The Most Important Games for the Virginia Cavaliers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cavaliers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Virginia Cavaliers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Virginia Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Virginia (5‑4) vs N.C. State (7‑3) |
30 | Virginia Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| N.C. State Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 19% | ||
| Georgia Tech (4‑5) vs Duke (8‑2) |
2 | Georgia Tech Wins | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Duke Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Clemson (9‑1) vs Wake Forest (8‑3) |
1 | Clemson Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Wake Forest Wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 16% | ||
| Florida St. (7‑3) vs Louisville (5‑4) |
0 | Florida St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Louisville Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| SMU (8‑2) vs Boston College (6‑4) |
0 | SMU Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||
| Boston College Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 16% | ||