The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| N.C. State (17‑6) vs Virginia Tech (16‑7) |
48 | N.C. State Wins | 3% | 16% | 20% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 1% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boston College (9‑13) vs Miami (17‑5) |
7 | Boston College Wins | 3% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Miami Wins | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Duke (21‑1) vs North Carolina (18‑4) |
7 | Duke Wins | 2% | 14% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 4% | 11% | 16% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Notre Dame (11‑11) vs Louisville (15‑6) |
5 | Notre Dame Wins | 2% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stanford (14‑8) vs Clemson (18‑4) |
5 | Stanford Wins | 3% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 2% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Syracuse (13‑10) vs Virginia (19‑3) |
5 | Syracuse Wins | 3% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Virginia Wins | 2% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| California (16‑6) vs Georgia Tech (11‑11) |
1 | California Wins | 3% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 2% | 12% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| SMU (15‑7) vs Pittsburgh (9‑14) |
1 | SMU Wins | 3% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 13% | 17% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 3% | 12% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||