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Thu Sep 3 8:30 am

WNBA - Week 20 of 21

Fever What If?

The Fever What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fever play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Fever What If?

Next Game - Tempo (11‑29)

	Resultant Record		Playoff Spots								No Playoffs No POs
	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	9
Win Next Game	27	14	X	<1%	8%	33%	29%	17%	11%	3%	^
Current Standings	26	14	X	<1%	6%	29%	28%	19%	13%	5%	^
Lose Next Game	26	15	X	X	1%	14%	27%	26%	20%	13%	^

Best/Worst Case Scenarios

	Playoff Spots								No Playoffs No POs
	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	9
Best Case Scenario	X	<1%	8%	33%	29%	17%	11%	3%	^
Current Standings	X	<1%	6%	29%	28%	19%	13%	5%	^
Worst Case Scenario	X	X	1%	14%	27%	26%	20%	13%	^
Best Case Scenario Fever beats Tempo					Worst Case Scenario Tempo beats Fever

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Playoff Spots								No Playoffs No POs
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7	8	9
4 of 4	100%	30	14	X	<1%	48%	52%	^	^	^	^	^
3 of 4	75%	29	15	X	X	9%	71%	20%	^	^	^	^
2 of 4	50%	28	16	X	X	<1%	14%	49%	31%	5%	^	^
1 of 4	25%	27	17	X	X	<1%	<1%	10%	32%	46%	12%	^
0 of 4	0%	26	18	X	X	X	X	<1%	2%	33%	64%	^

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs