The Most Important Games for the Arkansas St. Red Wolves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Wolves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arkansas St. Red Wolves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arkansas St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Arkansas St. (7‑3) vs Coastal Carolina (4‑5) |
24 | Arkansas St. Wins | 28% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Coastal Carolina Wins | 19% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia St. (4‑5) vs Troy (5‑4) |
2 | Georgia St. Wins | 28% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Troy Wins | 26% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Miss (4‑6) vs Marshall (5‑4) |
2 | Southern Miss Wins | 27% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Marshall Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Texas State (7‑3) vs Georgia Southern (6‑4) |
2 | Texas State Wins | 28% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Southern Wins | 26% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UL Monroe (3‑7) vs Old Dominion (2‑7) |
1 | UL Monroe Wins | 26% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. (6‑3) vs LA Lafayette (1‑8) |
1 | Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | 27% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| LA Lafayette Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| James Madison (6‑4) vs South Alabama (6‑3) |
1 | James Madison Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| South Alabama Wins | 27% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||