PlayoffStatus.com

Wed Feb 25 5:00 am

Big 10 Basketball - Week 17 of 18

Nebraska What If?

The Nebraska Cornhuskers What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Nebraska plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Nebraska What If?

Next Game - Maryland (11‑15)

  Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
  W L 1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
3*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
4*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
5**
First and Second
Round Byes
6**
First and Second
Round Byes
7**
First and Second
Round Byes
8**
First and Second
Round Byes
9***
First Round Bye
10***
First Round Bye
11***
First Round Bye
12***
First Round Bye
13***
First Round Bye
14***
First Round Bye
15 16 17 18
Win Next Game 13 4 <1% 25% 26% 30% 10% 5% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 12 4 <1% 23% 24% 30% 12% 6% 4% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 12 5 X 6% 12% 32% 21% 13% 12% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Regular Season Finish
  1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
3*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
4*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
5**
First and Second
Round Byes
6**
First and Second
Round Byes
7**
First and Second
Round Byes
8**
First and Second
Round Byes
9***
First Round Bye
10***
First Round Bye
11***
First Round Bye
12***
First Round Bye
13***
First Round Bye
14***
First Round Bye
15 16 17 18
Best Case Scenario X 17% 27% 44% 8% 2% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Standings <1% 23% 24% 30% 12% 6% 4% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario X 10% 13% 18% 24% 16% 14% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Nebraska beats Maryland
   Purdue beats Michigan St.
   Minnesota beats UCLA
Worst Case Scenario
   Maryland beats Nebraska
   Michigan St. beats Purdue
   UCLA beats Minnesota
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Regular Season Finish
W L 1*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
2*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
3*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
4*
First, Second, and
Third Round Byes
5**
First and Second
Round Byes
6**
First and Second
Round Byes
7**
First and Second
Round Byes
8**
First and Second
Round Byes
9***
First Round Bye
10***
First Round Bye
11***
First Round Bye
12***
First Round Bye
13***
First Round Bye
14***
First Round Bye
15 16 17 18
4 of 4 100% 16 4 <1% 57% 36% 7% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 15 5 X 22% 32% 42% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 4 50% 14 6 X <1% 8% 44% 33% 11% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
1 of 4 25% 13 7 X <1% <1% 5% 21% 33% 37% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
0 of 4 0% 12 8 X X X <1% <1% 6% 38% 51% 5% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first, second, and third round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • **  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • **   denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament