The Most Important Games for the USC Trojans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Trojans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. USC Trojans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
USC Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
2* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
3* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
4* First, Second, and Third Round Byes |
5** First and Second Round Byes |
6** First and Second Round Byes |
7** First and Second Round Byes |
8** First and Second Round Byes |
9*** First Round Bye |
10*** First Round Bye |
11*** First Round Bye |
12*** First Round Bye |
13*** First Round Bye |
14*** First Round Bye |
15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | |||
| USC (18‑6) vs Ohio St. (15‑8) |
62 | USC Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 13% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Maryland (9‑13) vs Iowa (18‑5) |
9 | Maryland Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 8% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Iowa Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 18% | 20% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan St. (20‑4) vs Wisconsin (17‑7) |
6 | Michigan St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wisconsin Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Penn State (10‑14) vs Washington (12‑12) |
1 | Penn State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 20% | 17% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Washington Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Michigan (22‑1) vs NorthwesternN. Western (10‑14) |
1 | Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| NorthwesternN. Western Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||