The Most Important Games for the N.C. State Wolfpack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolfpack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. N.C. State Wolfpack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
N.C. State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| N.C. State (5‑3) vs Wake Forest (6‑3) |
29 | N.C. State Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Clemson (7‑2) vs Syracuse (5‑3) |
2 | Clemson Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Syracuse Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Louisville (7‑1) vs California (7‑1) |
2 | Louisville Wins | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| California Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Stanford (7‑1) vs Notre Dame (6‑3) |
2 | Stanford Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Notre Dame Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Virginia (7‑1) vs Virginia Tech (7‑2) |
1 | Virginia Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 25% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Duke (9‑0) vs Georgia Tech (5‑4) |
1 | Duke Wins | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 27% | ||
| Miami (7‑2) vs Pittsburgh (5‑4) |
0 | Miami Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| Pittsburgh Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 27% | ||
| Florida St. (5‑3) vs North Carolina (7‑1) |
0 | Florida St. Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 26% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 25% | ||