PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Jun 24 12:15 am

World Cup - Week 3 of 3

Brazil What If?

The Brazil What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Brazil plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Brazil What If?

Next Game - Scotland (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Gi
Goals
GDi
Goal Differential
Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Win Next Game 2 0 1 5 4 7 88% 12% ^ ^
Current Standings 1 0 1 4 3 4 58% 26% 15% ^
Lose Next Game 1 1 1 4 2 4 X 5% 95% ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
Best Case Scenario 88% 12% ^ ^
Current Standings 58% 26% 15% ^
Worst Case Scenario X 5% 95% ^
Best Case Scenario
   Brazil beats Scotland
Worst Case Scenario
   Scotland beats Brazil
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T G GD Pts 1*
Knockout Round
Participant
2*
Knockout Round
Participant
3**
Possible Knockout Round
Participant
4
1 of 1 100% 2 0 1 5 4 7 88% 12% ^ ^
0 of 1 0% 1 1 1 4 2 4 X 5% 95% ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes knockout round qualifing spot
  • **  denotes possible knockout round qualifing spot