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Sat Feb 14 11:30 pm

ACC Basketball - Week 16 of 18

California Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the California Golden Bears are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Golden Bears final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. California Golden Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

California Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 California Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
 2*
First and Second
Round Byes
 3*
First and Second
Round Byes
 4*
First and Second
Round Byes
 5**
First Round Bye
 6**
First Round Bye
 7**
First Round Bye
 8**
First Round Bye
 9**
First Round Bye
 10 11 12 13 14 15 NT
California
(18‑8)
vs
Stanford
(16‑10)		 34 California Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 13% 21% 22% 17% 11% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Stanford Wins X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 11% 14% 16% 16% 16% 14% 8% 1% <1%
Miami
(20‑5)
vs
Virginia Tech
(17‑9)		 9 Miami Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 10% 19% 20% 15% 12% 9% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Virginia Tech Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 15% 16% 18% 15% 12% 8% 5% <1% <1%
Duke
(23‑2)
vs
Syracuse
(15‑11)		 6 Duke Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 18% 19% 17% 13% 10% 8% 4% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Syracuse Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 15% 16% 16% 15% 12% 9% 5% <1% <1%
Boston College
(9‑16)
vs
Florida St.
(12‑13)		 4 Boston College Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 18% 19% 17% 13% 9% 7% 3% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Florida St. Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 16% 18% 16% 13% 11% 8% 5% <1% <1%
Louisville
(19‑6)
vs
SMU
(17‑8)		 3 Louisville Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 19% 18% 15% 13% 10% 8% 4% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
SMU Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 15% 20% 17% 13% 11% 8% 4% <1% <1%
Clemson
(20‑6)
vs
Wake Forest
(13‑12)		 2 Clemson Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 18% 19% 17% 14% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Wake Forest Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 16% 18% 16% 13% 11% 8% 6% <1% <1%
N.C. State
(18‑8)
vs
North Carolina
(20‑5)		 1 N.C. State Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 17% 18% 16% 13% 10% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
North Carolina Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 17% 19% 16% 13% 11% 8% 4% <1% <1%
Georgia Tech
(11‑15)
vs
Virginia
(22‑3)		 1 Georgia Tech Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 18% 18% 16% 13% 10% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Virginia Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 17% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Notre Dame
(12‑14)
vs
Pittsburgh
(9‑17)		 0 Notre Dame Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 7% 4% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh Wins X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 9% 17% 18% 16% 13% 11% 8% 4% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament