Where are the USC Trojans going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The USC standings table presents the probabilities of the Trojans winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| Michigan | 12i Michigan Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Nebraska 75-72 Won Fri, Jan 30 @ Michigan St. 83-71 Won Thu, Feb 05 vs Penn State 110-69 Won Sun, Feb 08 @ Ohio St. 82-61 Wed, Feb 11 @ N. Western Sat, Feb 14 vs UCLA Tue, Feb 17 @ Purdue Sat, Feb 21 @ Duke |
1 | 13 | 78% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Illinois | 11 Illinois Recent Games Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Nebraska 78-69 Won Wed, Feb 04 vs N. Western 84-44 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Michigan St. 82-85 Lost Tue, Feb 10 vs Wisconsin 90-92 Sun, Feb 15 vs Indiana Wed, Feb 18 @ USC Sat, Feb 21 @ UCLA Fri, Feb 27 vs Michigan |
3 | 14 | 10% | 23% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Purdue | 10 Purdue Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Indiana 67-72 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Maryland 93-63 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Oregon 68-64 Won Tue, Feb 10 @ Nebraska 80-77 Sat, Feb 14 @ Iowa Tue, Feb 17 vs Michigan Fri, Feb 20 vs Indiana Thu, Feb 26 vs Michigan St. |
3 | 13 | 5% | 16% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Nebraska | 10 Nebraska Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Michigan 72-75 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Illinois 69-78 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Rutgers 80-68 Lost Tue, Feb 10 vs Purdue 77-80 Sat, Feb 14 vs N. Western Tue, Feb 17 @ Iowa Sat, Feb 21 vs Penn State Wed, Feb 25 vs Maryland |
3 | 13 | 3% | 33% | 26% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Michigan St. | 10 Michigan St. Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 @ Rutgers 88-79 Lost Fri, Jan 30 vs Michigan 71-83 Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Minnesota 73-76 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Illinois 85-82 Fri, Feb 13 @ Wisconsin Tue, Feb 17 vs UCLA Sun, Feb 22 vs Ohio St. Thu, Feb 26 @ Purdue |
3 | 13 | 3% | 11% | 19% | 20% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Wisconsin | 9 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 28 vs Minnesota 67-63 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Ohio St. 92-82 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Indiana 77-78 Won Tue, Feb 10 @ Illinois 92-90 Fri, Feb 13 vs Michigan St. Tue, Feb 17 @ Ohio St. Sun, Feb 22 vs Iowa Wed, Feb 25 @ Oregon |
4 | 13 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 16% | 24% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| UCLA | 9 UCLA Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 28 @ Oregon 73-57 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Indiana 97-98 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Rutgers 98-66 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Washington 77-73 Sat, Feb 14 @ Michigan Tue, Feb 17 @ Michigan St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Illinois Tue, Feb 24 vs USC |
4 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Iowa | 8 Iowa Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 28 vs USC 73-72 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Oregon 84-66 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ Washington 84-74 Won Sun, Feb 08 vs N. Western 76-70 Wed, Feb 11 @ Maryland Sat, Feb 14 vs Purdue Tue, Feb 17 vs Nebraska Sun, Feb 22 @ Wisconsin |
4 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 18% | 23% | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Indiana | 8 Indiana Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ UCLA 98-97 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ USC 75-81 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Wisconsin 78-77 Won Mon, Feb 09 vs Oregon 92-74 Sun, Feb 15 @ Illinois Fri, Feb 20 @ Purdue Tue, Feb 24 vs N. Western Sun, Mar 01 vs Michigan St. |
6 | 14 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 22% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| USC | 7 USC Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Iowa 72-73 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Rutgers 78-75 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Indiana 81-75 Won Sun, Feb 08 @ Penn State 77-75 Wed, Feb 11 @ Ohio St. Wed, Feb 18 vs Illinois Sat, Feb 21 vs Oregon Tue, Feb 24 @ UCLA |
6 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Ohio St. | 7 Ohio St. Recent Games Won Mon, Jan 26 vs Penn State 84-78 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Wisconsin 82-92 Won Thu, Feb 05 @ Maryland 82-62 Lost Sun, Feb 08 vs Michigan 61-82 Wed, Feb 11 vs USC Sat, Feb 14 vs Virginia Tue, Feb 17 vs Wisconsin Sun, Feb 22 @ Michigan St. |
6 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 28% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Minnesota | 4 Minnesota Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Wisconsin 63-67 Lost Sun, Feb 01 @ Penn State 75-77 Won Wed, Feb 04 vs Michigan St. 76-73 Lost Sun, Feb 08 vs Maryland 62-67 Sat, Feb 14 @ Washington Tue, Feb 17 @ Oregon Sat, Feb 21 vs Rutgers Tue, Feb 24 @ Michigan |
9 | 13 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 21% | 38% | 20% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Washington | 4 Washington Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ Illinois 66-75 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ N. Western 76-62 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Iowa 74-84 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ UCLA 73-77 Wed, Feb 11 vs Penn State Sat, Feb 14 vs Minnesota Sat, Feb 21 @ Maryland Tue, Feb 24 @ Rutgers |
9 | 13 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 40% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Maryland | 2 Maryland Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Michigan St. 48-91 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Purdue 63-93 Lost Thu, Feb 05 vs Ohio St. 62-82 Won Sun, Feb 08 @ Minnesota 67-62 Wed, Feb 11 vs Iowa Sun, Feb 15 @ Rutgers Wed, Feb 18 @ N. Western Sat, Feb 21 vs Washington |
10 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 21% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 9% |
| Rutgers | 2 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Michigan St. 79-88 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ USC 75-78 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ UCLA 66-98 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Nebraska 68-80 Sun, Feb 15 vs Maryland Wed, Feb 18 @ Penn State Sat, Feb 21 @ Minnesota Tue, Feb 24 vs Washington |
11 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 15% | 8% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 2 Northwestern Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Penn State 94-73 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Washington 62-76 Lost Wed, Feb 04 @ Illinois 44-84 Lost Sun, Feb 08 @ Iowa 70-76 Wed, Feb 11 vs Michigan Sat, Feb 14 @ Nebraska Wed, Feb 18 vs Maryland Tue, Feb 24 @ Indiana |
11 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 25% | 21% | 13% |
| Penn State | 1 Penn State Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ N. Western 73-94 Won Sun, Feb 01 vs Minnesota 77-75 Lost Thu, Feb 05 @ Michigan 69-110 Lost Sun, Feb 08 vs USC 75-77 Wed, Feb 11 @ Washington Sat, Feb 14 @ Oregon Wed, Feb 18 vs Rutgers Sat, Feb 21 @ Nebraska |
12 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 22% | 36% |
| Oregon | 1 Oregon Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs UCLA 57-73 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Iowa 66-84 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Purdue 64-68 Lost Mon, Feb 09 @ Indiana 74-92 Sat, Feb 14 vs Penn State Tue, Feb 17 vs Minnesota Sat, Feb 21 @ USC Wed, Feb 25 vs Wisconsin |
12 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (16)NorthwesternN. Western | 2 | 11 | <1% |
| (17)Penn State | 1 | 12 | <1% |
| (12)Minnesota | 4 | 9 | <1% |
| (13)Washington | 4 | 9 | <1% |
| (14)Maryland | 2 | 10 | <1% |
| (15)Rutgers | 2 | 11 | <1% |
| (18)Oregon | 1 | 12 | <1% |
| (11)Ohio St. | 7 | 6 | <1% |
| (6)Wisconsin | 9 | 4 | <1% |
| (7)UCLA | 9 | 4 | <1% |
| (8)Iowa | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (9)Indiana | 8 | 6 | <1% |
| (1)Michigan | 12 | 1 | X |
| (2)Illinois | 11 | 3 | X |
| (3)Purdue | 10 | 3 | X |
| (4)Nebraska | 10 | 3 | X |
| (5)Michigan St. | 10 | 3 | X |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Oregon (8‑16) |
82‑77 | Away | Tue Dec 2, 10:00 pm |
| 5 | Washington (12‑12) |
76‑84 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Michigan (22‑1) |
66‑96 | Away | Fri Jan 2, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Michigan St. (20‑4) |
51‑80 | Away | Mon Jan 5, 8:30 pm |
| 10 | Minnesota (11‑13) |
70‑69 (OT) | Away | Fri Jan 9, 8:30 pm |
| 11 | Maryland (9‑13) |
88‑71 | Home | Tue Jan 13, 10:30 pm |
| 11 | Purdue (20‑4) |
64‑69 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | NorthwesternN. Western (10‑14) |
68‑74 | Home | Wed Jan 21, 11:00 pm |
| 12 | Wisconsin (17‑7) |
73‑71 | Away | Sun Jan 25, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | Iowa (18‑5) |
72‑73 | Away | Wed Jan 28, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Rutgers (9‑15) |
78‑75 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Indiana (17‑8) |
81‑75 | Home | Tue Feb 3, 10:00 pm |
| 14 | Penn State (10‑14) |
77‑75 | Away | Sun Feb 8, 12:00 pm |
| 15 | Ohio St. (15‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 11, 6:30 pm | |
| 16 | Illinois (20‑5) |
Home | Wed Feb 18, 10:00 pm | |
| 16 | Oregon (8‑16) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 4:00 pm | |
| 17 | UCLA (17‑7) |
Away | Tue Feb 24, 11:00 pm | |
| 17 | Nebraska (21‑3) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Washington (12‑12) |
Away | Wed Mar 4, 10:30 pm | |
| 18 | UCLA (17‑7) |
Home | Sat Mar 7, 9:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cal Poly (9‑16) |
Big WestBig West | 94‑64 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Manhattan (10‑16) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 114‑83 | Home | Sun Nov 9 |
| 2 | Illinois St. (16‑9) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 87‑67 | Home | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Troy (17‑8) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 107‑106 (OT) | Home | Thu Nov 20, 10:00 pm |
| 4 | Boise St. (15‑9) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 70‑67 | Away | Mon Nov 24, 5:00 pm |
| 4 | Seton Hall (16‑8) |
Big EastBig East | 83‑81 | Home | Tue Nov 25 |
| 4 | Arizona St. (13‑12) |
Big 12Big 12 | 88‑75 | Away | Wed Nov 26 |
| 6 | San Diego (10‑16) |
West CoastWest Coast | 94‑81 | Away | Tue Dec 9, 9:00 pm |
| 6 | Washington St. (11‑15) |
West CoastWest Coast | 68‑61 | Home | Sun Dec 14, 7:30 pm |
| 7 | Texas-San Antonio (4‑19) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | 97‑70 | Home | Wed Dec 17, 9:00 pm |
| 7 | UC Santa Cruz | ‑‑ | 102‑63 | Home | Sun Dec 21 |