The Most Important Games for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Fighting Irish final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Notre Dame Fighting Irish fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Notre Dame Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia (5‑4) vs N.C. State (7‑3) |
3 | Virginia Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 17% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 17% | ||
| Georgia Tech (4‑5) vs Duke (8‑2) |
2 | Georgia Tech Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 17% | ||
| Duke Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 17% | ||
| Florida St. (7‑3) vs Louisville (5‑4) |
2 | Florida St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 17% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 17% | ||
| Clemson (9‑1) vs Wake Forest (8‑3) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 17% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 17% | ||
| Boston College (6‑4) vs SMU (8‑2) |
1 | Boston College Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 17% | ||
| SMU Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 16% | ||