The Most Important Games for the USC Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. USC Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
USC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| USC (18‑7) vs Illinois (21‑5) |
46 | USC Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 17% | 19% | 19% | 20% | 15% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Illinois Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 12% | 16% | 23% | 30% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. (20‑5) vs UCLA (17‑8) |
11 | Michigan St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 24% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| UCLA Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 26% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Nebraska (22‑3) vs Iowa (18‑7) |
10 | Nebraska Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | 23% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Iowa Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 23% | 27% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Wisconsin (18‑7) vs Ohio St. (16‑9) |
8 | Wisconsin Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 15% | 17% | 21% | 22% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 22% | 27% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan (24‑1) vs Purdue (21‑4) |
2 | Michigan Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 24% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Purdue Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 22% | 25% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western (10‑16) vs Maryland (10‑14) |
1 | NorthwesternN. Western Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 21% | 24% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Maryland Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Oregon (9‑16) vs Minnesota (11‑14) |
1 | Oregon Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Minnesota Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rutgers (10‑15) vs Penn State (11‑15) |
0 | Rutgers Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 21% | 24% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Penn State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 21% | 24% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||