The Most Important Games for the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lumberjacks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Stephen F. Austin Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Stephen F. Austin (3‑1) vs East Texas A&M (3‑1) |
26 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 31% | ||
| Incarnate Word (0‑3) vs SE Louisiana (0‑2) |
1 | Incarnate Word Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Nicholls St. (2‑2) vs UT-Rio Grande Valley (1‑2) |
1 | Nicholls St. Wins | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 30% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (0‑3) vs Lamar (2‑0) |
1 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Lamar Wins | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| McNeese (1‑1) vs Houston Christian (2‑0) |
0 | McNeese Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||
| Houston Christian Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 30% | ||