The Most Important Games for the Arkansas St. Red Wolves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Wolves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arkansas St. Red Wolves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arkansas St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First through Fifth Round Byes |
2* First through Fifth Round Byes |
3** First through Fourth Round Byes |
4** First through Fourth Round Byes |
5*** First through Third Round Byes |
6*** First through Third Round Byes |
7# First and Second Round Byes |
8# First and Second Round Byes |
9## First Round Bye |
10## First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| South Alabama (19‑7) vs Marshall (16‑10) |
73 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 25% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 13% | 26% | 22% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑22) vs Troy (17‑10) |
61 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Troy Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 26% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| James Madison (14‑13) vs Coastal Carolina (16‑11) |
35 | James Madison Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 17% | 26% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 14% | 25% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Georgia Southern (14‑12) vs Georgia St. (9‑18) |
13 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 26% | 20% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 4% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Old Dominion (9‑18) vs LA Lafayette (9‑17) |
1 | Old Dominion Wins | <1% | <1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 15% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | 1% | 4% | 15% | 26% | 20% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||