Where are the Iowa Hawkeyes going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Iowa standings table presents the probabilities of the Hawkeyes winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
| Michigan | 10i Michigan Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Indiana 86-72 Won Fri, Jan 23 vs Ohio St. 74-62 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Nebraska 75-72 Won Fri, Jan 30 @ Michigan St. 83-71 Thu, Feb 05 vs Penn State Sun, Feb 08 @ Ohio St. Wed, Feb 11 @ N. Western Sat, Feb 14 vs UCLA |
1 | 11 | 51% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Illinois | 10 Illinois Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Maryland 89-70 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Purdue 88-82 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Washington 75-66 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Nebraska 78-69 Wed, Feb 04 vs N. Western Sat, Feb 07 @ Michigan St. Tue, Feb 10 vs Wisconsin Sun, Feb 15 vs Indiana |
1 | 11 | 32% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Nebraska | 9 Nebraska Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Washington 76-66 Won Sat, Jan 24 @ Minnesota 76-57 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Michigan 72-75 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Illinois 69-78 Sat, Feb 07 @ Rutgers Tue, Feb 10 vs Purdue Sat, Feb 14 vs N. Western Tue, Feb 17 @ Iowa |
2 | 11 | 10% | 31% | 33% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Michigan St. | 9 Michigan St. Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 20 @ Oregon 68-52 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs Maryland 91-48 Won Tue, Jan 27 @ Rutgers 88-79 Lost Fri, Jan 30 vs Michigan 71-83 Wed, Feb 04 @ Minnesota Sat, Feb 07 vs Illinois Fri, Feb 13 @ Wisconsin Tue, Feb 17 vs UCLA |
2 | 11 | 5% | 10% | 19% | 31% | 22% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Purdue | 8 Purdue Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ UCLA 67-69 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Illinois 82-88 Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Indiana 67-72 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Maryland 93-63 Sat, Feb 07 vs Oregon Tue, Feb 10 @ Nebraska Sat, Feb 14 @ Iowa Tue, Feb 17 vs Michigan |
3 | 11 | 1% | 4% | 9% | 19% | 30% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 8 Wisconsin Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 22 @ Penn State 98-71 Lost Sun, Jan 25 vs USC 71-73 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs Minnesota 67-63 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Ohio St. 92-82 Sat, Feb 07 @ Indiana Tue, Feb 10 @ Illinois Fri, Feb 13 vs Michigan St. Tue, Feb 17 @ Ohio St. |
3 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 16% | 25% | 18% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| UCLA | 7 UCLA Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Purdue 69-67 Won Sat, Jan 24 vs N. Western 71-64 Won Wed, Jan 28 @ Oregon 73-57 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Indiana 97-98 Tue, Feb 03 vs Rutgers Sat, Feb 07 vs Washington Sat, Feb 14 @ Michigan Tue, Feb 17 @ Michigan St. |
4 | 11 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Iowa | 6 Iowa Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Indiana 74-57 Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Rutgers 68-62 Won Wed, Jan 28 vs USC 73-72 Won Sun, Feb 01 @ Oregon 84-66 Wed, Feb 04 @ Washington Sun, Feb 08 vs N. Western Wed, Feb 11 @ Maryland Sat, Feb 14 vs Purdue |
4 | 10 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Indiana | 6 Indiana Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ Michigan 72-86 Won Fri, Jan 23 @ Rutgers 82-59 Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Purdue 72-67 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ UCLA 98-97 Tue, Feb 03 @ USC Sat, Feb 07 vs Wisconsin Mon, Feb 09 vs Oregon Sun, Feb 15 @ Illinois |
5 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Ohio St. | 6 Ohio St. Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Minnesota 82-74 Lost Fri, Jan 23 @ Michigan 62-74 Won Mon, Jan 26 vs Penn State 84-78 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Wisconsin 82-92 Thu, Feb 05 @ Maryland Sun, Feb 08 vs Michigan Wed, Feb 11 vs USC Sat, Feb 14 vs Virginia |
5 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| USC | 5 USC Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 21 vs N. Western 68-74 Won Sun, Jan 25 @ Wisconsin 73-71 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Iowa 72-73 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Rutgers 78-75 Tue, Feb 03 vs Indiana Sun, Feb 08 @ Penn State Wed, Feb 11 @ Ohio St. Wed, Feb 18 vs Illinois |
6 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 18% | 18% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Washington | 4 Washington Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Nebraska 66-76 Won Sun, Jan 25 vs Oregon 72-57 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ Illinois 66-75 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ N. Western 76-62 Wed, Feb 04 vs Iowa Sat, Feb 07 @ UCLA Wed, Feb 11 vs Penn State Sat, Feb 14 vs Minnesota |
7 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Minnesota | 3 Minnesota Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ Ohio St. 74-82 Lost Sat, Jan 24 vs Nebraska 57-76 Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Wisconsin 63-67 Lost Sun, Feb 01 @ Penn State 75-77 Wed, Feb 04 vs Michigan St. Sun, Feb 08 vs Maryland Sat, Feb 14 @ Washington Tue, Feb 17 @ Oregon |
