The Most Important Games for the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lumberjacks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Stephen F. Austin Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Nicholls St. (13‑17) vs McNeese (25‑5) |
0 | Nicholls St. Wins | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| McNeese Wins | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stephen F. Austin (26‑4) vs Incarnate Word (12‑18) |
0 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | 93% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (17‑13) vs Northwestern St.NWestrn St (10‑20) |
0 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Orleans (14‑16) vs SE Louisiana (8‑22) |
0 | New Orleans Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SE Louisiana Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. (16‑14) vs East Texas A&M (11‑20) |
0 | Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Houston Christian (11‑19) vs Lamar (12‑18) |
0 | Houston Christian Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lamar Wins | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||