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Sun Feb 5 12:15 am

Sunbelt Basketball - Week 14 of 16

Arkansas St. Red Wolves Standings

Where are the Arkansas St. Red Wolves going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Arkansas St. standings table presents the probabilities of the Red Wolves winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sunbelt Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
18 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
LA Lafayette 10i
LA Lafayette Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Troy              72-57 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Georgia Southern  94-87 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs TX St.            82-63 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Marshall          77-67 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Southern Miss    
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Troy             
     Thu, Feb 16 vs UL Monroe        
     Sat, Feb 18 @  James Madison    

2 12 54% 32% 11% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
Southern Miss 10
Southern Miss Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Arkansas St.      73-57 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs TX St.            67-58 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Troy              74-65 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  Georgia St.       79-71 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs LA Lafayette     
     Sat, Feb 11 vs UL Monroe        
     Thu, Feb 16 @  South Alabama    
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Georgia Southern 

2 12 43% 41% 14% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
James Madison 8
James Madison Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Coast.Car.        75-69 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs UL Monroe         58-45 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Old Dominion      78-73 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  App.St.           63-57 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Georgia Southern 
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Coast.Car.       
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Old Dominion     
     Sat, Feb 18 vs LA Lafayette     

4 12 1% 11% 30% 39% 11% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marshall 8
Marshall Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs UL Monroe         82-86 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Georgia St.      103-65 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  App.St.           66-58 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  LA Lafayette      67-77 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Coast.Car.       
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Georgia St.      
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Georgia Southern 
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Troy             

4 12 1% 15% 40% 29% 9% 3% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UL Monroe 7
UL Monroe Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 @  Marshall          86-82 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  James Madison     45-58 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Coast.Car.        83-70 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs South Alabama     64-72 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs App.St.          
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Southern Miss    
     Thu, Feb 16 @  LA Lafayette     
     Sat, Feb 18 @  South Alabama    

5 12 <1% <1% 1% 6% 17% 19% 20% 17% 11% 6% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Appalachian St.App.St. 6
Appalachian St. Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Georgia St.       71-59 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Arkansas St.      63-51 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Marshall          58-66 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs James Madison     57-63 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  UL Monroe        
     Sat, Feb 11 @  South Alabama    
     Thu, Feb 16 vs TX St.           
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Old Dominion     

6 12 <1% <1% <1% 6% 23% 18% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 3% 1% <1%
Troy 6
Troy Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  LA Lafayette      57-72 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  South Alabama     60-77 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Southern Miss     65-74 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs TX St.            68-64 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs South Alabama    
     Sat, Feb 11 vs LA Lafayette     
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Arkansas St.     
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Marshall         

6 12 <1% <1% 1% 7% 18% 22% 17% 13% 10% 7% 4% 1% <1% <1%
Old Dominion 6
Old Dominion Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 @  South Alabama     66-64 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 @  Coast.Car.        60-59 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs James Madison     73-78 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Georgia Southern  64-58 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Georgia St.      
     Sat, Feb 11 @  TX St.           
     Thu, Feb 16 @  James Madison    
     Sat, Feb 18 @  App.St.          

6 12 <1% <1% 2% 7% 14% 18% 20% 17% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Georgia Southern 5
Georgia Southern Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  TX St.            67-70 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  LA Lafayette      87-94 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  Georgia St.       60-64 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Old Dominion      58-64 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs James Madison    
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Arkansas St.     
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Marshall         
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Southern Miss    

7 12 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 9% 14% 19% 20% 15% 10% 5% 1%
South Alabama 5
South Alabama Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Old Dominion      64-66 
Won  Sat, Jan 28 vs Troy              77-60 
Won  Thu, Feb 02 @  Arkansas St.      82-62 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 @  UL Monroe         72-64 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  Troy             
     Sat, Feb 11 vs App.St.          
     Mon, Feb 13 vs Hartford         
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Southern Miss    

7 12 <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 7% 9% 11% 12% 15% 18% 16% 7% <1%
Coastal Carolina 4
Coastal Carolina Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  James Madison     69-75 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Old Dominion      59-60 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  UL Monroe         70-83 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Arkansas St.      57-73 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Marshall         
     Sat, Feb 11 vs James Madison    
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Georgia St.      
     Sat, Feb 18 vs TX St.           

8 12 X <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 5% 10% 14% 18% 21% 20% 8%
Texas State 4
Texas State Recent Games

Won  Thu, Jan 26 vs Georgia Southern  70-67 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Southern Miss     58-67 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 @  LA Lafayette      63-82 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 @  Troy              64-68 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Arkansas St.     
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Old Dominion     
     Thu, Feb 16 @  App.St.          
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Coast.Car.       

