The Most Important Games for the Arkansas St. Red Wolves are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Red Wolves final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Arkansas St. Red Wolves fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Arkansas St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |||
| Arkansas St. (2‑7) vs Georgia St. (4‑4) |
21 | Arkansas St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Georgia St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | ||
| LA Lafayette (5‑3) vs Marshall (2‑6) |
2 | LA Lafayette Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Marshall Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||
| UL Monroe (4‑3) vs Appalachian St.App.St. (7‑2) |
1 | UL Monroe Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Appalachian St.App.St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Georgia Southern (0‑8) vs Southern Miss (4‑4) |
1 | Georgia Southern Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Southern Miss Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Texas State (3‑5) vs James Madison (8‑0) |
0 | Texas State Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| James Madison Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Coastal Carolina (3‑5) vs Troy (4‑4) |
0 | Coastal Carolina Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Troy Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| South Alabama (5‑5) vs Old Dominion (3‑5) |
0 | South Alabama Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 12% | ||
| Old Dominion Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 13% | ||