The Most Important Games for the Florida St. Seminoles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Seminoles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Florida St. Seminoles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Florida St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Florida St. (12‑13) vs Boston College (9‑16) |
18 | Florida St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Boston College Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 18% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 3% | ||
| Duke (23‑2) vs Syracuse (15‑11) |
4 | Duke Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Stanford (16‑10) vs California (18‑8) |
3 | Stanford Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 18% | 16% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| California Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Miami (20‑5) vs Virginia Tech (17‑9) |
3 | Miami Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 19% | 15% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Louisville (19‑6) vs SMU (17‑8) |
2 | Louisville Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| SMU Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Clemson (20‑6) vs Wake Forest (13‑12) |
2 | Clemson Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 12% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Virginia (22‑3) vs Georgia Tech (11‑15) |
1 | Virginia Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 4% | 2% | ||
| N.C. State (18‑8) vs North Carolina (20‑5) |
1 | N.C. State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Pittsburgh (9‑17) vs Notre Dame (12‑14) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 13% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 3% | 1% | ||