8 12 X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 8% 14% 17% 19% 19% 13% 3%
Georgia St. 3
Georgia St. Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  App.St.           59-71 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  Marshall          65-103
Won  Thu, Feb 02 vs Georgia Southern  64-60 
Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Southern Miss     71-79 
     Thu, Feb 09 vs Old Dominion     
     Sat, Feb 11 vs Marshall         
     Thu, Feb 16 @  Coast.Car.       
     Sat, Feb 18 @  Arkansas St.     

9 12 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 7% 12% 20% 30% 27%
Arkansas St. 2
Arkansas St. Recent Games

Lost Thu, Jan 26 @  Southern Miss     57-73 
Lost Sat, Jan 28 @  App.St.           51-63 
Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs South Alabama     62-82 
Won  Sat, Feb 04 vs Coast.Car.        73-57 
     Thu, Feb 09 @  TX St.           
     Sat, Feb 11 @  Georgia Southern 
     Thu, Feb 16 vs Troy             
     Sat, Feb 18 vs Georgia St.      

10 12 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 9% 24% 61%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(14) Red Wolves 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 2%
(12)Texas State 4 8 21%
(11)Coastal Carolina 4 8 20%
(13)Georgia St. 3 9 17%
(10)South Alabama 5 7 16%
(9)Georgia Southern 5 7 13%
(6)Appalachian St.App.St. 6 6 5%
(8)Old Dominion 6 6 2%
(7)Troy 6 6 2%
(5)UL Monroe 7 5 1%
(3)James Madison 8 4 <1%
(4)Marshall 8 4 <1%
(1)LA Lafayette 10 2 X
(2)Southern Miss 10 2 X
Elimination X



Red Wolves Conference Schedule
Current Week 14
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
8 Old Dominion
(14‑10)
60‑57 Away Thu Dec 29, 7:00 pm
8 UL Monroe
(11‑14)
72‑84 Home Sat Dec 31, 3:00 pm
9 South Alabama
(11‑13)
45‑63 Away Thu Jan 5, 8:00 pm
9 Troy
(14‑11)
54‑66 Away Sat Jan 7, 5:00 pm
10 Texas State
(11‑14)
58‑61 Home Thu Jan 12, 8:00 pm
10 Southern Miss
(21‑4)
57‑74 Home Sat Jan 14, 3:00 pm
11 LA Lafayette
(20‑4)
71‑80 Home Thu Jan 19, 8:00 pm
11 Marshall
(19‑6)
78‑87 (OT) Home Sat Jan 21, 3:00 pm
12 Southern Miss
(21‑4)
57‑73 Away Thu Jan 26, 8:00 pm
12 Appalachian St.App.St.
(13‑12)
51‑63 Away Sat Jan 28, 4:30 pm
13 South Alabama
(11‑13)
62‑82 Home Thu Feb 2, 8:00 pm
13 Coastal Carolina
(10‑14)
73‑57 Home Sat Feb 4, 3:00 pm
14 Texas State
(11‑14)
  Away Thu Feb 9, 8:00 pm
14 Georgia Southern
(12‑13)
  Away Sat Feb 11, 3:00 pm
15 Troy
(14‑11)
  Home Thu Feb 16, 8:30 pm
15 Georgia St.
(10‑14)
  Home Sat Feb 18, 3:00 pm
16 LA Lafayette
(20‑4)
  Away Wed Feb 22, 8:30 pm
16 UL Monroe
(11‑14)
  Away Fri Feb 24, 7:30 pm


Red Wolves Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 HARDING ‑‑ 86‑55 Home Mon Nov 7
1 LSU
(12‑11)
SECSEC 52‑61 Away Sat Nov 12
2 LYON COLLEGE ‑‑ 82‑58 Home Mon Nov 14
2 UC Davis
(13‑9)
Big WestBig West 60‑75 Away Fri Nov 18
3 Tenn-MartinTN-Martin
(15‑10)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 70‑64 Home Tue Nov 22
3 Prairie View A&M
(8‑15)
SouthwesternSWAC 59‑67 Home Fri Nov 25
3 BETHEL COLLEGE (TN) ‑‑ 90‑65 Home Sun Nov 27
4 Miss. Valley St.
(3‑21)
SouthwesternSWAC 58‑38 Home Thu Dec 1
5 Central Arkansas
(8‑17)
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun 67‑72 Away Tue Dec 6, 8:00 pm
5 Air Force
(12‑12)
Mountain WestMntn West 55‑80 Away Fri Dec 9, 9:00 pm
6 SE Missouri St.
(13‑12)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 68‑61 Home Wed Dec 14, 8:00 pm
7 Alabama St.
(6‑17)
SouthwesternSWAC 72‑65 Home Mon Dec 19, 8:00 pm
7 UALR
(7‑18)
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley 77‑75 Home Thu Dec 22, 3:00 pm