PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Dec 9 8:00 pm

Big 10 Basketball - Week 5 of 18

Penn State Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Penn State Nittany Lions are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Nittany Lions final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Penn State Nittany Lions fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Penn State Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Penn State Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10**
First Round Bye
11 12 13 14
Penn State
(4‑5)

vs
Ohio St.
(8‑1)
11 Penn State Wins <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 6% 7% 9% 11% 14% 19% 22%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 18% 30%
Ohio St. Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 19% 31%
Purdue
(9‑1)

vs
Maryland
(5‑4)
1 Purdue Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 9% 11% 13% 18% 30%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 18% 30%
Maryland Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 18% 32%
NorthwesternN. Western
(6‑1)

vs
Illinois
(7‑2)
0 NorthwesternN. Western Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 19% 30%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 18% 30%
Illinois Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 18% 30%
Nebraska
(7‑2)

vs
Michigan St.
(4‑4)
0 Nebraska Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 18% 30%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 18% 30%
Michigan St. Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 18% 31%
Iowa
(5‑4)

vs
Michigan
(4‑5)
0 Iowa Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 10% 13% 19% 30%
Current Probabilities <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 5% 6% 8% 10% 13% 18% 30%
Michigan Wins <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 5% 7% 8% 10% 13% 18% 31%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament