The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia (8‑1) vs Virginia Tech (8‑2) |
37 | Virginia Wins | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| N.C. State (6‑3) vs Wake Forest (6‑3) |
3 | N.C. State Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Notre Dame (7‑3) vs Stanford (7‑1) |
2 | Notre Dame Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Stanford Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% | ||
| Florida St. (5‑3) vs North Carolina (7‑1) |
2 | Florida St. Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| North Carolina Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Georgia Tech (6‑4) vs Duke (10‑0) |
1 | Georgia Tech Wins | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Duke Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Pittsburgh (5‑4) vs Miami (8‑2) |
1 | Pittsburgh Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Miami Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Syracuse (5‑3) vs Clemson (7‑2) |
1 | Syracuse Wins | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Clemson Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| Louisville (8‑1) vs California (7‑1) |
0 | Louisville Wins | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||
| California Wins | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% | ||