The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| N.C. State (2‑0) vs Miami (1‑1) |
27 | N.C. State Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Miami Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 15% | ||
| Notre Dame (2‑0) vs Stanford (2‑0) |
2 | Notre Dame Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Georgia Tech (2‑0) vs Duke (2‑0) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Duke Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Clemson (2‑0) vs Virginia (2‑0) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Louisville (1‑0) vs Virginia Tech (2‑0) |
1 | Louisville Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Syracuse (2‑0) vs Florida St. (2‑0) |
0 | Syracuse Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| Florida St. Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| North Carolina (2‑0) vs California (2‑0) |
0 | North Carolina Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||
| California Wins | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 13% | ||