
Current Standings X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 24% 66%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 8% 25% 66%
Best Case Scenario
   South Carolina beats Missouri
   LSU beats Mississippi St.
Worst Case Scenario
   Missouri beats South Carolina
   Mississippi St. beats LSU
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
8 of 8 100% 9 9 X X <1% <1% <1% 5% 28% 43% 21% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^
7 of 8 88% 8 10 X X X X <1% <1% 2% 18% 45% 28% 7% <1% <1% ^
6 of 8 75% 7 11 X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 14% 39% 35% 11% <1% <1%
5 of 8 63% 6 12 X X X X X X X <1% <1% 8% 39% 43% 9% <1%
4 of 8 50% 5 13 X X X X X X X X X <1% 9% 48% 37% 6%
3 of 8 38% 4 14 X X X X X X X X X X <1% 17% 53% 30%
2 of 8 25% 3 15 X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 30% 69%
1 of 8 13% 2 16 X X X X X X X X X X X X 6% 94%
0 of 8 0% 1 17 X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament