The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Michigan St. (20‑4) vs Wisconsin (17‑7) |
137 | Michigan St. Wins | 5% | 16% | 25% | 23% | 23% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | 1% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 24% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Penn State (10‑14) vs Washington (12‑12) |
3 | Penn State Wins | 3% | 11% | 20% | 20% | 22% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Washington Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (10‑14) vs Michigan (22‑1) |
2 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 5% | 11% | 18% | 20% | 22% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Michigan Wins | 3% | 12% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Maryland (9‑13) vs Iowa (18‑5) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Iowa Wins | 3% | 12% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| USC (18‑6) vs Ohio St. (15‑8) |
0 | USC Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 22% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 22% | 14% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||