The Most Important Games for the Michigan St. Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Michigan St. Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Michigan St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| Michigan St. (11‑1) vs Nebraska (11‑0) |
77 | Michigan St. Wins | 28% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (8‑3) vs Illinois (8‑3) |
5 | Penn State Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (7‑5) vs Minnesota (6‑5) |
4 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA (9‑3) vs Iowa (10‑2) |
3 | UCLA Wins | 19% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers (6‑6) vs Ohio St. (8‑3) |
3 | Rutgers Wins | 19% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan (9‑0) vs USC (11‑1) |
3 | Michigan Wins | 18% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| USC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 20% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (7‑4) vs Purdue (11‑1) |
1 | Wisconsin Wins | 20% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana (9‑3) vs Washington (7‑4) |
1 | Indiana Wins | 19% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (6‑5) vs Oregon (6‑5) |
1 | Maryland Wins | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||