Where are the Arkansas St. Red Wolves going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Arkansas St. standings table presents the probabilities of the Red Wolves winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| LA Lafayette | 10i LA Lafayette Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Troy 72-57 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Georgia Southern 94-87 Won Thu, Feb 02 vs TX St. 82-63 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs Marshall 77-67 Thu, Feb 09 @ Southern Miss Sat, Feb 11 @ Troy Thu, Feb 16 vs UL Monroe Sat, Feb 18 @ James Madison |
2 | 12 | 54% | 32% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Southern Miss | 10 Southern Miss Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Arkansas St. 73-57 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs TX St. 67-58 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ Troy 74-65 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ Georgia St. 79-71 Thu, Feb 09 vs LA Lafayette Sat, Feb 11 vs UL Monroe Thu, Feb 16 @ South Alabama Sat, Feb 18 vs Georgia Southern |
2 | 12 | 43% | 41% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| James Madison | 8 James Madison Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Coast.Car. 75-69 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs UL Monroe 58-45 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ Old Dominion 78-73 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ App.St. 63-57 Thu, Feb 09 @ Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 11 @ Coast.Car. Thu, Feb 16 vs Old Dominion Sat, Feb 18 vs LA Lafayette |
4 | 12 | 1% | 11% | 30% | 39% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Marshall | 8 Marshall Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs UL Monroe 82-86 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Georgia St. 103-65 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ App.St. 66-58 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ LA Lafayette 67-77 Thu, Feb 09 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Feb 11 @ Georgia St. Thu, Feb 16 vs Georgia Southern Sat, Feb 18 vs Troy |
4 | 12 | 1% | 15% | 40% | 29% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UL Monroe | 7 UL Monroe Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Marshall 86-82 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ James Madison 45-58 Won Thu, Feb 02 vs Coast.Car. 83-70 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs South Alabama 64-72 Thu, Feb 09 vs App.St. Sat, Feb 11 @ Southern Miss Thu, Feb 16 @ LA Lafayette Sat, Feb 18 @ South Alabama |
5 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 17% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Appalachian St.App.St. | 6 Appalachian St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Georgia St. 71-59 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Arkansas St. 63-51 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Marshall 58-66 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs James Madison 57-63 Thu, Feb 09 @ UL Monroe Sat, Feb 11 @ South Alabama Thu, Feb 16 vs TX St. Sat, Feb 18 vs Old Dominion |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 6% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Troy | 6 Troy Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ LA Lafayette 57-72 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ South Alabama 60-77 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Southern Miss 65-74 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs TX St. 68-64 Thu, Feb 09 vs South Alabama Sat, Feb 11 vs LA Lafayette Thu, Feb 16 @ Arkansas St. Sat, Feb 18 @ Marshall |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Old Dominion | 6 Old Dominion Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 @ South Alabama 66-64 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Coast.Car. 60-59 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs James Madison 73-78 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs Georgia Southern 64-58 Thu, Feb 09 @ Georgia St. Sat, Feb 11 @ TX St. Thu, Feb 16 @ James Madison Sat, Feb 18 @ App.St. |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Georgia Southern | 5 Georgia Southern Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ TX St. 67-70 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ LA Lafayette 87-94 Lost Thu, Feb 02 @ Georgia St. 60-64 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ Old Dominion 58-64 Thu, Feb 09 vs James Madison Sat, Feb 11 vs Arkansas St. Thu, Feb 16 @ Marshall Sat, Feb 18 @ Southern Miss |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 1% |
| South Alabama | 5 South Alabama Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Old Dominion 64-66 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Troy 77-60 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ Arkansas St. 82-62 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ UL Monroe 72-64 Thu, Feb 09 @ Troy Sat, Feb 11 vs App.St. Mon, Feb 13 vs Hartford Thu, Feb 16 vs Southern Miss |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 7% | <1% |
| Coastal Carolina | 4 Coastal Carolina Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ James Madison 69-75 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Old Dominion 59-60 Lost Thu, Feb 02 @ UL Monroe 70-83 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ Arkansas St. 57-73 Thu, Feb 09 vs Marshall Sat, Feb 11 vs James Madison Thu, Feb 16 vs Georgia St. Sat, Feb 18 vs TX St. |
8 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 18% | 21% | 20% | 8% |
| Texas State | 4 Texas State Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Georgia Southern 70-67 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Southern Miss 58-67 Lost Thu, Feb 02 @ LA Lafayette 63-82 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ Troy 64-68 Thu, Feb 09 vs Arkansas St. Sat, Feb 11 vs Old Dominion Thu, Feb 16 @ App.St. Sat, Feb 18 @ Coast.Car. |
8 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 13% | 3% |
| Georgia St. | 3 Georgia St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ App.St. 59-71 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Marshall 65-103 Won Thu, Feb 02 vs Georgia Southern 64-60 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Southern Miss 71-79 Thu, Feb 09 vs Old Dominion Sat, Feb 11 vs Marshall Thu, Feb 16 @ Coast.Car. Sat, Feb 18 @ Arkansas St. |
9 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 20% | 30% | 27% |
| Arkansas St. | 2 Arkansas St. Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ Southern Miss 57-73 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ App.St. 51-63 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs South Alabama 62-82 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs Coast.Car. 73-57 Thu, Feb 09 @ TX St. Sat, Feb 11 @ Georgia Southern Thu, Feb 16 vs Troy Sat, Feb 18 vs Georgia St. |
10 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 24% | 61% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 2% | ||
| (12)Texas State | 4 | 8 | 21% |
| (11)Coastal Carolina | 4 | 8 | 20% |
| (13)Georgia St. | 3 | 9 | 17% |
| (10)South Alabama | 5 | 7 | 16% |
| (9)Georgia Southern | 5 | 7 | 13% |
| (6)Appalachian St.App.St. | 6 | 6 | 5% |
| (8)Old Dominion | 6 | 6 | 2% |
| (7)Troy | 6 | 6 | 2% |
| (5)UL Monroe | 7 | 5 | 1% |
| (3)James Madison | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (4)Marshall | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (1)LA Lafayette | 10 | 2 | X |
| (2)Southern Miss | 10 | 2 | X |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Old Dominion (14‑10) |
60‑57 | Away | Thu Dec 29, 7:00 pm |
| 8 | UL Monroe (11‑14) |
72‑84 | Home | Sat Dec 31, 3:00 pm |
| 9 | South Alabama (11‑13) |
45‑63 | Away | Thu Jan 5, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Troy (14‑11) |
54‑66 | Away | Sat Jan 7, 5:00 pm |
| 10 | Texas State (11‑14) |
58‑61 | Home | Thu Jan 12, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Southern Miss (21‑4) |
57‑74 | Home | Sat Jan 14, 3:00 pm |
| 11 | LA Lafayette (20‑4) |
71‑80 | Home | Thu Jan 19, 8:00 pm |
| 11 | Marshall (19‑6) |
78‑87 (OT) | Home | Sat Jan 21, 3:00 pm |
| 12 | Southern Miss (21‑4) |
57‑73 | Away | Thu Jan 26, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Appalachian St.App.St. (13‑12) |
51‑63 | Away | Sat Jan 28, 4:30 pm |
| 13 | South Alabama (11‑13) |
62‑82 | Home | Thu Feb 2, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Coastal Carolina (10‑14) |
73‑57 | Home | Sat Feb 4, 3:00 pm |
| 14 | Texas State (11‑14) |
Away | Thu Feb 9, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Georgia Southern (12‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 11, 3:00 pm | |
| 15 | Troy (14‑11) |
Home | Thu Feb 16, 8:30 pm | |
| 15 | Georgia St. (10‑14) |
Home | Sat Feb 18, 3:00 pm | |
| 16 | LA Lafayette (20‑4) |
Away | Wed Feb 22, 8:30 pm | |
| 16 | UL Monroe (11‑14) |
Away | Fri Feb 24, 7:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HARDING | ‑‑ | 86‑55 | Home | Mon Nov 7 |
| 1 | LSU (12‑11) |
SECSEC | 52‑61 | Away | Sat Nov 12 |
| 2 | LYON COLLEGE | ‑‑ | 82‑58 | Home | Mon Nov 14 |
| 2 | UC Davis (13‑9) |
Big WestBig West | 60‑75 | Away | Fri Nov 18 |
| 3 | Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (15‑10) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 70‑64 | Home | Tue Nov 22 |
| 3 | Prairie View A&M (8‑15) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 59‑67 | Home | Fri Nov 25 |
| 3 | BETHEL COLLEGE (TN) | ‑‑ | 90‑65 | Home | Sun Nov 27 |
| 4 | Miss. Valley St. (3‑21) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 58‑38 | Home | Thu Dec 1 |
| 5 | Central Arkansas (8‑17) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 67‑72 | Away | Tue Dec 6, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Air Force (12‑12) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 55‑80 | Away | Fri Dec 9, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | SE Missouri St. (13‑12) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 68‑61 | Home | Wed Dec 14, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | Alabama St. (6‑17) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 72‑65 | Home | Mon Dec 19, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | UALR (7‑18) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 77‑75 | Home | Thu Dec 22, 3:00 pm |