The Most Important Games for the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lumberjacks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Stephen F. Austin Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Stephen F. Austin (8‑2) vs East Texas A&M (6‑5) |
32 | Stephen F. Austin Wins | 41% | 24% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| East Texas A&M Wins | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| SE Louisiana (4‑7) vs Incarnate Word (5‑5) |
4 | SE Louisiana Wins | 37% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Incarnate Word Wins | 37% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Northwestern St.NWestrn St (2‑8) vs Lamar (5‑4) |
4 | Northwestern St.NWestrn St Wins | 37% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Lamar Wins | 37% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Texas A&M C.C. (3‑6) vs Nicholls St. (2‑7) |
2 | Texas A&M C.C. Wins | 37% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Nicholls St. Wins | 37% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| UT-Rio Grande Valley (4‑6) vs New Orleans (3‑7) |
0 | UT-Rio Grande Valley Wins | 38% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 37% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| New Orleans Wins | 37% | 23% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||