PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Jan 28 11:15 pm

ACC Basketball - Week 13 of 17

Virginia Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Virginia Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Virginia Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15
Virginia
(16‑3)

vs
Syracuse
(13‑9)
23 Virginia Wins 39% 28% 17% 9% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 27% 18% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Syracuse Wins 22% 24% 21% 14% 9% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Virginia Tech
(13‑8)

vs
Miami
(16‑5)
4 Virginia Tech Wins 34% 28% 18% 10% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 27% 18% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miami Wins 34% 26% 18% 10% 6% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Wake Forest
(14‑8)

vs
Duke
(15‑6)
4 Wake Forest Wins 35% 28% 19% 10% 5% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 27% 18% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Duke Wins 34% 26% 18% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Florida St.
(7‑15)

vs
N.C. State
(17‑5)
4 Florida St. Wins 35% 27% 18% 10% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 27% 18% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
N.C. State Wins 34% 27% 18% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pittsburgh
(15‑7)

vs
North Carolina
(15‑6)
1 Pittsburgh Wins 33% 26% 21% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 27% 18% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
North Carolina Wins 37% 28% 15% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Boston College
(10‑12)

vs
Clemson
(18‑4)
0 Boston College Wins 41% 23% 16% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 27% 18% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Clemson Wins 32% 28% 19% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Louisville
(2‑19)

vs
Georgia Tech
(8‑13)
0 Louisville Wins 35% 27% 18% 11% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 35% 27% 18% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Georgia Tech Wins 35% 27% 18% 10% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament