The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
California Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| California (12‑1) vs Louisville (10‑2) |
37 | California Wins | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% | ||
| Florida St. (7‑6) vs North Carolina (12‑1) |
3 | Florida St. Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Syracuse (9‑4) vs Clemson (10‑3) |
2 | Syracuse Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Notre Dame (9‑4) vs Stanford (10‑2) |
2 | Notre Dame Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Pittsburgh (7‑6) vs Miami (11‑2) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Miami Wins | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Georgia Tech (8‑4) vs Duke (11‑1) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Duke Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Wake Forest (9‑4) vs N.C. State (9‑4) |
0 | Wake Forest Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Virginia (11‑1) vs Virginia Tech (11‑2) |
0 | Virginia Wins | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||