The Most Important Games for the USC Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. USC Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
USC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| USC (8‑0) vs Washington (5‑3) |
66 | USC Wins | 26% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Maryland (6‑2) vs Iowa (7‑1) |
6 | Maryland Wins | 25% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Oregon (4‑4) vs UCLA (6‑2) |
6 | Oregon Wins | 24% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UCLA Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Rutgers (5‑4) vs Michigan (6‑0) |
6 | Rutgers Wins | 26% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 23% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Minnesota (5‑4) vs Purdue (8‑1) |
5 | Minnesota Wins | 25% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Purdue Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin (7‑2) vs Nebraska (8‑0) |
4 | Wisconsin Wins | 25% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nebraska Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Indiana (7‑2) vs Penn State (8‑1) |
3 | Indiana Wins | 24% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Illinois (6‑2) vs Ohio St. (7‑1) |
0 | Illinois Wins | 25% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||