8 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 29% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Rutgers | 2 Rutgers Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ Iowa 62-68 Lost Fri, Jan 23 vs Indiana 59-82 Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Michigan St. 79-88 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ USC 75-78 Tue, Feb 03 @ UCLA Sat, Feb 07 vs Nebraska Sun, Feb 15 vs Maryland Wed, Feb 18 @ Penn State |
9 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 19% | 22% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 7% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 2 Northwestern Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 21 @ USC 74-68 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ UCLA 64-71 Won Thu, Jan 29 vs Penn State 94-73 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Washington 62-76 Wed, Feb 04 @ Illinois Sun, Feb 08 @ Iowa Wed, Feb 11 vs Michigan Sat, Feb 14 @ Nebraska |
9 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 16% | 23% | 22% | 18% | 11% |
| Maryland | 1 Maryland Recent Games Won Sun, Jan 18 vs Penn State 96-73 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Illinois 70-89 Lost Sat, Jan 24 @ Michigan St. 48-91 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Purdue 63-93 Thu, Feb 05 vs Ohio St. Sun, Feb 08 @ Minnesota Wed, Feb 11 vs Iowa Sun, Feb 15 @ Rutgers |
9 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 19% |
| Penn State | 1 Penn State Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 22 vs Wisconsin 71-98 Lost Mon, Jan 26 @ Ohio St. 78-84 Lost Thu, Jan 29 @ N. Western 73-94 Won Sun, Feb 01 vs Minnesota 77-75 Thu, Feb 05 @ Michigan Sun, Feb 08 vs USC Wed, Feb 11 @ Washington Sat, Feb 14 @ Oregon |
10 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 13% | 17% | 21% | 32% |
| Oregon | 1 Oregon Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 20 vs Michigan St. 52-68 Lost Sun, Jan 25 @ Washington 57-72 Lost Wed, Jan 28 vs UCLA 57-73 Lost Sun, Feb 01 vs Iowa 66-84 Sat, Feb 07 @ Purdue Mon, Feb 09 @ Indiana Sat, Feb 14 vs Penn State Tue, Feb 17 vs Minnesota |
10 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 28% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | >99% | ||
| (18)Oregon | 1 | 10 | <1% |
| (14)Rutgers | 2 | 9 | <1% |
| (16)Maryland | 1 | 9 | <1% |
| (17)Penn State | 1 | 10 | <1% |
| (13)Minnesota | 3 | 8 | <1% |
| (9)Indiana | 6 | 5 | <1% |
| (11)USC | 5 | 6 | <1% |
| (12)Washington | 4 | 7 | <1% |
| (15)NorthwesternN. Western | 2 | 9 | <1% |
| (7)UCLA | 7 | 4 | <1% |
| (10)Ohio St. | 6 | 5 | <1% |
| (3)Nebraska | 9 | 2 | <1% |
| (4)Michigan St. | 9 | 2 | <1% |
| (5)Purdue | 8 | 3 | <1% |
| (6)Wisconsin | 8 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)Michigan | 10 | 1 | <1% |
| (2)Illinois | 10 | 1 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Michigan St. (19‑3) |
52‑71 | Away | Tue Dec 2, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Maryland (8‑12) |
83‑64 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | UCLA (15‑7) |
74‑61 | Home | Sat Jan 3, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Minnesota (10‑12) |
67‑70 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Illinois (19‑3) |
69‑75 | Home | Sun Jan 11, 12:00 pm |
| 11 | Purdue (18‑4) |
72‑79 | Away | Wed Jan 14, 6:30 pm |
| 11 | Indiana (15‑7) |
74‑57 | Away | Sat Jan 17, 2:00 pm |
| 12 | Rutgers (9‑13) |
68‑62 | Home | Tue Jan 20, 8:30 pm |
| 13 | USC (16‑6) |
73‑72 | Home | Wed Jan 28, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Oregon (8‑14) |
84‑66 | Away | Sun Feb 1, 8:00 pm |
| 14 | Washington (12‑10) |
Away | Wed Feb 4, 11:00 pm | |
| 14 | NorthwesternN. Western (10‑12) |
Home | Sun Feb 8, 3:00 pm | |
| 15 | Maryland (8‑12) |
Away | Wed Feb 11, 6:00 pm | |
| 15 | Purdue (18‑4) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, TBD | |
| 16 | Nebraska (20‑2) |
Home | Tue Feb 17, 9:00 pm | |
| 16 | Wisconsin (16‑6) |
Away | Sun Feb 22, 4:00 pm | |
| 17 | Ohio St. (14‑7) |
Home | Wed Feb 25, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Penn State (10‑12) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 12:00 pm | |
| 18 | Michigan (19‑1) |
Home | Thu Mar 5, 8:00 pm | |
| 18 | Nebraska (20‑2) |
Away | Sun Mar 8, 5:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Morris (14‑10) |
HorizonHorizon | 101‑69 | Home | Tue Nov 4 |
| 1 | Western Illinois (4‑19) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 77‑58 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Xavier (12‑10) |
Big EastBig East | 81‑62 | Home | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | SE Missouri St. (13‑10) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 99‑70 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 8:30 pm |
| 3 | Chicago St. (3‑19) |
NortheastNorth East | 93‑54 | Home | Thu Nov 20, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Ole Miss (11‑10) |
SECSEC | 74‑69 | Home | Tue Nov 25, 9:30 pm |
| 4 | Grand Canyon (14‑7) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 59‑46 | Away | Wed Nov 26 |
| 6 | Iowa St. (20‑2) |
Big 12Big 12 | 62‑66 | Away | Thu Dec 11, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | Western Michigan (8‑13) |
MACMAC | 91‑51 | Home | Sun Dec 14, 3:00 pm |
| 7 | Bucknell (7‑15) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 94‑39 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | UMass-LowellUMA-Lowell (9‑14) |
America EastAmerica East | 90‑62 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 5:00 pm |