The Fever What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Fever play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 20 | 17 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 37% | 26% | 18% | 12% |
| Current Standings | 19 | 17 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 25% |
| Lose Next Game | 19 | 18 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 27% |
| Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 44% | 25% | 16% | 10% |
| Current Standings | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 25% | 24% | 23% | 25% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 21% | 23% | 24% | 30% |
|
Best Case Scenario Aces beats Mystics Wings beats Valkyries Fever beats Lynx |
Worst Case Scenario Mystics beats Aces Valkyries beats Wings Lynx beats Fever |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 8 of 8 | 100% | 27 | 17 | X | 1% | 16% | 42% | 33% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 8 | 88% | 26 | 18 | X | <1% | 1% | 15% | 43% | 40% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 8 | 75% | 25 | 19 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 75% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 5 of 8 | 63% | 24 | 20 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 74% | 21% | 1% | <1% |
| 4 of 8 | 50% | 23 | 21 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 34% | 48% | 16% | 1% |
| 3 of 8 | 38% | 22 | 22 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 32% | 47% | 17% |
| 2 of 8 | 25% | 21 | 23 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 33% | 63% |
| 1 of 8 | 13% | 20 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 95% |
| 0 of 8 | 0% | 19 | 25 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |