The Most Important Games for the Oregon Ducks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Ducks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Oregon Ducks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Oregon Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| Iowa (18‑5) vs Maryland (9‑13) |
3 | Iowa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 19% | 23% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 25% | 38% | ||
| Michigan (22‑1) vs NorthwesternN. Western (10‑14) |
1 | Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 18% | 24% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 17% | 24% | 38% | ||
| Washington (12‑12) vs Penn State (10‑14) |
0 | Washington Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 19% | 24% | 33% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% | ||
| Penn State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 23% | 39% | ||
| Ohio St. (15‑8) vs USC (18‑6) |
0 | Ohio St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% | ||
| USC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% | ||
| Wisconsin (17‑7) vs Michigan St. (20‑4) |
0 | Wisconsin Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% | ||
| Michigan St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 35% | ||