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Mon Feb 26 10:30 pm

ACC Basketball - Week 17 of 18

Virginia Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Virginia Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Virginia Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15
Virginia
(20‑8)

vs
Boston College
(15‑12)
55 Virginia Wins X 24% 38% 30% 8% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 17% 33% 30% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Boston College Wins X 6% 27% 31% 24% 10% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Notre Dame
(10‑17)

vs
Wake Forest
(18‑9)
14 Notre Dame Wins X 17% 43% 24% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 17% 33% 30% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Wake Forest Wins X 16% 29% 32% 16% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Clemson
(19‑8)

vs
Pittsburgh
(18‑9)
13 Clemson Wins X 17% 35% 30% 11% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 17% 33% 30% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Pittsburgh Wins X 16% 28% 31% 20% 3% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Florida St.
(14‑13)

vs
N.C. State
(17‑10)
9 Florida St. Wins X 17% 34% 31% 13% 4% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 17% 33% 30% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
N.C. State Wins X 16% 32% 29% 16% 5% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Syracuse
(18‑10)

vs
Virginia Tech
(15‑12)
2 Syracuse Wins X 17% 33% 31% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 17% 33% 30% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Virginia Tech Wins X 17% 33% 30% 15% 4% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Louisville
(8‑19)

vs
Duke
(21‑6)
2 Louisville Wins X 27% 24% 29% 14% 4% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities X 17% 33% 30% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Duke Wins X 16% 34% 30% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament