Where are the Penn State Nittany Lions going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Penn State standings table presents the probabilities of the Nittany Lions winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10** First Round Bye |
11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| Purdue | 11i Purdue Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 26 @ Michigan 75-70 Won Sun, Jan 29 vs Michigan St. 77-61 Won Wed, Feb 01 vs Penn State 80-60 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ Indiana 74-79 Thu, Feb 09 vs Iowa Sun, Feb 12 @ N. Western Thu, Feb 16 @ Maryland Sun, Feb 19 vs Ohio St. |
2 | 13 | 92% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Rutgers | 8 Rutgers Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 24 vs Penn State 65-45 Lost Sun, Jan 29 @ Iowa 82-93 Won Wed, Feb 01 vs Minnesota 90-55 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs Michigan St. 61-55 Tue, Feb 07 @ Indiana Sat, Feb 11 @ Illinois Tue, Feb 14 vs Nebraska Sat, Feb 18 @ Wisconsin |
4 | 12 | 3% | 33% | 18% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Iowa | 7 Iowa Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 @ Michigan St. 61-63 Won Sun, Jan 29 vs Rutgers 93-82 Won Tue, Jan 31 vs N. Western 86-70 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs Illinois 81-79 Thu, Feb 09 @ Purdue Sun, Feb 12 @ Minnesota Thu, Feb 16 vs Ohio St. Sun, Feb 19 @ N. Western |
5 | 12 | 1% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan | 7 Michigan Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 26 vs Purdue 70-75 Lost Sun, Jan 29 @ Penn State 61-83 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ N. Western 68-51 Won Sun, Feb 05 vs Ohio St. 77-69 Wed, Feb 08 vs Nebraska Sat, Feb 11 vs Indiana Tue, Feb 14 @ Wisconsin Sat, Feb 18 vs Michigan St. |
5 | 12 | <1% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Maryland | 7 Maryland Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 25 vs Wisconsin 73-55 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Nebraska 82-63 Won Tue, Jan 31 vs Indiana 66-55 Won Sat, Feb 04 @ Minnesota 81-46 Tue, Feb 07 @ Michigan St. Sat, Feb 11 vs Penn State Thu, Feb 16 vs Purdue Sun, Feb 19 @ Nebraska |
5 | 12 | 1% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NorthwesternN. Western | 7 Northwestern Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Minnesota 81-61 Lost Tue, Jan 31 @ Iowa 70-86 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Michigan 51-68 Won Sun, Feb 05 @ Wisconsin 54-52 Thu, Feb 09 @ Ohio St. Sun, Feb 12 vs Purdue Wed, Feb 15 vs Indiana Sun, Feb 19 vs Iowa |
5 | 12 | 1% | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Indiana | 7 Indiana Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 25 @ Minnesota 61-57 Won Sat, Jan 28 vs Ohio St. 86-70 Lost Tue, Jan 31 @ Maryland 55-66 Won Sat, Feb 04 vs Purdue 79-74 Tue, Feb 07 vs Rutgers Sat, Feb 11 @ Michigan Wed, Feb 15 @ N. Western Sat, Feb 18 vs Illinois |
5 | 12 | 1% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Illinois | 7 Illinois Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 24 vs Ohio St. 69-60 Won Sat, Jan 28 @ Wisconsin 61-51 Won Tue, Jan 31 vs Nebraska 72-56 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ Iowa 79-81 Tue, Feb 07 vs Minnesota Sat, Feb 11 vs Rutgers Tue, Feb 14 @ Penn State Sat, Feb 18 @ Indiana |
5 | 12 | 1% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Michigan St. | 6 Michigan St. Recent Games Lost Sun, Jan 22 @ Indiana 69-82 Won Thu, Jan 26 vs Iowa 63-61 Lost Sun, Jan 29 @ Purdue 61-77 Lost Sat, Feb 04 @ Rutgers 55-61 Tue, Feb 07 vs Maryland Sun, Feb 12 @ Ohio St. Wed, Feb 15 vs Minnesota Sat, Feb 18 @ Michigan |
6 | 12 | <1% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Wisconsin | 5 Wisconsin Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 25 @ Maryland 55-73 Lost Sat, Jan 28 vs Illinois 51-61 Won Thu, Feb 02 @ Ohio St. 65-60 Lost Sun, Feb 05 vs N. Western 52-54 Wed, Feb 08 @ Penn State Sat, Feb 11 @ Nebraska Tue, Feb 14 vs Michigan Sat, Feb 18 vs Rutgers |
7 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 14% | 2% | <1% |
| Penn State | 5 Penn State Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 24 @ Rutgers 45-65 Won Sun, Jan 29 vs Michigan 83-61 Lost Wed, Feb 01 @ Purdue 60-80 Lost Sun, Feb 05 @ Nebraska 63-72 Wed, Feb 08 vs Wisconsin Sat, Feb 11 @ Maryland Tue, Feb 14 vs Illinois Sat, Feb 18 @ Minnesota |
7 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 24% | 10% | 4% | <1% |
| Nebraska | 4 Nebraska Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 25 vs N. Western 63-78 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Maryland 63-82 Lost Tue, Jan 31 @ Illinois 56-72 Won Sun, Feb 05 vs Penn State 72-63 Wed, Feb 08 @ Michigan Sat, Feb 11 vs Wisconsin Tue, Feb 14 @ Rutgers Sun, Feb 19 vs Maryland |
9 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 18% | 50% | 16% | 2% |
| Ohio St. | 3 Ohio St. Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 24 @ Illinois 60-69 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ Indiana 70-86 Lost Thu, Feb 02 vs Wisconsin 60-65 Lost Sun, Feb 05 @ Michigan 69-77 Thu, Feb 09 vs N. Western Sun, Feb 12 vs Michigan St. Thu, Feb 16 @ Iowa Sun, Feb 19 @ Purdue |
9 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 15% | 65% | 11% |
| Minnesota | 1 Minnesota Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 25 vs Indiana 57-61 Lost Sat, Jan 28 @ N. Western 61-81 Lost Wed, Feb 01 @ Rutgers 55-90 Lost Sat, Feb 04 vs Maryland 46-81 Tue, Feb 07 @ Illinois Sun, Feb 12 vs Iowa Wed, Feb 15 @ Michigan St. Sat, Feb 18 vs Penn State |
11 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 61% | ||
| (14)Minnesota | 1 | 11 | 22% |
| (13)Ohio St. | 3 | 9 | 12% |
| (12)Nebraska | 4 | 9 | 4% |
| (10)Wisconsin | 5 | 7 | <1% |
| (9)Michigan St. | 6 | 6 | <1% |
| (4)Michigan | 7 | 5 | <1% |
| (3)Iowa | 7 | 5 | <1% |
| (6)NorthwesternN. Western | 7 | 5 | <1% |
| (8)Illinois | 7 | 5 | <1% |
| (7)Indiana | 7 | 5 | <1% |
| (5)Maryland | 7 | 5 | <1% |
| (2)Rutgers | 8 | 4 | <1% |
| (1)Purdue | 11 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Michigan St. (14‑9) |
58‑67 | Home | Wed Dec 7, 6:30 pm |
| 5 | Illinois (16‑7) |
74‑59 | Away | Sat Dec 10, 12:00 pm |
| 8 | Iowa (15‑8) |
83‑79 | Home | Sun Jan 1, 5:30 pm |
| 9 | Michigan (13‑10) |
69‑79 | Away | Wed Jan 4, 7:00 pm |
| 9 | Purdue (22‑2) |
63‑76 | Home | Sun Jan 8, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Indiana (16‑7) |
85‑66 | Home | Wed Jan 11, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Wisconsin (13‑9) |
60‑63 | Away | Tue Jan 17, 8:30 pm |
| 11 | Nebraska (11‑13) |
76‑65 | Home | Sat Jan 21, 2:15 pm |
| 12 | Rutgers (16‑7) |
45‑65 | Away | Tue Jan 24, 6:30 pm |
| 12 | Michigan (13‑10) |
83‑61 | Home | Sun Jan 29, 12:00 pm |
| 13 | Purdue (22‑2) |
60‑80 | Away | Wed Feb 1, 6:30 pm |
| 13 | Nebraska (11‑13) |
63‑72 | Away | Sun Feb 5, 4:30 pm |
| 14 | Wisconsin (13‑9) |
Home | Wed Feb 8, 8:30 pm | |
| 14 | Maryland (16‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 11, 12:00 pm | |
| 15 | Illinois (16‑7) |
Home | Tue Feb 14, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Minnesota (7‑15) |
Away | Sat Feb 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Ohio St. (11‑12) |
Away | Thu Feb 23, 6:30 pm | |
| 16 | Rutgers (16‑7) |
Home | Sun Feb 26, 6:30 pm | |
| 17 | NorthwesternN. Western (16‑7) |
Away | Wed Mar 1, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Maryland (16‑7) |
Home | Sun Mar 5, 12:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winthrop (11‑14) |
Big SouthBig South | 93‑68 | Home | Mon Nov 7 |
| 1 | Loyola-MD (8‑17) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 90‑65 | Home | Thu Nov 10 |
| 2 | Butler (11‑13) |
Big EastBig East | 68‑62 | Home | Mon Nov 14 |
| 2 | Furman (19‑6) |
SouthernSouthern | 73‑68 | Home | Thu Nov 17 |
| 2 | Virginia Tech (14‑9) |
ACCACC | 59‑61 | Away | Fri Nov 18 |
| 2 | Colorado St. (10‑14) |
Mountain WestMntn West | 68‑56 | Away | Sun Nov 20 |
| 3 | Lafayette (7‑18) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 70‑57 | Home | Fri Nov 25 |
| 4 | Clemson (18‑6) |
ACCACC | 94‑101 (OT) | Away | Tue Nov 29 |
| 6 | Canisius (5‑17) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 97‑67 | Home | Sun Dec 18, 12:00 pm |
| 7 | Quinnipiac (17‑7) |
Metro AtlanticMetro Atlantic | 77‑68 | Home | Thu Dec 22, 8:30 pm |
| 8 | Delaware St. (4‑16) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 60‑46 | Home | Thu Dec 29, 2:00 pm |